HoarfrostHubb Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 And hail doesn't count Just do it for YBY Nov 12 for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Oct 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 10/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Lyme: Dec 5 Rangeley: Oct 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 Lyme: Dec 5 Rangeley: Oct 17 Cool! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Here's the last decade or so here: 2000: 10/9 2001: 11/5 2002: 10/23 2003: 10/23 2004: 11/12 2005: 10/26 2006: 12/4 2007: 11/20 2008: 10/28 2009: 10/15 2010: 10/23 I think we'll have a shot around 10/28-29 this year but my gut says we'll wait until about 11/5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 October 30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 21, 2011 Author Share Posted October 21, 2011 Here's the last decade or so here: 2000: 10/9 2001: 11/5 2002: 10/23 2003: 10/23 2004: 11/12 2005: 10/26 2006: 12/4 2007: 11/20 2008: 10/28 2009: 10/15 2010: 10/23 I think we'll have a shot around 10/28-29 this year but my gut says we'll wait until about 11/5 What did you get on 10/9/00? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 10/29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 My first flakes back to 06... 2006 T 11/3 2007 T 11/16 2008 T 10/28 2009 T 10/18 2010 T 10/22 Hopefully the Oct streak stays alive, but I agree with Will. I think I see my 1st flakes a week or 2 into Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 What did you get on 10/9/00? Looks like very light RA to SN showers.http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/Korh/2000/10/9/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Looks like very light RA to SN showers. http://www.wundergro...eq_statename=NA Yeah that was a very cold early season airmass. We had a coating of snow out in Ithaca, NY during that cold outbreak. IIRC the Oct 26, 2005 storm was the one that blasted the mountains of VT/NH...we changed to snow at the end of that for a few hours but it didn't accumulate really. A few days later, the 10/29/05 storm happened where BOS got measurable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Nov 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Yeah that was a very cold early season airmass. We had a coating of snow out in Ithaca, NY during that cold outbreak. I had some snow showers the following day (10/10/00) in the low to mid 40s with the lingering airmass. MHT reported some -SN as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 I had some snow showers the following day (10/10/00) in the low to mid 40s with the lingering airmass. MHT reported some -SN as well. Were you able to get anything to stick on 10/26/05? I remember the mountains up there got hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Here's the last decade or so here: 2000: 10/9 2001: 11/5 2002: 10/23 2003: 10/23 2004: 11/12 2005: 10/26 2006: 12/4 2007: 11/20 2008: 10/28 2009: 10/15 2010: 10/23 I think we'll have a shot around 10/28-29 this year but my gut says we'll wait until about 11/5 Either way sounds good to me...a week or two away Please...Please let us not get a 2006. Disastah...I don't even remember '06-'07 very well. I was 12 but I didn't really follow wx as much as I do now. Did we get snow any other days besides 12/4? I know it was the second half that salvaged the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Were you able to get anything to stick on 10/26/05? I remember the mountains up there got hammered. I was living in Manchester at the time. I think I recall some RASN, but nothing stuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Either way sounds good to me...a week or two away Please...Please let us not get a 2006. Disastah...I don't even remember '06-'07 very well. I was 12 but I didn't really follow wx as much as I do now. Did we get snow any other days besides 12/4? I know it was the second half that salvaged the winter. 2006 was about as horrific as you can get to start a winter here STATION: WORCESTER MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2006 LATITUDE: 42 16 N LONGITUDE: 71 52 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 65 50 58 24 7 0 0.73 0.0 M 18.2 35 250 M M 9 13 46 230 2 50 34 42 9 23 0 0.00 0.0 M 20.8 37 280 M M 1 48 290 3 42 28 35 2 30 0 0.00 0.0 M 11.1 24 290 M M 1 35 300 4 36 23 30 -3 35 0 T T M 12.4 28 300 M M 5 36 310 5 29 21 25 -7 40 0 T T M 9.4 14 280 M M 4 17 280 6 41 18 30 -2 35 0 0.00 0.0 M 11.6 22 210 M M 2 28 220 7 49 27 38 6 27 0 T T M 12.1 26 310 M M 6 32 290 8 27 14 21 -10 44 0 0.02 0.4 T 18.7 31 300 M M 5 41 290 9 34 18 26 -5 39 0 0.00 M M 14.4 22 250 M M 3 28 250 10 47 31 39 8 26 0 0.00 0.0 0 14.8 24 250 M M 1 31 260 11 48 34 41 11 24 0 T 0.0 0 7.5 17 320 M M 6 22 310 12 42 33 38 8 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 8 130 M M 7 10 130 13 49 36 43 13 22 0 0.13 0.0 0 7.8 15 250 M M 10 1 22 250 14 54 40 47 18 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.8 14 240 M M 3 128 17 220 15 50 38 44 15 21 0 0.01 0.0 0 10.4 17 230 M M 6 128 21 280 16 47 34 41 12 24 0 0.01 0.0 0 14.1 26 300 M M 1 1 35 290 17 53 31 42 14 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 12.5 22 240 M M 6 26 250 18 50 34 42 14 23 0 0.01 0.0 0 10.3 23 290 M M 5 30 310 19 39 26 33 5 32 0 T T 0 9.5 24 300 M M 2 26 290 20 39 23 31 4 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.6 20 240 M M 1 25 250 21 48 34 41 14 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 13.5 23 250 M M 2 30 260 22 38 26 32 5 33 0 0.17 0.0 0 6.6 15 10 M M 4 12 21 10 23 51 37 44 17 21 0 0.81 0.0 0 10.5 24 290 M M 8 12 32 280 24 45 35 40 14 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 15.0 32 280 M M 3 39 290 25 41 32 37 11 28 0 0.22 0.0 0 8.1 18 300 M M 3 12 25 270 26 44 34 39 13 26 0 0.33 0.0 0 10.6 20 260 M M 10 12 23 280 27 37 28 33 7 32 0 0.01 T 0 12.7 21 290 M M 6 1 29 290 28 40 28 34 8 31 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.2 20 250 M M 2 24 300 29 33 21 27 2 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.8 13 320 M M 1 15 320 30 33 22 28 3 37 0 0.04 0.7 0 10.6 26 300 M M 8 1 33 300 31 38 23 31 6 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 9.2 25 300 M M 1 31 310 ================================================================================ SM 1339 913 883 0 2.49 1.1 354.5 M 132 ================================================================================ AV 43.2 29.5 11.4 FASTST PSBL % 4 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> # 37 280 # 48 290 =========================================================================== 1.1" of snow and a +7.4F temp departure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 2006 was about as horrific as you can get to start a winter here STATION: WORCESTER MONTH: DECEMBER YEAR: 2006 LATITUDE: 42 16 N LONGITUDE: 71 52 W TEMPERATURE IN F: :PCPN: SNOW: WIND :SUNSHINE: SKY :PK WND ================================================================================ 1 2 3 4 5 6A 6B 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 AVG MX 2MIN DY MAX MIN AVG DEP HDD CDD WTR SNW DPTH SPD SPD DIR MIN PSBL S-S WX SPD DR ================================================================================ 1 65 50 58 24 7 0 0.73 0.0 M 18.2 35 250 M M 9 13 46 230 2 50 34 42 9 23 0 0.00 0.0 M 20.8 37 280 M M 1 48 290 3 42 28 35 2 30 0 0.00 0.0 M 11.1 24 290 M M 1 35 300 4 36 23 30 -3 35 0 T T M 12.4 28 300 M M 5 36 310 5 29 21 25 -7 40 0 T T M 9.4 14 280 M M 4 17 280 6 41 18 30 -2 35 0 0.00 0.0 M 11.6 22 210 M M 2 28 220 7 49 27 38 6 27 0 T T M 12.1 26 310 M M 6 32 290 8 27 14 21 -10 44 0 0.02 0.4 T 18.7 31 300 M M 5 41 290 9 34 18 26 -5 39 0 0.00 M M 14.4 22 250 M M 3 28 250 10 47 31 39 8 26 0 0.00 0.0 0 14.8 24 250 M M 1 31 260 11 48 34 41 11 24 0 T 0.0 0 7.5 17 320 M M 6 22 310 12 42 33 38 8 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 4.7 8 130 M M 7 10 130 13 49 36 43 13 22 0 0.13 0.0 0 7.8 15 250 M M 10 1 22 250 14 54 40 47 18 18 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.8 14 240 M M 3 128 17 220 15 50 38 44 15 21 0 0.01 0.0 0 10.4 17 230 M M 6 128 21 280 16 47 34 41 12 24 0 0.01 0.0 0 14.1 26 300 M M 1 1 35 290 17 53 31 42 14 23 0 0.00 0.0 0 12.5 22 240 M M 6 26 250 18 50 34 42 14 23 0 0.01 0.0 0 10.3 23 290 M M 5 30 310 19 39 26 33 5 32 0 T T 0 9.5 24 300 M M 2 26 290 20 39 23 31 4 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.6 20 240 M M 1 25 250 21 48 34 41 14 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 13.5 23 250 M M 2 30 260 22 38 26 32 5 33 0 0.17 0.0 0 6.6 15 10 M M 4 12 21 10 23 51 37 44 17 21 0 0.81 0.0 0 10.5 24 290 M M 8 12 32 280 24 45 35 40 14 25 0 0.00 0.0 0 15.0 32 280 M M 3 39 290 25 41 32 37 11 28 0 0.22 0.0 0 8.1 18 300 M M 3 12 25 270 26 44 34 39 13 26 0 0.33 0.0 0 10.6 20 260 M M 10 12 23 280 27 37 28 33 7 32 0 0.01 T 0 12.7 21 290 M M 6 1 29 290 28 40 28 34 8 31 0 0.00 0.0 0 10.2 20 250 M M 2 24 300 29 33 21 27 2 38 0 0.00 0.0 0 5.8 13 320 M M 1 15 320 30 33 22 28 3 37 0 0.04 0.7 0 10.6 26 300 M M 8 1 33 300 31 38 23 31 6 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 9.2 25 300 M M 1 31 310 ================================================================================ SM 1339 913 883 0 2.49 1.1 354.5 M 132 ================================================================================ AV 43.2 29.5 11.4 FASTST PSBL % 4 MAX(MPH) MISC ----> # 37 280 # 48 290 =========================================================================== 1.1" of snow and a +7.4F temp departure. LOL imagine that now with all the people on the board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 LOL imagine that now with all the people on the board. We had just as many on Eastern then. It was pretty depressing right through the first few days of Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 We had just as many on Eastern then. It was pretty depressing right through the first few days of Feb. Oh really? I thought the board had less then. Yeah that must of been pretty rough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Oh really? I thought the board had less then. Yeah that must of been pretty rough. We had fewer regular posters I think. The total membership was just as high, but many of the handles were people who didn't post as much or duplicate handles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Normally, the middle of October. Not gon' happen this year. So, I'll say somewhere between 11/5--11/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Between Nov 1st-10th here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 ... but then the huge pattern change in January, with a massive arctic outbreak and historic comeback with snowfall February through April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 ... but then the huge pattern change in January, with a massive arctic outbreak and historic comeback with snowfall February through April That was the greatest 2-3 month period of skiing up here since 2000-2001... upper mountain picked up something like 200" after February 13th. I remember getting upsloped to death even in April (summit picked up 6 feet in April for a record). Those were the days we'd go to sleep with a forecast for snow showers and 1-3", then wake up and find 8" overnight in the parking lot. Rinse and repeat. The St. Patty's Day storm in '07 was also one of those storms that wasn't all that impressive in northern VT at first glance... the synoptic storm left something like 12-14" (solid storm but nothing too ridiculous), but then I remember upslope for like 2 straight days after that storm passed. Strong NW winds and we picked up two feet of fluff after the synoptic snow. The storm total ended up being like three feet in 72 hours for that one. It just wanted to snow after February 13th that year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Yeah that was a very cold early season airmass. We had a coating of snow out in Ithaca, NY during that cold outbreak. IIRC the Oct 26, 2005 storm was the one that blasted the mountains of VT/NH...we changed to snow at the end of that for a few hours but it didn't accumulate really. A few days later, the 10/29/05 storm happened where BOS got measurable. I got about 2" at 385' on 10/26/05, followed by an ugly winter. In 2000 I had 6.3" on 10/29-30, followed by a super winter. The mts got 10-15" in the 10/10/00 storm (I had only slushy drops), with much tree damage as about half the leaves were still on-board. The next week I had footing problems in the woods - only time I encountered aspen leaf litter covering/hiding significant snow. Some of those same places got over a foot in the later Oct storm - Long Falls Dam had over 2' for the month, their snowiest Oct on record. If the 06z gfs is to be believed, I'll see flakes next Friday, and might even begin the deer season Saturday on white. I give the first a 1-in-3 chance, the 2nd 1-in-20. However, I'd guess 2-in-3 I'll see flakes before Nov 1. Edit: April 2007, mmmmm, 37.2". Only the 15" last April Fools enabled the sum for all the other 12 Aprils IMBY to equal that one month. Farmington had 36.1", about a foot higher than their next best April, records back thru 1893. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Mine including first measurable in (), what a disaster in 06-07! 2000-01 10/10 (10/29) 2001-02 11/5 (12/8) 2002-03 11/1 (11/18) 2003-04 10/19 (10/23) 2004-05 11/8 (11/12) 2005-06 11/22 (11/23) 2006-07 10/29 (1/18) 2007-08 11/9 (11/20) 2008-09 10/28 (11/30) 2009-10 10/15 (10/15) 2010-11 11/8 (11/8) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 First flakes up here last 2 years mid OCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 10/29 I like it, am and gonna go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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