Ji Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Not looking for a clipper this year but a fast moving coastal that will give us a widespread 3-6 iAd 5 DCA 4 Bwi 7 Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Hi, Ji! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Not looking for a clipper this year but a fast moving coastal that will give us a widespread 3-6 iAd 5 DCA 4 Bwi 7 Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Hi, Ji! Hi mapgirl!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Not looking for a clipper this year but a fast moving coastal that will give us a widespread 3-6 IAD 5 DCA 4 BWI 7 Enjoy 8 here, elevation dependent event. IAD 6 DCA 3 BWI 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 If Sterling's initial call is for up to an inch, but we pull off about 4", then we're going to have three blizzards this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Partly sunny.. 59 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Partly sunny.. 59 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Couple inches of snow as the 2-3 week cold pattern ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I'm thinking a Dec 5-6, 2002 redux. General 4-7 inches; 8" at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 My forecast for Dec 5th: 1) warm, wet or 2) dry, cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Jacksonville in an upset over the Chargers, 19-17. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 My forecast for Dec 5th: 1) warm, wet or 2) dry, cold we've had an anomalous amount of snow on the date recently, we're due for a dry spell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Late and unexpected tropical system spawns in the gulf and becomes a miller A snowcane as a front just pushes through our area dropping temps. Josh ends up chasing a Cat1 HECS and is enreaged when he can't video the eyewall in a sleeve less shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Its a Monday so i am already planning on a three day weekend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
onel0126 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Its a Monday so i am already planning on a three day weekend! Has there been an announcement from OPM yet as to the operating status? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 we've had an anomalous amount of snow on the date recently, we're due for a dry spell And, aside from the record high in 2001, it's been really cold for the last ten years (I didn't look beyond that). So I guess 63 and partly sunny with a south breeze might be a good call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Late and unexpected tropical system spawns in the gulf and becomes a miller A snowcane as a front just pushes through our area dropping temps. Josh ends up chasing a Cat1 HECS and is enreaged when he can't video the eyewall in a sleeve less shirt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyS Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 This thread got me to thinking, what is the probability, based on the official DC historical record, of at least a trace of snow on any winter (meteorological or astronomical; i.e., December 1-March 20) day? The answer, according to my calculations, is that it ranges from 8.0% (10 out of 125 years) on December 6th to 29.1% (37 out of 127 years) on January 8th and February 6th. December 5th checks in at 19.2%, which is one of the higher December percentages (highest is 23.2% on December 25th (Christmas)). If only measurable snow is considered, the range is zero on December 1st to 18.1% on January 25th. December 5th checks in at 8.0%, with the highest December percentage on the 26th (Boxing Day), at 11.2%. Finally, when it comes to significant snow, the probabilities go way down. If "significant" is defined as at least three inches, the range is from zero on eighteen different days to 7.1% on January 28th. December 5th is at 2.4%, with the highest December percentage on the 19th at 3.2%. So, it's pretty daring to predict even a trace of snow on any winter day, let alone measurable or significant snow. If at least 3 inches fall at DCA this December 5th, that will be only the fourth time that much snow has fallen on that day, with the highest being 6.1 inches in 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 bump Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 bump Your partly sunny 59 is a good call - though we may see some rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Your partly sunny 59 is a good call - though we may see some rain. not on monday i dont think. could be warmer tho.. mattie g's copycat PS 63 might be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Oct will be our only snow this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 not on monday i dont think. could be warmer tho.. mattie g's copycat PS 63 might be good. My Monday forecast is high of 63 and sunny (I was wrong about the rain) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Oct will be our only snow this season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 My Monday forecast is high of 63 and sunny (I was wrong about the rain) mine's mostly cloudy and 60. these warm shots have been underforecast from range tho in recent weeks. euro is warmer aloft on tuesday tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 not on monday i dont think. could be warmer tho.. mattie g's copycat PS 63 might be good. A good forecaster needs to take into account all factors at play, even if that means piggybacking on someone else's ideas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 Oct will be our only snow this season I've got a $100 that says that's wrong. Figure out a way to get the bet made. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris21 Posted December 2, 2011 Share Posted December 2, 2011 I've got a $100 that says that's wrong. Figure out a way to get the bet made. I'd put down at least a thousand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 I've got a $100 that says that's wrong. Figure out a way to get the bet made. $150K is more my speed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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