yoda Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 25 to 35 kts 0-1km shear already... that will probably lift out though. also 50kts 0-6km shear as well per 1300 SPC meso Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 1:35 PM, yoda said: 12z KIAD sounding Man...I've tried reading up on how to read those things, but it just doesn't make any sense to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 1:59 PM, mattie g said: Man...I've tried reading up on how to read those things, but it just doesn't make any sense to me. Right now it looks like crap, but we should see some big improvements going into the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 1:59 PM, mattie g said: Man...I've tried reading up on how to read those things, but it just doesn't make any sense to me. I can sum up for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 The tornado like exclamation point is a nice touch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 We're still going to be hard pressed to get much sun today it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:22 PM, wxtrix said: go west, young man. full sunshine here in the northern Shenandoah Valley. I'm basing off vis sat. There are breaks but lots of clouds to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 pretty gusty right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 12z NAM lets out a big "meh" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:26 PM, Ellinwood said: 12z NAM lets out a big "meh" Soundings/Bufkit-wise or QPF-wise? Definitely less QPF vs 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I am trying to get Accuweather to issue a tornado warning for the Univ. of Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:32 PM, BethesdaWX said: Soundings/Bufkit-wise or QPF-wise? Definitely less QPF vs 6z. severe-wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Guys, Where do you get your bufget data from? My old web site is not working (ie "ftp://ftp.meteo.psu.edu/pub/bufkit/RUC/latest/ruc_kunv.buf") None of the data from that site will load in bufkit for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:03 PM, Ellinwood said: Right now it looks like crap, but we should see some big improvements going into the evening. Thanks. At some point I'll come to grips with soundings. Maybe. On 10/19/2011 at 2:05 PM, H2O said: I can sum up for you. I like the little twister for an exclamation point. Well done! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:38 PM, sbos_wx said: Guys, Where do you get your bufget data from? My old web site is not working (ie "ftp://ftp.meteo.psu.edu/pub/bufkit/RUC/latest/ruc_kunv.buf") None of the data from that site will load in bufkit for me I just use the point-and-click sounding feature on twisterdata... so much easier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:33 PM, NE Balti Zen said: I am trying to get Accuweather to issue a tornado warning for the Univ. of Baltimore. I've attached my personal siren. It will blare from 4pm on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:39 PM, Ellinwood said: I just use the point-and-click sounding feature on twisterdata... so much easier. Bleh, I kinda like seeing all the little details.. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:40 PM, Ian said: I've attached my personal siren. It will blare from 4pm on. Young man, please be sure to travel north and through the city of Baltimore, which sucks, as I want to get out of work early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:40 PM, Ian said: I've attached my personal siren. It will blare from 4pm on. I will be listening intently for the quiet sounds of mehmehmehmehmehmehmeh echoing in the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:54 PM, H2O said: I will be listening intently for the quiet sounds of mehmehmehmehmehmehmeh echoing in the winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 2:54 PM, H2O said: I will be listening intently for the quiet sounds of mehmehmehmehmehmehmeh echoing in the winds lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Updated morning AFD from LWX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 1054 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 .SYNOPSIS... LOW PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL IMPACT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... -- Changed Discussion --SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS LOW PRESSURE ACROSS SW VIRGINIA AND A SECOND BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE FROM THE CAROLINAS THROUGH SE VA. NICE COLD WEDGE NOTED IN THE SURFACE PATTERN. AREA OF WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINFALL FROM THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...PATCHY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DO EXPECT WEDGE TO BEGIN ERODING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRIMARY LOW CENTER MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AS THE WEDGE BEGINS TO ERODE...BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER WILL ALLOW FOR MINIMAL HEATING. ONLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY EXPECTED AT THE SURFACE...WITH CAPE VALUES BLO 1000J/KG. HOWEVER SHEAR/HODOGRAPHS REMAIN IMPRESSIVE. WARMING ALOFT WILL INHIBIT STEEPENING LAPSE RATES. IF WE CAN GET CONVECTION TO ROOT AT THE SURFACE...THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF BECOMING SEVERE. MAIN THREAT OF SEVERE SHOULD BE WIND DAMAGE...BUT WITH GOOD SHEAR...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 damn u yoda Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Awesome.. Now I can't even start bufkit.. runtime error 5.. invalid procedure call or argument.. what a POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Looks like b/w 21z and 0z is best timeframe d.c. area. SPC SREF tries to go fairly nuts over E NC and SE VA 18z-21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Cloud cover up here all morning. Damp out and not exactly warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 3:21 PM, Ian said: lol Did you actually laugh out loud? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Pretty darn cloudy here. Screw severe wx, I want to start chasing 280hr+ snowstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Light rain in the last 45 mins here, waiting for some heavier stuff from CHO moving NNE now. Exactly a third of an inch of rain so far 59 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.