Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 60 rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Absolutely pouring, looks like an unwanted day off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 6zgfs continues the trend of warm, very quick cool down just before halloweenie, but even that looks rather unimpressive, another warmup as we head into November, I am gaining confidence with each passing day that we could be top 3 all time warmest autumns region wide, time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Looks like the heaviest may be near the Cape or just offshore later today. Tough to tell exactly where it sets up right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 6zgfs continues the trend of warm, very quick cool down just before halloweenie, but even that looks rather unimpressive, another warmup as we head into November, I am gaining confidence with each passing day that we could be top 3 all time warmest autumns region wide, time will tell. No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Look how sad Joe's posts are when he can't talk about sunny torch weather. Just terse...quick and to the point posts. What a shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 No. I think he may be right about a warm up near Halloween and into November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Look how sad Joe's posts are when he can't talk about sunny torch weather. Just terse...quick and to the point posts. What a shame. Tomorrow will be sunny with temps in the 70s, looks like a +15-20 day regionwide with the overnight mins added in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I think he may be right about a warmbup near Halloween and into November. Although right now, it looks relatively seasonable to perhaps a little above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Tomorrow will be sunny with temps in the 70s, looks like a +15-20 day regionwide with the overnight mins added in Too warm region wide, but it will be above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Although right now, it looks relatively seasonable to perhaps a little above. ........and that will modify just like every "potential" cold shot on modeling. Until there is a true pattern change, dont put away the flips and board shorts To be honest I am ready for cold, wood is all set, house is ready and I need leaf down as foilage is way way way behind down here. However, that is not happening anytime soon, so I have chosen to embrace this Epic seasonal torch and ride it to the history books (potentially), its certainly not snowing anytime soon down here and the weather has been dreadfully boring.........and it does not do it for me looking at fantasy BS 360 hr miller bs that will never happen. Hopefully we see a true pattern change by mid November, but even that is now becoming less and less likely, we need some cold and snow in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 +4 to +5 for the month here in GYX/PWM land. I don't know what top 3 warm Octobers are here but it has certainly been warm relative to normal. Having said that, it feels great! Comfortable, to say the least. @ Joe's sad rainy day posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I think he may be right about a warm up near Halloween and into November. It will not be a top 3 warmest Autumn. I am fine with the mild weather for now as it has saved me money as I usually have fired the furnace up by now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 ........and that will modify just like every "potential" cold shot on modeling. Until there is a true pattern change, dont put away the flips and board shorts To be honest I am ready for cold, wood is all set, house is ready and I need leaf down as foilage is way way way behind down here. However, that is not happening anytime soon, so I have chosen to embrace this Epic seasonal torch and ride it to the history books (potentially), its certainly not snowing anytime soon down here and the weather has been dreadfully boring.........and it does not do it for me looking at fantasy BS 360 hr miller bs that will never happen. Hopefully we see a true pattern change by mid November, but even that is now becoming less and less likely, we need some cold and snow in Canada. There will be some building there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 It will not be a top 3 warmest Autumn. I am fine with the mild weather for now as it has saved me money as I usually have fired the furnace up by now. Eh, I'm not sure either...but who cares if it is. As long as it gets cold when it matters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 They'll be some building there. Got an excited call from my friend in AK, snow now down to the valley floor where our property is. It's building and the hammer WILL drop. I believe the switch will be flipped and we'll be off to the races. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Nice frontogenesis band blossoming over SNE. You can tell by the way it is forming to the ENE and also the rather fine line to the end of the rain near NYC and into LI sound. Also note more echoes developing and moving north near LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 This will be our weather here in 2-3 weeks. SUSITNA VALLEY- INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2011 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS 15 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY MORNING FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 40 EXCEPT IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 25 TO 35. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS 35 TO 45. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS 35 TO 45. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. .MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS 35 TO 45. LOWS 25 TO 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 This will be our weather here in 2-3 weeks. SUSITNA VALLEY- INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL 400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 18 2011 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG. LOWS 15 TO 25. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY MORNING FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT WINDS. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 40 EXCEPT IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 25 TO 35. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS 35 TO 45. .SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. HIGHS 35 TO 45. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S. .MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN. HIGHS 35 TO 45. LOWS 25 TO 35. This theory has phailed multiple times, but sooner or later as we approach met winter it will work out lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Eh, I'm not sure either...but who cares if it is. As long as it gets cold when it matters. Exactly Scooter, just trying to pass the days without worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Tomorrow will be sunny with temps in the 70s, looks like a +15-20 day regionwide with the overnight mins added in Speak for yourself, Joe. MAZ002-192000- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 715 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 . .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 fast forward this 8 weeks please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Speak for yourself, Joe. MAZ002-192000- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 715 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 . .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. I was, and that will be a +15 day, enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Although I forecasted a lousy snow winter (outside of Pete's 340...), this autumn reminds me of 1995 but wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 This theory has phailed multiple times, but sooner or later as we approach met winter it will work out lol No, I put this out there one other time several weeks ago and in fact it worked out as snow fell as far south as the WV mountains. Unfortunately, we were just a bit too far east for it to work here. I have watched the weather in Willow for years and have often noted that our weather can mirror their's . I don't really believe there is a direct correlation but it will not surprise me if we see something very similar here on the east slope before the end of the fist week of November. Of course, your closer proximity to the equator will preclude this from happening for you. In fact, the Jets have a better shot at winning the Super Bowl than you have for seeing snow before Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 This totally reminds me of winter. Frontogenesis right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Although I forecasted a lousy snow winter (outside of Pete's 340...), this autumn reminds me of 1995 but wetter. It's a good thing you have my 340" as a caveat because I think a big Winter is in store. At least you'll be able to find cover in that part of your prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 It's a good thing you have my 340" as a caveat because I think a big Winter is in store. At least you'll be able to find cover in that part of your prediction. I will find joy in busting this year should it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 19, 2011 Author Share Posted October 19, 2011 Eh, I'm not sure either...but who cares if it is. As long as it gets cold when it matters. Just saw the Euro, wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 It's going to be a cool raw day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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