Sundog Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 yea it wasnt that good closer to the coast about 12 inches I had 12 inches depth from the 25th-26th storm which means the total was obviously higher (although I hate going by those numbers and like to use depth for most storms.) The overnight bands were sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I was at work that Thursday night trying everything in my power to change my trip home to the next morning instead of Saturday since I knew everything would be canceled and at 10pm finally got something into LGA....I believe of the 00Z Friday models (Thursday night) the GFS and NAM had the storm but the Euro lost it after it had finally gotten it earlier that day on the 12Z run....the 06Z NAM then proceeded to lose the storm as well, and by a tremendous margin...this just an hour before Upton went to a blizzard watch...the 06Z GFS though had the biggest hit yet...12Z Friday morning both the GFS/NAM finally agreed on a hit and at that point only 36 hours out I didn't care about the Euro anymore...as a matter of fact I have no clue what its Friday run even showed. All the weenies panicked because the 0z Euro lost the storm lol. The 12z Euro showed a good hit for the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 stale garbage cold air. That is why storms like PDII, blizzard 96, and even to some extent the December 2003 event were better. Yeah my three faves are Feb 83, JAN 96 AND PD2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 All three of the major storms dropped the approx. same amount of snow here last winter...... 14 to 16 inches Got 5 inches in a separate Feb storm and even 1.5 inches from the Feb 6 storm that missed us just to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 I had 12 inches depth from the 25th-26th storm which means the total was obviously higher (although I hate going by those numbers and like to use depth for most storms.) The overnight bands were sick. When I get home I will put those bands up in the thread. It is a closer view of our area than the larger one you put up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 When I get home I will put those bands up in the thread. It is a closer view of our area than the larger one you put up Awesome. The one I posted is crude as each frame represents one hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 stale garbage cold air. That is why storms like PDII, blizzard 96, and even to some extent the December 2003 event were better. If there was more cold air for all the storms, we could of had over 20 inches of snow with each storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 If there was more cold air for all the storms, we could of had over 20 inches of snow with each storm. Dude if Feb 25th-26th was a cold storm we would have had 3 feet of snow. We had over 3 inches of precipitation. Although then you wonder would it have been as juicy if it was indeed colder from the start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Got 5 inches in a separate Feb storm and even 1.5 inches from the Feb 6 storm that missed us just to the south. Got close to 2 inches from that Feb 5 storm. The cutoff was amazing. My cousin in Staten Island got over 7 inches. Dude if Feb 25th-26th was a cold storm we would have had 3 feet of snow. We had over 3 inches of precipitation. Although then you wonder would it have been as juicy if it was indeed colder from the start. I still can't believe that I saw 2 MECS and 1 Hecs last winter. Best winter in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Uploaded with ImageShack.us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 finishing up an 11" snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Uploaded with ImageShack.us You made it...alright Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Uploaded with ImageShack.us NYC FTW Boston FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 You made it...alright thanks! the day i saw the "postmortem post" on eastern i said, "uh oh. this ain't good." i found the link to this place on stormvista. disaster averted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted November 15, 2010 Share Posted November 15, 2010 Dude if Feb 25th-26th was a cold storm we would have had 3 feet of snow. We had over 3 inches of precipitation. Although then you wonder would it have been as juicy if it was indeed colder from the start. Would have been a March 1888 redux, which we all know was underestimated lol. Or a Dec 1992 with more cold air. Hell, Im happy we got what we got-- because it turned out to be the last snow of the season. Is that the only time since March 1888 since the last snowfall of a season has been a 20 inch snowstorm at NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 15, 2010 Author Share Posted November 15, 2010 Would have been a March 1888 redux, which we all know was underestimated lol. Or a Dec 1992 with more cold air. Hell, Im happy we got what we got-- because it turned out to be the last snow of the season. Is that the only time since March 1888 since the last snowfall of a season has been a 20 inch snowstorm at NYC? Judging by the lack of 20 inchers throughout the record it probably was. I'm actually trying to find the 96 disco online right now lol but with no luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 More variability out at Upton: 12/19: 26.3" 2/10: 13.4" 2/25: 10.4" I still cant believe how much snow that part of LI saw from the December storm, I dont remember the banding being that strong.... maybe my memory was tainted by the 12 hours of virga the storm brought to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Kramer Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 no one has mentioned this yet, but you gotta like December 25 2002 with the surprise snowfall rates after the rain here is a radar shot when things started to go crazy, I remember that as I was stuck on 287 in Yonkers and man, that wasn't good for anyone!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 no one has mentioned this yet, but you gotta like December 25 2002 with the surprise snowfall rates after the rain here is a radar shot when things started to go crazy, I remember that as I was stuck on 287 in Yonkers and man, that wasn't good for anyone!!! I remember watching Paul Kocin on TWC that night. He was amazed that this storm bombed out further than anticipated. My area was only supposed to get 0.5 inches of snow after the rain. I ended up with 5 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 no one has mentioned this yet, but you gotta like December 25 2002 with the surprise snowfall rates after the rain here is a radar shot when things started to go crazy, I remember that as I was stuck on 287 in Yonkers and man, that wasn't good for anyone!!! The NYC NWS initially had that event pegged on the 4am issuance on Christmas morning if I recall correctly and did put out a WSW for NYC/LI for possible snow in the aftn and eve but the morning shift removed it almost immediately upon coming in, I believe by 930am it was canceled....the reason being there was serious ETA favoring leading up to that storm by almost all the NWS offices, HPC. NCEP and so on...and the ETA was not forecasting the wraparound snows like most other models were though it DID nail the surface low track if I remember correctly..the NOGAPS and GFS were insisting on it for days with the GFS showing 6 inches + for central-eastern LI on every run (of course its positioning wound up a good 50-100 miles too far east with it because the GFS was too far east with the surface low)....the bottom line is vertically or near vertically stacked lows within 50-100 miles of the coast from NYC-ACY are dangerous in those borderline situations where models do not indicate it being quite cold enough for snow or where its initially too warm for snow because a system like that can "manufacture" its own cold air...see 4/6/82 and 3/15/99 as other examples....I have to admit it did not look good for NYC/LI up until after 2pm or so, but I remember Paul Kocin was the first one to start seeing trouble brewing early on in the afternoon for NYC and mentioned even before that wraparound band started forming clearly around 3pm-4pm that there could be issues during the evening. The thunder and lightning that evening in Queens was impressive along with 1-2 inch per hour rates for a period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Kramer Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 The NYC NWS initially had that event pegged on the 4am issuance on Christmas morning if I recall correctly and did put out a WSW for NYC/LI for possible snow in the aftn and eve but the morning shift removed it almost immediately upon coming in, I believe by 930am it was canceled....the reason being there was serious ETA favoring leading up to that storm by almost all the NWS offices, HPC. NCEP and so on...and the ETA was not forecasting the wraparound snows like most other models were though it DID nail the surface low track if I remember correctly..the NOGAPS and GFS were insisting on it for days with the GFS showing 6 inches + for central-eastern LI on every run (of course its positioning wound up a good 50-100 miles too far east with it because the GFS was too far east with the surface low)....the bottom line is vertically or near vertically stacked lows within 50-100 miles of the coast from NYC-ACY are dangerous in those borderline situations where models do not indicate it being quite cold enough for snow or where its initially too warm for snow because a system like that can "manufacture" its own cold air...see 4/6/82 and 3/15/99 as other examples....I have to admit it did not look good for NYC/LI up until after 2pm or so, but I remember Paul Kocin was the first one to start seeing trouble brewing early on in the afternoon for NYC and mentioned even before that wraparound band started forming clearly around 3pm-4pm that there could be issues during the evening. The thunder and lightning that evening in Queens was impressive along with 1-2 inch per hour rates for a period of time. Yes, vividly remember the lightning and thunder and flakes the size of Donuts. It went from rain to frozen and sticking in minutes. Also, IIRC, that was the fist winter that the GFS was the GFS. They offices were just getting used to the new resolution and schematic changes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Some more from the Feb 25th & 26th 2010 storm. Trying to find a longer loop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 Some more from the Feb 25th & 26th 2010 storm. Trying to find a longer loop I love the way the top left one looks like the radar returns are spilling into the NYC area. Beautiful look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 My favorite for sheer intensity was the April 6,1982 Blizzard. It was pretty amazing to get whiteout conditions along with cloud to ground lightning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Noreaster Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 My favorite for sheer intensity was the April 6,1982 blizzard. It was pretty amazing to get whiteout conditions along with cloud to ground lightning. Pretty obvious the one constant in all the lightning situations for the immediate tri-state is the tight 700 and 850 lp. April 82, Feb 83, Jan 96, Dec 02 Feb 06, all had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 16, 2010 Author Share Posted November 16, 2010 My favorite for sheer intensity was the April 6,1982 Blizzard. It was pretty amazing to get whiteout conditions along with cloud to ground lightning. How do you make these maps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 How do you make these maps? http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/2003.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 -NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN- NORTHERN NEW LONDON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANBURY...MERIDEN...WATERBURY... MIDDLETOWN...NORWICH 300 PM EST SAT JAN 6 1996 All Countys except Litchfield & Hartford ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY... .TONIGHT...THICKENING CLOUDINESS. LOW 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST. .SUNDAY...SNOW DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. WIND NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTY BY LATE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID TEENS. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. LOW AROUND 10. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. .MONDAY...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DURING THE MORNING TAPERING OFF TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON. REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY AND WINDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT. .EXTENDED FORECAST... ISSUED 435 AM SAT FRI JAN 6 1996 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA .MONDAY...WINDY WITH SNOW LIKELY CAPE AND ISLANDS IN THE MORNING AND A CHANCE OF SNOW ELSEWHERE. CLEARING LATER IN THE DAY. LOWS ZERO TO 15 INLAND...15 TO 25 ALONG THE COAST. HIGHS IN THE 20S. .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS 25 TO 35. .WEDNESDAY...CLEAR AND COLD. LOWS ZERO TO 15 ABOVE INTERIOR AND 15 TO 25 COAST. HIGHS 25 TO 35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 Some more from the Feb 25th & 26th 2010 storm. Trying to find a longer loop The period from around 4-7am on the 26th was just insane around here. It was snowing so hard that it was difficult to see the houses across the street. The winds were a constant 35-40 mph as well. It must have snowed at 2-3"/hour in that timeframe, and everything just became a whiteout. I was pretty worried before then about heavier amounts not verifying, because the snow stayed light and had a hard time sticking due to the fact we had over an inch of rain that morning and afternoon. Comparing the change in scenery between both sides of Queens was amazing too. Nothing but rain until late afternoon around Valley Stream, and at least several inches on the ground with S+ in Manhattan. 22" in Central Park and around a foot at my house. The discrepancy would have been worse had that band between 4-7am fizzled out on the 26th. I can't imagine how much higher accumulations would have been with a few degrees colder air, since there were already 2 foot totals in NE NJ and parts of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted November 16, 2010 Share Posted November 16, 2010 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WASHINGTON DC 1130 AM EST SAT JAN 06 1996 ..WINTER STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MARYLAND INCLUDING THE WASHINGTON METRO AREA... ..WINTER STORM WATCH FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA INCLUDING THE BALTIMORE METRO AREA AND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA... A MAJOR WINTER STORM IS DEVELOPING NEAR NEW ORLEANS THIS MORNING. THIS STORM WILL BEGIN TO INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT AS IT MOVES TO THE CAROLINAS ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUES A STEADY TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST THROUGH MONDAY. THIS STORM MAY RIVAL THE STORM OF FEBRUARY 1983. THAT STORM PRODUCED THE ALL TIME RECORD 24 HOUR SNOWFALL IN BALTIMORE OF AROUND 22 INCHES AND ALSO PRODUCED MORE THEN 16 INCHES AT WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT WITH SEVERAL WESTERN SUBURBS OF WASHINGTON RECEIVING MORE THEN 2 FEET. LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN MARYLAND THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN VIRGINIA DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AFTER MIDNIGHT. BY SUNDAY MORNING MANY AREAS WILL HAVE OVER 4 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND. ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA THE SNOW WILL BE VERY HEAVY AT TIMES AND WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE. THE SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY TO LESS THEN ONE QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR AT TIMES ON SUNDAY. THE HEAVY SNOW AND INCREASED BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW ON SUNDAY WILL MAKE TRAVEL EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO IMPOSSIBLE. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE FINALLY ENDING ON MONDAY. TOTAL SNOWFALLS COULD EXCEED MORE THEN A FOOT ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND SOME AREAS COULD RECEIVE 15 TO 20 INCHES. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN VERY COLD THROUGHOUT THE STORM AND WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 20S. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT COULD GIVE WIND CHILLS OF 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. STOCK UP ON FOOD TODAY AND COMPLETE ANY TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON. ON SUNDAY TRAVEL COULD BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO IMPOSSIBLE AND MAY CONTINUE THAT WAY UNTIL MONDAY. TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND THE LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS WINTER STORM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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