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December 14th and onward discussion thread


BullCityWx

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Burger, you talking about Thursday? Just curious.

Yep. Ga per the 18z really doesn't get in on any of the action. However as Robert said the GFS might not have a good grasp on the 2m temps. Also just looking at it the sfc temps act very funky with it going back and forth to frz and non frz temps.

Then for the weekend it as a tiny sliver of moisture coming in. Nothing to be alarmed about though as DT pointed out the GFS was likely to do that the next couple of runs.

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There are at least three different threads on this week and next weekend. Anyway, things really look interesting for this coming week and onward until Christmas. Can't wait to see what happens.

Go one page back and look at the top of the page...no one listens to me, but I think Robert copied and pasted his comments to Allan's thread so I thank him for that...but yes, this thread was made for general disco cause we couldn't pinpoint threats...now we have two threats and people are getting confused!

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Go one page back and look at the top of the page...no one listens to me, but I think Robert copied and pasted his comments to Allan's thread so I thank him for that...but yes, this thread was made for general disco cause we couldn't pinpoint threats...now we have two threats and people are getting confused!

Well, I'd rather have a couple of threats and be confused than to have nothing and silence on the board. I'm not a big fan of ice, but at least it will be something more interesting than the rain we've had the last two days. And with ice you have a good reason to stay inside, unlike rain. But what I am really interested in is this weekend. And the good thing is it is less than 10 days out.

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Hiding! Just been hard to get on the board, my email didn't work so had to get a new one that did work, then I forgot the password, because it seems like everyone of my passwords and such have had to be updated as of lately . I forgot too write it down (getting Old). I will email you with the old email address because I only use it! The new one was just to get verified for this board but i never check it. Is anyone else having trouble with Road Runner email and getting verified?

where have you been?

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Lol.. The gfs still looks lost. But a nice trend towards the euro.

we need to cross our fingers the cold air is firmly entrenched in here on the weekend storm. For once, i'd like the perfect storm to track for the southern friends. It seems to be always one small section at a time that gets hit, this has potential to get a wide swath of posters in on the action.

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we need to cross our fingers the cold air is firmly entrenched in here on the weekend storm. For once, i'd like the perfect storm to track for the southern friends. It seems to be always one small section at a time that gets hit, this has potential to get a wide swath of posters in on the action.

Agreed. It'd be nice for everyone to not have to worry about moisture or cold air and just know that we are going to get pounded for once.

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DT(someguy) pointed out the synoptic pattern for next weekend was similar to January 30-31, 1966. No, I'm not calling for a blizzard. However, I found this cool write-up on the net for Kingsport , TN during that time frame. Major cool - at least for me. It's a vintage, Record of Climatological Observation sheet from January 1966.

http://www1.ncdc.noa...24E2A5E7B82.pdf

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GGEM on board for the weekend deal not sure about the midweek event. i think the potential with the weekend storm is very high. the track an ptype are obviously in question. but for 7 days out you have to like the general consensus for a major system for eastern sections of the country especially with such a strongly -NAO and -AO. and a ridge popping out west.

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So who's staying up to see what the EURO says about our weekend monster?

I shall, although I would be up anyways. I don't have any exams until Wednesday night, so I plan on sleeping in until then. thumbsupsmileyanim.gif

i am. im also interested to see what dr no says about mid week as well.

Yeah, that's what I'm most interested in. The weekend system looks nice, no doubt, but I'm more concerned about the closer range system for now. I'd like to see if the 0z GFS was just smoking crack or if it was the start of a legitimate trend.

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Me too, I wonder if it will continue the cold trend? Some ZR would be nice but I'm more interested in the possibility for it to start out as snow.

yeah the one thing to remember is the ecmwf has been consistently warmer with 2m temps than the gfs so thats something to watch as well. especially after the gfs looked so warm at the surface this last run. but the nam looked good but its out of its best range so need to watch for trends in modeling the next couple days.

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Yeah, that's what I'm most interested in. The weekend system looks nice, no doubt, but I'm more concerned about the closer range system for now. I'd like to see if the 0z GFS was just smoking crack or if it was the start of a legitimate trend.

yep posted right as you did :lol:

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