BullCityWx Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 Nobody has mentioned this, but: Hour 168 on the euro gives ENC and the OBX a nice snowstorm. Hour 132 on the GGEM brings down a clipper that gives most of NC close to a tenth of QPF in the form of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 CPC came out with their new monthly outlooks today and they definitly back off on the warmth for the SE. Most areas are EC for January and the next three months. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 This is shaping up to be a possible real December to remember. A white Christmas would be great to top it off! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 FWIW, the Canadian still gave most of NC snow with the Tuesday clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 There is also potential for a clipper event next Tuesday. Maybe we should start a separate thread for 12/21 and 12/24 - 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 The thing that scares me the most is I'm sitting at a trace on the year(and I mean a scant trace) and it looks doubtful for any accumulating snowfall for the next week or 2 weeks at this point. If/when the pattern breaks down(possibly after new years?), I may just end up getting hung with a T for the season and that just sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Might be time to start a Christmas storm thread. It's been on and off the GFS for the past week. 12z GFS for next Christmas Day. Looks like a stout LP with a 1036mb HP up in Canada. The players are on the field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Might be time to start a Christmas storm thread. It's been on and off the GFS for the past week. 12z GFS for next Christmas Day. Looks like a stout LP with a 1036mb HP up in Canada. The players are on the field. I can't even get anyone to talk about the potential for next Tuesday. Everyone seems so pesamistic even though we have had two events already this month here in central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 17, 2010 Author Share Posted December 17, 2010 I can't even get anyone to talk about the potential for next Tuesday. Everyone seems so pesamistic even though we have had two events already this month here in central NC. Those of us in the southern foothills, western and southern piedmont have every right to be pessimistic. We've been on the sidelines all month long. If you couple that with the pattern being close to downright hostile for big snows, I don't have one single reason to have a small shred of optimism right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 All-time record low avg temps for Dec at GSP, CLT, and AVL as of 12/16/10. Very impressive. Greenville-Spartanburg Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 33.9 12/16/1903, 12/16/2010 3 34.6 12/16/1917 4 35.8 12/16/1898 5 36.8 12/16/1915 ======================================= Charlotte Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 33.3 12/16/2010 2 34.6 12/16/1917 3 36.4 12/16/1962 4 37.0 12/16/1958, 12/16/1886 ======================================= Asheville Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 29.1 12/16/2010 2 30.2 12/16/1962 3 30.3 12/16/1917 4 30.6 12/16/1910 5 30.9 12/16/1903 Its no wonder the models have been struggling so much these past few weeks with the synoptics...they've never seen such a continuous cA airmass like this before on such a broad scale...esp this early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 All-time record low avg temps for Dec at GSP, CLT, and AVL as of 12/16/10. Very impressive. Greenville-Spartanburg Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 33.9 12/16/1903, 12/16/2010 3 34.6 12/16/1917 4 35.8 12/16/1898 5 36.8 12/16/1915 ======================================= Charlotte Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 33.3 12/16/2010 2 34.6 12/16/1917 3 36.4 12/16/1962 4 37.0 12/16/1958, 12/16/1886 ======================================= Asheville Area Extremes Lowest Average Average Temperature degrees F Days: 12/1 - 12/16 Length of period: 16 days Years: 1850-2010 Rank Value Ending Date 1 29.1 12/16/2010 2 30.2 12/16/1962 3 30.3 12/16/1917 4 30.6 12/16/1910 5 30.9 12/16/1903 Its no wonder the models have been struggling so much these past few weeks with the synoptics...they've never seen such a continuous cA airmass like this before on such a broad scale...esp this early in the season. Amazing....... Those are some cold years we are competing with. Wonder if Jan 2011 will follow suit? I know Dec 1962 featured a sleet storm on Christmas Day for some parts of western NC east of the mtns and Jan 1918 was very cold. Could be a great winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 Looks like the euro wants to push us to 60 on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Joy Looks like the euro wants to push us to 60 on Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Looks like the euro wants to push us to 60 on Wednesday. If there's no chance of snow, that's fine with me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 Joy And a 40 degree rain on Christmas while the same people clean up with a Christmas day snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Looks like the euro wants to push us to 60 on Wednesday. Thank goodness. After all of this cold and dry weather, i'm ready for a few nice days around here where I can actually get out and ride my bike or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 So much for the clipper snow. lol .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The 0z NAM just initialized with a 1088mb pressure bull's-eye over Greenland....is this for real?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 The 0z NAM just initialized with a 1088mb pressure bull's-eye over Greenland....is this for real?? Wow, I've never heard of one this high. But its there! FWIW, the GFS had a 1060 progged there. I think the NAM must be overdone. Lets retrograde it back into Western New York and see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Wow, I've never heard of one this high. But its there! FWIW, the GFS had a 1060 progged there. I think the NAM must be overdone. Lets retrograde it back into Western New York and see what happens. That is a feedback issue do to the sn-cover from what I have heard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Those of us in the southern foothills, western and southern piedmont have every right to be pessimistic. We've been on the sidelines all month long. If you couple that with the pattern being close to downright hostile for big snows, I don't have one single reason to have a small shred of optimism right now. Don't talk like central NC has done that great: two <0.5" events with one that was almost all melted by the late afternoon of the same day. The only people who have done well are SW VA and far NW NC (plus mountains). Everyone else has more or less been screwed, with token amounts of snow here or there. For the amount of cold we've had, with the kind of departures we've had, this has been a fairly disappointing month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Take a look at the teleconnection ensemble means at CPC this morning. The NAO appears to be heading back in the tank for early January. The AO tries to go positive, but doesn't make it. The PNA maintains a slightly negative look, but more positive than it has been. If those signals hold...early January isn't looking as warm as I thought it would be - not even close. http://www.cpc.ncep....nnections.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Don't think much, if any, moisture will will survive over the mountains Tuesday, but 850 temps are a little colder on the NAM. We've had a couple of systems (except this last one) over-perform and maybe this could too. Definitly not getting excited but still looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
markemark Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Don't talk like central NC has done that great: two <0.5" events with one that was almost all melted by the late afternoon of the same day. Something still beats nothing though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted December 19, 2010 Share Posted December 19, 2010 Don't talk like central NC has done that great: two <0.5" events with one that was almost all melted by the late afternoon of the same day. The only people who have done well are SW VA and far NW NC (plus mountains). Everyone else has more or less been screwed, with token amounts of snow here or there. For the amount of cold we've had, with the kind of departures we've had, this has been a fairly disappointing month. You should move north. Hillsborough is approaching 6" for the year. (if my wife's 2" of snow for the last event before the sleet and freezing rain washed it away). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.