burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Here is the JMA http://www.wxcaster.com/conus_0012_foreign_models.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sweet. Yeah no post accu. Thanks Man! I would post it but its on AccuweatherPro and as far as I know it is against board rules to post it. It spreads about 3/4 - 1" qpf through mine and your areas with the 1 - 1.25 inch line south of I-85. And oconoeexman your right on that freezing line with the 3/4 - 1" of qpf also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sweet. Yeah no post accu. Thanks Man! Sorry I take that back its more along the lines of 1/2" or a little more its hard to read since it only does 24 hour increments Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I would post it but its on AccuweatherPro and as far as I know it is against board rules to post it. It spreads about1/2" qpf through mine and your areas. And oconoeexman your right on that freezing line with the 1/2" of qpf also. THX and I say BRING IT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Anyone else think we have the most beautiful Atlantic and the most horrific Pacific depicted on the maps at 500??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Anyone else think we have the most beautiful Atlantic and the most horrific Pacific depicted on the maps at 500??? A split flow would be nice. It seems like it's been forever since we've seen a split flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS looks like the Euro for our event on the weekend. Lots of moisture associated with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCBlizzard Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS looks like the Euro for our event on the weekend. Lots of moisture associated with it too bad that cold air is just to our NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 GFS looks like the Euro for our event on the weekend. Lots of moisture associated with it 18z GFS clobbers the WNC mountains....again. On to the 0z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Move that bastard south a little so it can rack us all. 00Z here we come! 18z GFS clobbers the WNC mountains....again. On to the 0z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 only rain it looks like here in NEGA (Athens). We only need a little more cold air...wishful thinking! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Move that bastard south a little so it can rack us all. 00Z here we come! I'm with ya on that! This is still a long way out, expect a cliff diving model run or two then hopefully back on the bandwagon as we get to friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Update from JB... ENSEMBLES ON EAST COAST: IMPRESSIVE. The GFS and the UKMET operational are the most impressive of the operational models on the weekend threat on the east coast. I am impressed with ALL THE MODELING upper air pattern, they are pretty much in agreement and in fact it looks a little like the Christmas 1966 snowstorm as far as the pattern. But what is missing is the consensus on the surface evolution, and oddly enough, the usual suspects are opposite of their usual position., ITS THE GFS that is keying on the development toward the trough, rather than feeding back and sending it out to sea! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 A def trend toward the Euro! at hr96 the low is southeast of Macon a little more than the 12z run then the low moves to just off the Charleston coast. A much better trend IMO. Mountains would do well and even parts east of the Mtns. Just a little more southeast jog and a lot more of us are in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The Nogaps stuck to its guns with a suppressed southern slider. Maybe it'll score a coup! Verbatim, it paints the best swath of snow from athens to charlotte to eastern NC. The biggest winners would be extreme eastern NC. Greenville, SC to Raleigh would be the fringe of the precip shield. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I would post it but its on AccuweatherPro and as far as I know it is against board rules to post it. It spreads about1/2" qpf through mine and your areas. And oconoeexman your right on that freezing line with the 1/2" of qpf also. I'll take this right now for MBY> Heres a link, save it. http://www.stormvistamodels.com/JMA12z.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 18z GFS clobbers the WNC mountains....again. On to the 0z.... It's not too far away from getting you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Here is the 12z JMA with the 850 overlayed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Heres the 18z gfs total qpf. The Euro and JMA are colder than the gfs and little futher south. As pointed out all models are pretty close with synoptics pattern from right now-5 days out and closing in. Be fun tonight and for the next 4 days praying this thing produces. Gonna be a moisture laden event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Heres the 18z gfs total qpf. The Euro and JMA are colder than the gfs and little futher south. As pointed out all models are pretty close with synoptics pattern from right now-5 days out and closing in. Be fun tonight and for the next 4 days praying this thing produces. Gonna be a moisture laden event. Hawt @#$% Please Baby Jesus let it be cold enough! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Here is the 12z JMA with the 850 overlayed... Looks like maybe some snow here for us in NEGA (Athens)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 i would expect and adjustment westward by the euro tonight because the ensemble mean was right around the same track of the op run if not a little west and usually the ens mean has a southeastward bias so a little movement west isnt out of the question imo.....12z was very close to something bigger it was just a little too strung out. and the fact that nearly every ensemble member for the ggem was west of its op run position so that may come farther west as well. but the 18z gfs ensemble is a good bit se of the 12z ensemble so we'll see i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Looks like maybe some snow here for us in NEGA (Athens)... As long as we're taking the JMA seriously, I have a unicorn for sale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 It's not too far away from getting you! Just need the GFS 60 miles to the south and I'm gold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I hate to burst the JMA bubble, but some of "or most of" that precip falls before the 850 0 line comes through. Look at where the 850 line is prior to the 96hr 24hr qpf map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I'm gonna go make chocolate truffles...see you at the 0z. (...and no, this is not a euphemism.) 31 cold degrees and clear...dropping fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I hate to burst the JMA bubble, but some of "or most of" that precip falls before the 850 0 line comes through. Look at where the 850 line is prior to the 96hr 24hr qpf map. And it has been that way for the past several runs, too warm for most... Also, an 850 track like the GFS is currently showing, forming around the upstate of SC and moving to near Norfolk, is less than ideal for the SE in general, excluding western NC. If this storm impacts the MA and NE, the SE is probably screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
audioguy3107 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 So everyone here along with the models show potential (however low) for some type of wintry event for this weekend. Then I go and read FFC's disussion and they're talking about instability possibilties and "ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY". What am I missing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Was the GFS to warm up here in N.Foothills NC for Saturday ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Was the GFS to warm up here in N.Foothills NC for Saturday ? it looks to me that it briefly starts as rain or maybe sleet and then switches over to snow in time for a pretty big snow. someone correct me if im wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.