POWERSTROKE Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 local met says winds up to 30mph today but they are calm now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 11.8F currently in Indian Trail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sure sign models are not showing much if anything. It's very quiet in here this morning. 17.7 this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sure sign models are not showing much if anything. It's very quiet in here this morning. 17.7 this morning I think the 00z suite was a bit of a kick in the pants outside of the NAM. Onward and upward to 12z! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
crossthread Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 current Obs from ILM.... TEMP: 24.4 ClearWindchill:12 °F Humidity:62%Dew Point:14 °F Wind:19.8 mphfrom the NNW window.wind_animate['CONDBOXWIND']=new WindRotate("condboxArrowDiv",14,311); Wind Gust:26.0 mphPressure:29.95 in (Rising) Visibility:10.0 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Sure sign models are not showing much if anything. It's very quiet in here this morning. 17.7 this morning Weekend event looks most promising to me IMO. Thursday is to iffy for us on 1) moisture/ no more than .25 avg and Staying all Snow, would be ice/mix mostly and will have to work with whatever cold air we can wetbulb to, then count on it to sustain itself w/o any help. Don't write it off, still to early, but low impact. 12 z and 0z trends tonight should tell the tale in regards Thursday. Winds decoupled at the house and hit 13. Got to hit the phase just right Saturday and it could be a dandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 8.9 Wonderful degrees this morning!!!! Lowest of the year for me. You keep on talking like that and I will keep reading!! Weekend event looks most promising to me IMO. Thursday is to iffy for us on 1) moisture/ no more than .25 avg and Staying all Snow, would be ice/mix mostly and will have to work with whatever cold air we can wetbulb to, then count on it to sustain itself w/o any help. Don't write it off, still to early, but low impact. 12 z and 0z trends tonight should tell the tale in regards Thursday. Winds decoupled at the house and hit 13. Got to hit the phase just right Saturday and it could be a dandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 JB this morning. I expect modeling to consolidate on a healthy storm that will bring snows from the Tennessee valley to the coastal mid and north atlantic states this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Hit 13.1 here NE of Atlanta this morning, a wind chill of... -.2 degrees. Ok... zero, why split hairs! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Very cold here... 8 degrees now. Lowest since I've lived here (two years). We bottomed out right near 1.2F. SEVERAL degrees lower than was progged (was supposed to be 10 or so) This (I THINK) the coldest temps I've seen in the 5 years I've been up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 My low this year was 10.9 on January 9th. I just got a new script working that displays the highs and lows for each day of the year in a table. The cells background color varies based on the temp. Very slick. Today won't be updated until midnight. http://www.daculawea...tempdetails.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 locals say high here today will be around 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 locals say high here today will be around 29 I think that is probably way too warm for you. There's a pocket of -16 about to enter nw NC and the cold advection aloft should really keep all of northern NC very cold today. Where you are I'd go for 24 to 26. Even down here I'm forecasting 30 at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Some records got set down in SC last night. Last I checked, Augusta was 12 degrees still around 8:30AM. The windchill is pretty brutal also. They are forecasting a high of 38 here in the Columbia area. I think I'll just build a fire and figure out a way to get the heated air from the living room to go through the air ducts to keep everything warm. This electric bill is gonna suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 KATL tied record low of 15 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DixieBlizzard Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 KATL tied record low of 15 degrees They also set the lowest maximum yesterday with 29F. I had 14F this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Hit 13.1 here NE of Atlanta this morning, a wind chill of... -.2 degrees. Ok... zero, why split hairs! It was 12.1 when I left for work this morning. It probably dropped a little bit after I left but the wind was picking up a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 My record low on this date was 11 degrees in 1962... missed it by 2.1 degrees. '62 must have been bad down here, The last three days the records were 4, -4, 11, all in '62. That -4 on the 13th was the record low for the month also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neatlburbwthrguy Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 I am confused by all the threads. Anyways, what does it look like for north georgia for tomorrow afternoon/evening. Will anything reach the ground? If so, you think we could get any snow at the onset? Thanks as always for the insight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCMetroWinston Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 While cold last night, it still was not as cold for most in NC as last week. Charlotte got down to 15 this morning, whereas it got down to 12 last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherheels Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Just looking at the 00z ensembles from last night and I feel encouraged that someone in NC probably sees a good snowstorm this weekend. The majority of the members have a storm, and a few have quite a large storm. Looks like it's going to be a wild ride over the next 5/6 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 The overnight discussion from RAH seems they don't really know where to go with Thursday's storm or this weekend's storm. I liked how they used the word chaos to describe the forecast for the Thursday storm and they are using a broad forecast for now. They did say this weekend could be a significant winter storm that needs watching. SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 315 AM... LATEST GFS HAS REDUCED THE VERY TIGHT 850 MILLIBAR PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER NORTH CAROLINA FOR THURSDAY FROM PREVIOUS RUNS... WITH GFS DROPPING WINDS AT GREENSBORO FIFTEEN KNOTS OR SO... DOWN TO A STILL BRISK 30 KNOTS. 00Z ECMWF CONTINUES AT NEAR 50 KNOTS WITH THE NAM UNDER 20 KNOTS. THIS MAKES ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD IN ADVECTION OF MOISTURE AND WARM AIR... THROWING PRECIPITATION TYPE...TIMING... AND CHANGE OF TYPE INTO CHAOS. ALTHOUGH THE NAM PERHAPS UNDERDONE IN ITS WINDS... IT HAS BEEN ROCK STEADY IN DEPICTING A QUICK MILLER B COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY BEFORE QUICKLY SHUNTING THIS LOW OUT TO SEA. THE NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS LOOK MORE REASONABLE WITH MELTING SNOW ALOFT CREATING A LARGE ISOTHERMAL LAYER ALOFT NEAR FREEZING... DELAYING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A STRONG WARM NOSE ALOFT. THE NAM GENEROUS PRECIPITATION IS CLEARLY EXPLAINED BY ITS WELL DEFINED SPEED CONVERGENCE AT 850 MILLIBARS AS IT BRINGS A FIFTY KNOT JET INTO THE SOUTHWEST PIEDMONT FROM SOUTH CAROLINA. THE GRADIENT ON OTHER MODELS IS NOT NEARLY AS PRONOUNCED... WHICH DILUTES THE POTENTIAL LIFT... DELAYING PRECIPITATION. AT THIS TIME FAVORING THE NAM BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE. THIS WOULD BRING SNOW... OR RAIN AND SNOW INTO THE WEST BEFORE SUNRISE THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WOULD RISE A BIT BEFORE PRECIPITATION DROPS THE NORTH TO NEAR FREEZING... WITH THE SOUTH IN THE MID 30S. NOT AT ALL SOLD ON THE SEVEN TO TEN DEGREE DIURNAL RISE IN TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST... AS EARLY ONSET OF PRECIPITATION COULD LIMIT THE RISE TO ONLY A FEW DEGREES... ESPECIALLY WEST. HAVE DELAYED ALL RAIN TRANSITION TO AFTERNOON IN THE NORTH... AND POTENTIALLY TO LATE IN THE DAY. AN EARLIER TRANSITION IN THE WARMER SOUTH. DISCUSSION OF AMOUNTS... TIMING... AND PRECIPITATION TYPE WITH SO LITTLE MODEL CONSENSUS IS FOLLY. WILL KEEP THINGS AS BROAD AS POSSIBLE WITH MINIMAL CHANGES TO THE FORECAST OTHER THAN OUTLINED ABOVE. FRIDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY: THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALOFT WILL APPROACH/OVERSPREAD A SURFACE FRONT/BAROCLINIC ZONE AND RESULTANT CORRIDOR OF PROBABLE CYCLOGENESIS FROM THE GULF TO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTS... WHICH WARRANTS CHANCE POPS... THROUGH THE PERIOD. WHILE THE PRECIPITATION... IF IT INDEED MATERIALIZES... WOULD LIKELY BEGIN AS RAIN LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT... IT COULD TRANSITIONING TO FROZEN FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE COASTAL CYCLONE DEEPENS AND DRAWS COLDER AIR INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. THIS POSSIBLE STORM SYSTEM BEARS WATCHING... AS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM FOR THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC REGION AND NORTHEAST... PROVIDED THE POLAR VORTEX OVER THE NORTHEAST AT PRESENT LIFTS/RELAXES NORTHWARD (IN RESPONSE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED RETROGRESSION OF THE BLOCKING HIGH)... AND SUBSEQUENTLY ALLOWS FOR SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE AMPLIFICATION DEPICTED BY RECENT GFS RUNS AND EC RUNS FROM 2-3 DAYS AGO. THE ALTERNATIVE SCENARIO WOULD BE FOR A FASTER AND WEAKER... MORE ZONAL STORM TRACK OFF THE EAST COAST OWING TO A MORE PERSISTENT POLAR VORTEX AND SHEARING WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC... AS DEPICTED BY THE MORE RECENT RUNS OF THE EC. A COMPROMISE SOLUTION.. FOR NOW... SEEMS BEST GIVEN THE BLOCKY AND DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE PATTERN ALOFT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UNCCmetgrad Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 While cold last night, it still was not as cold for most in NC as last week. Charlotte got down to 15 this morning, whereas it got down to 12 last week. Yea I was kinda surprised CLT did not get lower than that as they are usually one of the colder locations around here. I did see that Gastonia reached 11 degrees this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Even now, stuck at 27.1 at 9:45 in the morning here on the Island. Got down to 24.3 earlier this morning. The airport got down to 22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 Yea I was kinda surprised CLT did not get lower than that as they are usually one of the colder locations around here. I did see that Gastonia reached 11 degrees this morning. The winds didn't decouple. This kept temps up a bit. NWS forecasted a low here of 13 last night. We only made 18. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 CAE dropped to 19 this morning while mby was down to 15.4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 JB this morning. I expect modeling to consolidate on a healthy storm that will bring snows from the Tennessee valley to the coastal mid and north atlantic states this weekend Sounds like the kiss of death to me, but maybe that's just because I am still burning from his "blizzard" call for the southern apps 2 years ago that didn't happen, or his other numerous calls for a southern apps storm that never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 They also set the lowest maximum yesterday with 29F. I had 14F this morning. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 While cold last night, it still was not as cold for most in NC as last week. Charlotte got down to 15 this morning, whereas it got down to 12 last week. Wait till tonight. Winds will die quickly after sunset. I'm thinking MBY has a shot at 9, we'll see if ideal radiational conditions set up. DP will suport single digits and if I max out say 29-30 and no wind, should be able to do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 14, 2010 Share Posted December 14, 2010 They also set the lowest maximum yesterday with 29F. I had 14F this morning. KM said on the radio about 30 minutes ago that they broke it at 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.