BIG FROSTY Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I was in Greensboro today, BUT NOT for the reason you think! Bring on the COLD & SNOW!!! This snowman has suffered long enough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Well written and in a professional manner-like forecast as usual Robert. I have to say that I like our chances here for another potential of a decent winter for the third time. Of course, we know there's always that chance to be wrong but hey it's weather forecasting and no meteorologist on this earth could ever be correct consistently. If that were the case, we wouldn't have the need to further advance our technology and be able to discover new things and creating fresh ideas for better accuracy. It would make the science become boring eventually. You've been on such a roll with many of your predictions and I would love to see you nail this upcoming season. Keep up the good work and let there be many days and nights of model drama to go around haha. Until then, we can only look forward to the season and ponder the possibilities in store. Here's to a third fantastic winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Nice read...Good luck on the forecast Robert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Also asking because I'm considering flying down to Birmingham/Jackson/Atlanta/etc. to give SE chasing a shot, if a big outbreak becomes evident. If you ever need a place to stay when you're in Atlanta chasing, you're welcome to stay at my place. I know traveling is expensive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 6 minutes after posting an extensive thorough winter outlook, you ask about spring because you want to chase in the SE??? REALLY??? I hate to think of the alternative if you are not the best troll ever.... I take it posts such as the one referenced are reasons why you are rarely seen nowadays... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 This makes my heart happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 I take it posts such as the one referenced are reasons why you are rarely seen nowadays... Um. No. Mr. Bob is a great MET and has been around for a hell of a long time. TBH I wanted to say the exact same thing. Hard enough to make a winter forecast this far out and people are asking about spring weather and the possibly of SVR season. That's why you start another thread. Guess you can't make everyone happy though. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 great year!!! That's when I was born Damn... that's when I graduated high school!!! But it was a great year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Awesome read and more great learning from one of the best! Thanks for your time and efforts Robert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Bob Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Um. No. Mr. Bob is a great MET and has been around for a hell of a long time. TBH I wanted to say the exact same thing. Hard enough to make a winter forecast this far out and people are asking about spring weather and the possibly of SVR season. That's why you start another thread. Guess you can't make everyone happy though. I think Blue Ridge meant something similar to you..... And Thanks but perhaps I am just a crotchety old bastard these days...I just burnt out as an admin at Eastern back in its heyday...and there were behaviors from then that still rub me the wrong way...And why would you want to chase in the SE versus the plains anyway if you had the resources to do either? April 27th is a once in a lifetime event...SE chasing is nothing like that. I will be around for any interesting winter developments...this time last year we are about to the day of the Chick. Dam tornado...this fall has been a little boring to say the least. At any rate, if it does not irritate Robert, I should just butt out anyway... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Damn... that's when I graduated high school!!! But it was a great year! Don't tell on your self! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 19, 2011 Share Posted October 19, 2011 Don't tell on your self! Too late! I also had a brand new 1973 Pontiac (RIP) Trans Am. 455, M22 4 speed, 3.42 gears... I was hot. Wanna see a me at 18? Me, my girlfriend, and Robert Hagstrom. He ended up writing the Warren Buffet Way http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Warren_Buffett_Way Sorry... now... back to the weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Um. No. Mr. Bob is a great MET and has been around for a hell of a long time. TBH I wanted to say the exact same thing. Hard enough to make a winter forecast this far out and people are asking about spring weather and the possibly of SVR season. That's why you start another thread. Guess you can't make everyone happy though. I'm actually on yours and his side. When I said "posts such as the one referenced," I was referring to the post Mr. Bob was questioning. I agree things are more lax and as a result less constructive it seems. EDIT I think Blue Ridge meant something similar to you..... And Thanks but perhaps I am just a crotchety old bastard these days...I just burnt out as an admin at Eastern back in its heyday...and there were behaviors from then that still rub me the wrong way...And why would you want to chase in the SE versus the plains anyway if you had the resources to do either? April 27th is a once in a lifetime event...SE chasing is nothing like that. What he said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Robert, your forecast was a joy to read as usual. Obviously I like the idea of a third cold winter in a row as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 If you ever need a place to stay when you're in Atlanta chasing, you're welcome to stay at my place. I know traveling is expensive! Here's to that. I will definitely keep that in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 I'm actually on yours and his side. When I said "posts such as the one referenced," I was referring to the post Mr. Bob was questioning. I agree things are more lax and as a result less constructive it seems. EDIT What he said. I need to work on my reading comprehension Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Robert, I have a stupid question: Old timers used to say a warm November means a cold winter (and vice versa). Looking at the current NAO status we have been basically positive since mid August. Looks like the NAO see-saws from negative to positive for months at a time. Should we be hoping for the positive pattern to continue to say the last part of November (I think like last year)? http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/new.nao_index_ensm.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Just released from NOAA, their Winter Outlook. http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/20111020_winteroutlook.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Robert, I have a stupid question: Old timers used to say a warm November means a cold winter (and vice versa). Looking at the current NAO status we have been basically positive since mid August. Looks like the NAO see-saws from negative to positive for months at a time. Should we be hoping for the positive pattern to continue to say the last part of November (I think like last year)? http://www.cpc.ncep....index_ensm.html I think the correlation is actually higher if November is cold. Something like 60-40% I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Just released from NOAA, their Winter Outlook. http://www.noaanews....teroutlook.html Interesting that they make mention of NOAA implementing a "more accurate forecast model on Oct. 18th" - i.e. the NAM upgrade. We'll see if it can deliver. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 great year!!! That's when I was born I, too was born in '73 (actually, over a week prior to the February '73 storm). A heckuva year, huh? LOL Definitely, moreso for snow lovers in these parts. I'm not sure whether you've seen this or not.... But, here is a pretty, thorough synopsis of the February 1973 snowstorm. Word has it that most people didn't see it coming. Some of you have been lucky to see over a foot of snow (January 2000 and February 2004). I'm truly wishing a storm of this caliber hit our areas very, very soon. http://www1.ncdc.noa...EDSNCC2free.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 I'm not sure whether you've seen this or not.... But, here is a pretty, thorough synopsis of the February 1973 snowstorm. Word has it that most people didn't see it coming. Some of you have been lucky to see over a foot of snow (January 2000 and February 2004). I'm truly wishing a storm of this caliber hit our areas very, very soon. http://www1.ncdc.noa...EDSNCC2free.pdf I recall someone saying that the forecasters around Columbia were calling for it to snow, but they said it wasn't going to stick - and they ended up with 16 inches on the ground. Here's another good write-up on that one from Allan Huffman - http://raleighwx.ame...om/Feb1973.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Since we are talking about 1973 there was also an epic ice storm that hit Atlanta in January of that year. Wow what a winter season for Georgia that year! Leave it to Robert's winter forecast to incite the 1973 references in mid October... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 I recall someone saying that the forecasters around Columbia were calling for it to snow, but they said it wasn't going to stick - and they ended up with 16 inches on the ground. Here's another good write-up on that one from Allan Huffman - http://raleighwx.ame...om/Feb1973.html Actually, I remember hearing about the forecasters in Columbia were calling for rain. Once, it started snowing they were only expecting a dusting. Suddenly, it kept snowing and snowing and the forecasters continued to up their totals. This is what I've heard about the scenario. Here is a story (along, with a few pictures) from 2009 on February '73 snowstorm. Joe Pinner, an avid snowlover, speaks vividly about the event. http://www.wistv.com/Global/story.asp?S=9814321 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 I, too was born in '73 (actually, over a week prior to the February '73 storm). A heckuva year, huh? LOL Definitely, moreso for snow lovers in these parts. I'm not sure whether you've seen this or not.... But, here is a pretty, thorough synopsis of the February 1973 snowstorm. Word has it that most people didn't see it coming. Some of you have been lucky to see over a foot of snow (January 2000 and February 2004). I'm truly wishing a storm of this caliber hit our areas very, very soon. http://www1.ncdc.noa...EDSNCC2free.pdf I was born Feb 22nd. I hope you do get hammered this year. Last year we took four truck plows down to greenville and colombia to plow. There is no equipment there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 I was born Feb 22nd. I hope you do get hammered this year. Last year we took four truck plows down to greenville and colombia to plow. There is no equipment there I was born on the 1st. Yeah, I recall you mentioning how you were in Columbia during the aftermath of the early-January snowstorm. Very, little equipment here. Looking forward to you coming here a time or two this coming winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Good write-up, Robert. I hope you are correct! Thanks for taking the time to put it together and share it with the board! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I was born on the 1st. Yeah, I recall you mentioning how you were in Columbia during the aftermath of the early-January snowstorm. Very, little equipment here. Looking forward to you coming here a time or two this coming winter. Our anniversary is on Feb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 Article discussing the link btw Solar Ultraviolet rays and a cold winter... http://www.periscopepost.com/2011/10/another-freezing-cold-winter-forecast-suns-ultraviolet-activity-to-blame/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I was born Feb 22nd. I hope you do get hammered this year. Last year we took four truck plows down to greenville and colombia to plow. There is no equipment there Born on the 23rd of Feb! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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