Noreaster07 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 looks more zonal, no amplification, flow from the pacific Lol.. Fantasy 384 storm ftw both taken with a grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Lol.. Fantasy 384 storm ftw Looks like it will miss us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Tombo, are you doing the Euro tonight? yea ill provide the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 yea ill provide the info. Thanks man...I know this winter is probably wearing you out with so many threats! The 12z ECM was dramatically different from the GFS in its handling of the storm, having a coastal getting rolling around HSE and keeping most people's 850s below 0C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Thanks man...I know this winter is probably wearing you out with so many threats! The 12z ECM was dramatically different from the GFS in its handling of the storm, having a coastal getting rolling around HSE and keeping most people's 850s below 0C. im off til feb 1, once that hits the euro pbp will be limited only to night time and when storm threats are there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 0z GGEM is really interesting. Looks like it digs the low further south than the GFS. 120 http://www.weatherof...ast/136_100.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 hr 144 on the gem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 What does the temp profile look like on the GGEM? And does anyone have the in-between frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 What does the temp profile look like on the GGEM?And does anyone have the in-between frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 The coastal could be a little stronger, but that's a great track for NYC metro...1010mb off the Delmarva, stays well off the coast. Definitely a snow track in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Dayumm that is a pretty looking map from the GGEM tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 LOL, what is the GGEM? Its 0z run or a re-analysis of yesterday's event? Because it looks almost like a carbon copy of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 The coastal could be a little stronger, but that's a great track for NYC metro...1010mb off the Delmarva, stays well off the coast. Definitely a snow track in my book. So nobody could find any lows in Januray that took that track and brought all rain! Sorry for my trolling, Congrats to CT on your Oswego snowfall rates!! Sorry to those who got a snack and missed 6" . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 So nobody could find any lows in Januray that took that track and brought all rain! well there is a 1025 mb high in a very good position actually on the GGEM, also thicknesses are rather cold considering the GGEM's warm bias when displaying thickness. I agree with Nzucker that this is a snow event on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 So nobody could find any lows in Januray that took that track and brought all rain! It would clearly be snow for NYC as the low forms at 1010mb in the Southern Delmarva and tracks to 1005mb east of Boston. It wouldn't bring that much precipitation, in all probability, with a lack of intensification, but it's definitely cold enough. There's plenty of entrenched cold air as all the models are showing a 1025-1030mb high over Quebec, and Canada is brutally cold from the -EPO pattern. It might be a different story down in your area but there's good reason to be interested in this storm in NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 lol, you can tell no storm is in the short term. Only 50 members online right now. 2 nights ago, probably quadruple that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 NYC http://68.226.77.253...FS/GFS_knyc.txt Text soundings show 0.16 QPF of snow for next week's storm on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 alright the euro has init, lets see if we can get a ggem-like solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 lol, you can tell no storm is in the short term. Only 50 members online right now. 2 nights ago, probably quadruple that. Withdrawal from a big Nor'easter. If the ECM shows a hit tonight along with the GGEM for the Tuesday/Wednesday system next week, then we'll see more people online. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 lol, you can tell no storm is in the short term. Only 50 members online right now. 2 nights ago, probably quadruple that. Yesterday, there were over 1,000 members online. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 lol, you can tell no storm is in the short term. Only 50 members online right now. 2 nights ago, probably quadruple that. they come out of the woodwork if you mention blizzard. How much?- excuse me -- how many? will jump on board if you mention another boxing day storm? I find it amusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Yesterday, there were over 1,000 members online. im saying in this forum....not american in general, unless there was 1,000 in the nyc/phl thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 they come out of the woodwork if you mention blizzard. How much?- excuse me -- how many? will jump on board if you mention another boxing day storm? I find it amusing almost like the bandwagons of weather lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 almost like the bandwagons of weather lol tombo, were you planning on giving some info on the clipper that's coming through on Saturday? Is it all in New England or does PA/MD get in on any of the action? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 tombo, were you planning on giving some info on the clipper that's coming through on Saturday? Is it all in New England or does PA/MD get in on any of the action? yea, when it gets into range ill say something about it. The 12z run was well north of the area with precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 almost like the bandwagons of weather lol Well lets get the band wagon rolling for laughs. lets use this song each time someone says blizzard, boxing day storm, hammered, unreal or thumped http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MSHr4ubuD64 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 Well lets get the band wagon rolling for laughs. lets use this song each time someone says blizzard, boxing day storm, hammered, unreal or thumped http://www.youtube.c...h?v=MSHr4ubuD64 .....anyways, the clipper is very weak sub 1012, no one really gets precip except i80 north, but its very lgt precip .01-.1...hr 78 its gets a little juicier.. .01-.1 from m/d line north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 for the next storm so far at h5, the northern stream isn;t nearly as involved yet as 12z so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 through hr 96, its holding the energy back in sw tx longer than 12z, and the northern stream is less aggressive as 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 13, 2011 Share Posted January 13, 2011 hr 108 has a sub 1012 low 125 miles sse of hou...stronger s/w...but northern stream still lagging compared to 12z.... trof still pos tilted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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