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Your winter snowfall predictions here


Ginx snewx

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  On 10/13/2011 at 4:31 PM, CT Blizz said:

I am 100% convinced we have lost March for winter wx in the current climate. maybe it goes back the other way down the road..but for now..we need to plan on having 3 months of winter..and if we're lucky some years, it starts in November

If that's the case than a lousy Dec. will have a lot of people depressed thinking there is only 8 more weeks of winter.

I don't know what the cause is but only one of the past 5 Marches has been decent and 3 have been horrible.

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  On 10/13/2011 at 5:28 PM, grinch1989 said:

There was a time on eastern when we had a swct subforum along with a back and forth debate of whether SWCT was new england or mid atlantic. My post was meant to be comical, hence the popcorn.gif

I remember that, It does not belong in the mid atlantic thats for sure, Maybe NY Metro......lol

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  On 10/13/2011 at 5:36 PM, Ginx said:

Well here are some years to look at for a good rep of varying types of winters

Forgot about that thread, Very helpful that Will puts that together, I guess my concerns is how far south the gradient ends up being this winter if its more like 2007-2008 or other wise

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  On 10/13/2011 at 5:43 PM, tamarack said:

That would be admirable. In that setup, your getting 115" would likely bring 130"+ IMBY.

Ginx, Where's Vim Toot? Last SWFE winter he approached 200".

added KTAMARACK- New Sharon Maine 132 INCHES

Vim Toot is in OT hell I think but oh heck KTOOT- Somewhere in Buttfook Maine 165 inches

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  On 10/13/2011 at 5:46 PM, Ginx said:

added KTAMARACK- New Sharon Maine 132 INCHES

Vim Toot is in OT hell I think but oh heck KTOOT- Somewhere in Buttfook Maine 165 inches

Thanks (though my attempted guess would drop everybody by about 20%.) VT home base is close to PQI, though that doesn't invalidate your present label.

LOL..so a record smashing winter for them by like 40 inches?

CAR had 198" in 07-08, PQI "only" 158" despite being only 12 miles south. I suspect much of the difference is measuring technique rather than gradient.

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  On 10/13/2011 at 5:56 PM, tamarack said:

Thanks (though my attempted guess would drop everybody by about 20%.) VT home base is close to PQI, though that doesn't invalidate your present label.

LOL..so a record smashing winter for them by like 40 inches?

CAR had 198" in 07-08, PQI "only" 158" despite being only 12 miles south. I suspect much of the difference is measuring technique rather than gradient.

I was assuming he meant that for areas round NEw Sharon

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  On 10/13/2011 at 6:16 PM, Ginx said:

KTUBES- Dobbs Ferry NY 38 inches

KSOCKS- Rindge NH 113 inches

Nice!

(as was the 97" for Hubb'town)

I'm not nearly that bold... I'm thinking 75-90% of avg for most... maybe a bit above normal for the northern teir folks.

But I am not well versed enough

One of these days we will be getting a dud.

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  On 10/13/2011 at 6:32 PM, CT Blizz said:

In a gradient south winter?

I truly think that we'll need some help from the NAO or hopefully a NPAC type ridging. If we do...then maybe it's not such a gradient around these parts.

It's funny...last year I never felt truly worried about the winter and my gut turned out right. This winter, I'm a little more nervous...for a couple of reasons. 1) The gradient..although I think overall KBOS will be on the better side of it. 2) Marine taint and a winter like '00-'01. It wasn't a bad winter for BOS, but when 40 miles away gets 60" more of snow....that is disappointing.

I do think if we can keep a semblance of blocking and/or some good ole NPAC ridging...that will make for a decent winter for a good chunk of SNE. If Steve is right...I'll take that snowfall in a heartbeat.

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  On 10/13/2011 at 6:58 PM, CoastalWx said:

I truly think that we'll need some help from the NAO or hopefully a NPAC type ridging. If we do...then maybe it's not such a gradient around these parts.

It's funny...last year I never felt truly worried about the winter and my gut turned out right. This winter, I'm a little more nervous...for a couple of reasons. 1) The gradient..although I think overall KBOS will be on the better side of it. 2) Marine taint and a winter like '00-'01. It wasn't a bad winter for BOS, but when 40 miles away gets 60" more of snow....that is disappointing.

I do think if we can keep a semblance of blocking and/or some good ole NPAC ridging...that will make for a decent winter for a good chunk of SNE. If Steve is right...I'll take that snowfall in a heartbeat.

At least right now..I'm thinking blocking is going to be strong enough to force things south to some degree. I.e SNE gets more snow than NNE..not that they won;t get snow.just whiffed more often than not....but that the cold actually overwhelms the pattern so much that the natural gradient is forced south..that would mean the M/A does ok as well

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