MichMedic Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 He should have bought the big one. His dad was using that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Yeah, that's the one. You phase that with the main s/w, close of an 500mb center, and you got a better shot of wrapping the sfc low back to the NNW, rather than N/NNE like the NAM's showing now. I shall be pulling for you on this one...probably somewhat of a long shot, but we'll hope. And I shall be rooting on my snow showers/flurries on the back end for here. Gotta salvage something from this cluster... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Positive feedback cyclogenesis looking even more likely now. If the NAM southern stream shortwave intensity is true combined with a continued trend for more low level cold air...the intensity trend may actually continue still beyond this run. I was going to post earlier in the day, but had a very important post-early shift nap to get to. I'm glad someone brought this up. A few of the 12z models indicated this type of cyclogenesis by developing a jet streak northeast of the progged surface low. As you very nicely explained, the atmosphere was trying to establish a balance between the low level convergence by developing an upper level jet streak and associated divergence. This feature helps to validate the northern tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 [captain obvious] With that much inland penetration (and associated increased wind speeds), you would expect to lose some of the organized intensity associated with a concentrated single band event. [/captain obvious] That's what usually happens but other factors (if they're very good) may be able to compensate to some extent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I am right on the edge of that green blot in the middle of Ohio. 5"! Edit: How the hell did the map change after the posting??? The snow amounts are totally different! Sorry man. I must have accidently posted the 12z version, before it updated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I shall be pulling for you on this one...probably somewhat of a long shot, but we'll hope. And I shall be rooting on my snow showers/flurries on the back end for here. Gotta salvage something from this cluster... We'll still have a sliver of hope when the 00z UKMET takes it through IND. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Sorry man. I must have accidently posted the 12z version, before it updated. Its cool! First I was like whoah! And then I was like whooooah! And then Whoah? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 UP gets demolished. Although for them, I'm sure this is old hat. Wanna guess where I live in relation to this map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I shall be pulling for you on this one...probably somewhat of a long shot, but we'll hope. And I shall be rooting on my snow showers/flurries on the back end for here. Gotta salvage something from this cluster... Thanks. The bolded part is an understatement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I am now very close to the 18-20" area! WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brettman320 Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Wanna guess where I live in relation to this map Lol I was thinking the exact same thing ugh..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Has anyone issued a missing persons report for JB?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 We'll still have a sliver of hope when the 00z UKMET takes it through IND. Good stuff. I lol'ed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 I am now very close to the 18-20" area! WOW! LOL. Here we were looking forward to a quick inch or two followed by numbing cold... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Wanna guess where I live in relation to this map Yeah, that's rough. Still some time left though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Has anyone issued a missing persons report for JB?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 18z RGEM took the surface low through central Iowa to far northern Illinois 00z has it northern Iowa through far southern Wisky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Wanna guess where I live in relation to this map dont feel bad steb....see that weenie shaped blob of no snow in the center of ohio?..... ...you guessed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goknights Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Any bets on how big of a jump the GFS takes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 So any guesses when MPX puts that pretty orange/red box up? I won't be satisfied with the pink... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 RGEM ptype at 36 & 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Yeah, that's rough. Still some time left though. The only reason I haven't dive off the bridge yet is because its the NAM. But trends are very ugly, and I could careless about a flash freeze because knowing my luck I'll have to drive home from work right after it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Has anyone issued a missing persons report for JB?? last column post was 10pm last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 dont feel bad steb....see that weenie shaped blob of no snow in the center of ohio?..... ...you guessed it So is the NAM giving us sleet than, or does its 850 0C line mean absolutely nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 Well after looking at the 1000-850mb thickness values, I fold. Congrats Minneapolis, Green Bay, Duluth, Marquette and Alpena!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 So any guesses when MPX puts that pretty orange/red box up? I won't be satisfied with the pink... You thinkin blizzard warnings in the state? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 RGEM ptype at 36 & 48 You can see the cold air trying to chase down the exiting precip on the very back fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 0Z RGEM 36 & 48 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 You thinkin blizzard warnings in the state? 60 knot winds right off the deck and a 1030 high in North Dakota? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 10, 2010 Share Posted December 10, 2010 last column post was 10pm last night Next post probably will not even talk about the STORM, but focus on the LIFE THREATENING COLD that will follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.