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October 16th-19th Storm.


SpartyOn

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RECORD EVENT REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA

0832 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT FORT WAYNE...

AS OF 8 PM EDT....A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.53 INCHES WAS SET AT FORT

WAYNE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 0.84 SET IN 1989. THIS

RECORD IS PRELIMINARY AS THE TOTAL DAILY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO

INCREASE BEFORE THE DAY IS OVER DUE TO ONGOING RAIN.

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I know a few of you might disagree..The NAM did what I see as a decent job with regards to a general track. Precip wise the NAM did ok but I gotta hand it to the high res. GFS did sniff this beast out early so in that respect I must give it credit even though it took it away then morphed it into what we currently have. Models....lol

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Nasty outside right now. One of those days when an umbrella doesn't really do much because of the wind. Pretty much had to hold it at a 90 degree angle to keep the crappy thing from turning inside out. :arrowhead:

'Bout half an inch of rain so far

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The NAM was way too west with the high QPF amounts. Even as early as this morning, it was only showing about a half inch of rain in CLE. Here it is still pouring outside with a good 2-2.5" of rain today. What an awesome storm for CLE to break the all time precip record with.

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Ok mid way through the storm...now let's decide what model did the best with this one.

You can't. No "one" model did best. Not to mention many aspects need to be considered...and it isn't even close to done yet. Track, intensity, rainfall totals, winds, etc all need to be considered. Already down to 986 per HPC. On pure deepening the RGEM will likely lead the way with its 980-981 it has suggested the last two days. NAM early on was down sub-980 then backed off. GFS was consistently 990+, but it was more consistent on placement of heavy qpf. Really can't pick a model "winner" here, especially not yet.

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MOP has reported Unknow Precip earlier. I was outside at the time, and it was raining. Don't know what to think of that report.

Anyone have confirmation of the mixing reports? I've seen post regarding mixing in the Eastern KY mountains...but a few "outlets" are reporting snow in IN and MI mixing with the rain.

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gosh those are pure weather porn..i saved the vis sat back in April, but that WV image is sweet.

Yeah agreed, that storm was not only sick in terms of its impacts, some of the coolest satellite images I have seen in a long time.

love systems like this when you can clearly see so many details going on.

Yeah these beast storms are always exciting to watch develop.

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Anyone have confirmation of the mixing reports? I've seen post regarding mixing in the Eastern KY mountains...but a few "outlets" are reporting snow in IN and MI mixing with the rain.

RQB, OEB, IRS, JYM, LWA and AMN are reporting IP. MOP, HYX, RNP and BAX are reporting -SN.

Chance of any frozen precip actually being seen at those sites... 0.1%

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