snowstormcanuck Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:39 AM, dmc76 said: Its good night to sit in the garage smoking a cigar and drinking some ginger ales and watch the storm. Just got in from puffing a $20 Davidoff. What a waste of money. 0.51" here so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 Ok mid way through the storm...now let's decide what model did the best with this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 0832 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2011 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT FORT WAYNE... AS OF 8 PM EDT....A RECORD RAINFALL OF 1.53 INCHES WAS SET AT FORT WAYNE TODAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 0.84 SET IN 1989. THIS RECORD IS PRELIMINARY AS THE TOTAL DAILY RAINFALL IS LIKELY TO INCREASE BEFORE THE DAY IS OVER DUE TO ONGOING RAIN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:51 AM, snowstormcanuck said: Just got in from puffing a $20 Davidoff. What a waste of money. 0.51" here so far. Hey, you're ahead of me 0.45" and wind picking up, latest obs from the airport 33mph gust at 851pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:54 AM, on_wx said: Hey, you're ahead of me 0.45" and wind picking up, latest obs from the airport 33mph gust at 851pm Things are really going to fill in over the next couple of hours. RUC really gives us a soaking overnight as the llj strengthens. Elevated instability means maybe a rumble or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 It is just pouring here, I'd estimate us above 1.50" so far here in Eastpointe on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:58 AM, snowstormcanuck said: Things are really going to fill in over the next couple of hours. RUC really gives us a soaking overnight as the llj strengthens. Elevated instability means maybe a rumble or two. Yeah maybe those crackpot +3" totals will end up being low even lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:16 AM, Northern_IN_Wx said: What a waste of an amazing storm track for us in north-central IN. Ugh... Would be a hell of a snowstorm, huh? BTW, nice to see posting again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 1:00 AM, Chicago WX said: Would be a hell of a snowstorm, huh? BTW, nice to see posting again. Massive blizzard for most of the Great Lakes. Lets have this occur in about 2 months time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 0745 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NE CHICAGO 41.92N 87.57W 10/19/2011 M61 MPH LMZ741 IL C-MAN STATION 53 KNOT GUST RECORDED AT HARRISON-DEVER CRIB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 0710 PM NON-TSTM WND GST WAUKEGAN 42.37N 87.87W 10/19/2011 M58 MPH LAKE IL OFFICIAL NWS OBS 50 KNOT GUST MEASURED AT WAUKEGAN HARBOR GLOS WEATHER STATION. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 1:03 AM, Stebo48858 said: Massive blizzard for most of the Great Lakes. Lets have this occur in about 2 months time. An all-timer no doubt. But I digress... Wicked outside. Love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Still under 0.50" rain here thus far, with a top wind gust of 30mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 1:03 AM, Stebo48858 said: Massive blizzard for most of the Great Lakes. Lets have this occur in about 2 months time. I think in general the "always prepare for an aggressive dryslot" rule is sound, but every once in a while you get a wildcard. I would have preferred the exception being GHD 2011 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 1:09 AM, Chicago WX said: An all-timer no doubt. But I digress... Wicked outside. Love it. Agree 100% all I could use now is a rumble or 2 of thunder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted October 20, 2011 Author Share Posted October 20, 2011 I know a few of you might disagree..The NAM did what I see as a decent job with regards to a general track. Precip wise the NAM did ok but I gotta hand it to the high res. GFS did sniff this beast out early so in that respect I must give it credit even though it took it away then morphed it into what we currently have. Models....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 meh.. This storm so far is a snoozer here. .33 rain so far and highest gust 31mph.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
an uncanny otter Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 We're at just under 1.8" for the past 24 hours here. The are entire area has just been getting drenched all day, and the wind has really picked up in the last few hours. The rain's tapered off a bit for now but it looks like it'll pick up again overnight. Perfectly miserable weather out there. I love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 0720 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 1 E KENOSHA 42.58N 87.80W 10/19/2011 M61 MPH LMZ646 WI C-MAN STATION 720 PM DATA-WIND SPEED 49 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 61 MPH. SENSOR IS 63 FEET HIGH IN THE AIR. ***Note that is a pretty high wind sensor*** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 24 Hour rainfall is 1.62" here, with .15" falling before 9:30 last night, so total rainfall is sitting at 1.77". Pressure in BG is down to 989mb, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Nothing worth noting here on the east west side outside a few gust to maybe 40-45... GHD storm was just relentless intensity and it will be a very hard storm to ever top IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Up to 0.75" sustained winds 22mph at 10pm. Has all the looks of a nice winter storm outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Nasty outside right now. One of those days when an umbrella doesn't really do much because of the wind. Pretty much had to hold it at a 90 degree angle to keep the crappy thing from turning inside out. 'Bout half an inch of rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 The NAM was way too west with the high QPF amounts. Even as early as this morning, it was only showing about a half inch of rain in CLE. Here it is still pouring outside with a good 2-2.5" of rain today. What an awesome storm for CLE to break the all time precip record with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdrenken Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 Anyone have confirmation of the mixing reports? I've seen post regarding mixing in the Eastern KY mountains...but a few "outlets" are reporting snow in IN and MI mixing with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 12:51 AM, SpartyOn said: Ok mid way through the storm...now let's decide what model did the best with this one. You can't. No "one" model did best. Not to mention many aspects need to be considered...and it isn't even close to done yet. Track, intensity, rainfall totals, winds, etc all need to be considered. Already down to 986 per HPC. On pure deepening the RGEM will likely lead the way with its 980-981 it has suggested the last two days. NAM early on was down sub-980 then backed off. GFS was consistently 990+, but it was more consistent on placement of heavy qpf. Really can't pick a model "winner" here, especially not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 MOP has reported Unknow Precip earlier. I was outside at the time, and it was raining. Don't know what to think of that report. On 10/20/2011 at 2:37 AM, jdrenken said: Anyone have confirmation of the mixing reports? I've seen post regarding mixing in the Eastern KY mountains...but a few "outlets" are reporting snow in IN and MI mixing with the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/19/2011 at 9:08 PM, Thundersnow12 said: gosh those are pure weather porn..i saved the vis sat back in April, but that WV image is sweet. Yeah agreed, that storm was not only sick in terms of its impacts, some of the coolest satellite images I have seen in a long time. On 10/19/2011 at 9:11 PM, Thundersnow12 said: love systems like this when you can clearly see so many details going on. Yeah these beast storms are always exciting to watch develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 this can't be right. southern MI KBAX 200235Z AUTO 03018G32KT 2SM -SN OVC008 07/07 A2945 RMK AO2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 20, 2011 Share Posted October 20, 2011 On 10/20/2011 at 2:37 AM, jdrenken said: Anyone have confirmation of the mixing reports? I've seen post regarding mixing in the Eastern KY mountains...but a few "outlets" are reporting snow in IN and MI mixing with the rain. RQB, OEB, IRS, JYM, LWA and AMN are reporting IP. MOP, HYX, RNP and BAX are reporting -SN. Chance of any frozen precip actually being seen at those sites... 0.1% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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