Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Agree. What are your thoughts on wind and also convective potential? I think we'll all see gusts to near 50 at least. Seriously Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I think we'll all see gusts to near 50 at least. Seriously Me too.. heavy heavy leaf fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I think we'll all see gusts to near 50 at least. Seriously Sure, if you happen to be vacationing somewhere between 925-200mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Sure, if you happen to be vacationing somewhere between 925-200mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Thanks Scooter, what once looked like a real chilly end of week weekend is shaping up to be normal, perhaps slightly above. Do you know off hand of a site I could go to, to look at seasonal records? Trying to put together a picture of just how warm this met fall has been across ALL of New England. Some of the major climo sites through yesterday... ID MEAN NORM DEP RANK YRS ------------------------------------ BOS 65.8 62.0 +3.8 4 76 BDL 64.4 60.6 +3.7 6 63 PVD 65.3 61.7 +3.6 5 64 ORH 62.1 58.2 +3.9 5 64 BDR 67.1 63.1 +4.0 3 64 ALB 62.9 58.6 +4.3 4 74 CON 60.9 56.8 +4.2 3 72 PWM 60.5 57.1 +3.4 4 71 BTV 60.8 57.1 +3.6 4 71 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Some of the major climo sites through yesterday... ID MEAN NORM DEP RANK YRS ------------------------------------ BOS 65.8 62.0 +3.8 4 76 BDL 64.4 60.6 +3.7 6 63 PVD 65.3 61.7 +3.6 5 64 ORH 62.1 58.2 +3.9 5 64 BDR 67.1 63.1 +4.0 3 64 ALB 62.9 58.6 +4.3 4 74 CON 60.9 56.8 +4.2 3 72 PWM 60.5 57.1 +3.4 4 71 BTV 60.8 57.1 +3.6 4 71 wow, thanks! I had a feeling it had to be close to top 5, thanks a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Some of the major climo sites through yesterday... ID MEAN NORM DEP RANK YRS ------------------------------------ BOS 65.8 62.0 +3.8 4 76 BDL 64.4 60.6 +3.7 6 63 PVD 65.3 61.7 +3.6 5 64 ORH 62.1 58.2 +3.9 5 64 BDR 67.1 63.1 +4.0 3 64 ALB 62.9 58.6 +4.3 4 74 CON 60.9 56.8 +4.2 3 72 PWM 60.5 57.1 +3.4 4 71 BTV 60.8 57.1 +3.6 4 71 Visual view: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Impressive deparetures, but we will likely leak some of the positive departures back over the final 10-12 days of this month once this storm goes by. It generally looks seasonably cool the final 10 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Agree. What are your thoughts on wind and also convective potential? I could see some elevated convection as the warm front pushes north... and also some gusty southerlies particularly in coastal NE. Not sure if we'll get any surface based convection in the warm sector. Looks windy... and very wet for a 6-8 hour period or so. Other than that nothing special... though I could see some flooding in areas where convection develops and trains near the warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I could see some elevated convection as the warm front pushes north... and also some gusty southerlies particularly in coastal NE. Not sure if we'll get any surface based convection in the warm sector. Looks windy... and very wet for a 6-8 hour period or so. Other than that nothing special... though I could see some flooding in areas where convection develops and trains near the warm front. What would of happened if this phased along the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I could see some elevated convection as the warm front pushes north... and also some gusty southerlies particularly in coastal NE. Not sure if we'll get any surface based convection in the warm sector. Looks windy... and very wet for a 6-8 hour period or so. Other than that nothing special... though I could see some flooding in areas where convection develops and trains near the warm front. Thanks Ryan! I am a bit concerned that differential thermal advection could yield a line of low-topped force convection (a QLCS perhaps?) along the occlusion to south of the T.P. I'll look closer tomorrow when I will hopefully feel motivated to do so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Thanks Ryan! I am a bit concerned that differential thermal advection could yield a line of low-topped force convection (a QLCS perhaps?) along the occlusion to south of the T.P. I'll look closer tomorrow when I will hopefully feel motivated to do so! Yeah I think it's possible... but I think the best forcing is so far west we may get away with just a monster thump of rain as the moisture streams north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Weather has been beautiful down here, SNE september like. P.S. SNE needs Chick Fil A and Five Guys. Castle Island on Friday afternoon when I land is extremely likely though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 What would of happened if this phased along the coast? http://www.rosswalker.co.uk/tv_sounds/sounds_files_20100522_6746301/star_trek/annihilation.wav speakers needed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Yeah I think it's possible... but I think the best forcing is so far west we may get away with just a monster thump of rain as the moisture streams north. this looks like a cut and dry waa thump of rain if only the system in the gulf didn't look like garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Weather has been beautiful down here, SNE september like. P.S. SNE needs Chick Fil A and Five Guys. Castle Island on Friday afternoon when I land is extremely likely though. Congrats on the win, Jay. Nice 4th quarter comeback. Sorry I didn't get to meet you--but I saw the picture of you and Emily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 As of right now I'm not too into the convective potential across our area...I do think across portions of the Carolina's they could get a really hefty severe wx event with tornadoes. Depending on how quickly the occlusion occurs I'm not so sure if we can ever truly warm sector...perhaps portions of the coast briefly warm sector so any stronger sfc-based instability would be off-shore. The other issue too is with a tropical airmass riding up the coast we see major warming in the mid-levels so lapse rates are going to suck. Could have some nasty looking cells on radar well offshore...which perhaps could try and sustain into eastern RI or SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I would prepare for fairly widespread power outages if you live in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Weather has been beautiful down here, SNE september like. P.S. SNE needs Chick Fil A and Five Guys. Castle Island on Friday afternoon when I land is extremely likely though. Already does but it depends on where in SNE. There's a Five Guys that I know of in Enfield, CT and I think there is one down by Wallingford or somewhere down in that part of the state. I think Chick-fil-a is in the NW suburbs of Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Congrats on the win, Jay. Nice 4th quarter comeback. Sorry I didn't get to meet you--but I saw the picture of you and Emily. Been extremely busy... There is December/January when I am home for 6 weeks! I know Ray wants to do a g2g already in that timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I would prepare for fairl widespread power outages if you live in SNE From the puff of wind out of ya behind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I would prepare for fairly widespread power outages if you live in SNE Do you have inside info on a big ice storm we're getting in December or something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Yeah I think it's possible... but I think the best forcing is so far west we may get away with just a monster thump of rain as the moisture streams north. True if QLCS does happen it would be more HV and moreso west towards I-81corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Do you have inside info on a big ice storm we're getting in December or something? CT Blizzard24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Do you have inside info on a big ice storm we're getting in December or something? I think the gusts I'm getting today will rival what we get later in the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I think the gusts I'm getting today will rival what we get later in the week. Awww don't pick on Blizz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I would prepare for fairly widespread power outages if you live in SNE Doubt it... Think NBD besides some localized flash flooding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Do you have inside info on a big ice storm we're getting in December or something? You mean the one where the 32F line stops at Union CT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I think the rain will be a relatively short, but high impact event, especially given timing. That's a sh*tload of moisture to override that warm front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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