HoarfrostHubb Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 Lol SOS!!! 46/44 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 And an aircraft mishap is one of the criterion for issuing a SPECI That's a reminder that the primary purpose of airport ASOS stations is airport safety and NOT climate monitoring even though they are used for that purpose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 This is one of my favorite string of metars ever. KTIK METAR KTIK 040010Z RMK TORNADO 13SW MOV NE. LARGE TORNADO ON THE GROUND TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY. METAR KTIK 040019Z 08008KT 1SM +FC TSRAGR OVC020CB 21/20 A2955 RMK TORNADO 9SW MOV NE FRQ LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV NE GR 1 1/4 PRESFR METAR KTIK 040031Z 08006KT 6SM +FC OVC020CB 21/20 A2956 RMK TORNADO 5SW MOV NE FRQ LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV NE PRESRR METAR KTIK 040036Z 08006KT 6SM +FC OVC020CB 21/20 A2954 RMK TORNADO 3SW MOV NE FRQ LTGICCCCG TS OHD MOV NE PRES UNSTDY METAR KTIK 040043Z COR RMK TORNADO 1W MOV NE. EVACUATING STATION Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Well it looks like some major wind and flood damage is coming this week for all of SNE Expecting a little rain--nothing too bad in GC. Meanwhile, I'm hoping I can get my Davis station sited properly again. It's been sitting on the deck next to the house the last few days, so I'm sure the warming of the deck has skewed my readings. 45.0/40 Edit: What is the background on the sandbags? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 March 2010 flooding in Westerly Ginxy was upset Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 LOL, look how happy Steve looks in that pic....just dying to save the city from a hydrolic catastrophe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted October 17, 2011 Author Share Posted October 17, 2011 And MPM, You are colder than me!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 And MPM, You are colder than me!!! Advecting vs. radiating FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 LOL, look how happy Steve looks in that pic....just dying to save the city from a hydrolic catastrophe . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I actually did an alternate one with a sandbag in the spotlight, but the Ginx one made me laugh more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I actually did an alternate one with a sandbag in the spotlight, but the Ginx one made me laugh more. I can't stop laughing at that. I keep going back to look at that pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 6zgfs has primary waaaaaaaaay west., sits and spins then lifts out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 6zgfs has primary waaaaaaaaay west., sits and spins then lifts out It also has hours of ene winds and rain until the occlusion comes through. You'll get your warm air nudity when that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 6zgfs has primary waaaaaaaaay west., sits and spins then lifts out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 It also has hours of ene winds and rain until the occlusion comes through. You'll get your warm air nudity when that happens. Its going to be warm all week, I am more interested in trends, where troughing continues to set up, which model is correct, GFS is awful, just awful Euro had the right idea originally then lost it briefly then latched onto it once and for all. Pattern recognition, hints about winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Stable patterns are hard to break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Its going to be warm all week, I am more interested in trends, where troughing continues to set up, which model is correct, GFS is awful, just awful Euro had the right idea originally then lost it briefly then latched onto it once and for all. Pattern recognition, hints about winter Eh, I don't know...I'm not big on the October correlation to winter storm pattern. We've had Fall's with cutters only to switch in December. And look at last year....we had coastal storms until February and then the pattern switched to more GL type tracks. I don't know..maybe it works out for some years, but I don't completely buy that October correlation. It's a transitioning time of year. The NAO can also flip phase sign between now and winter too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 It also has hours of ene winds and rain until the occlusion comes through. You'll get your warm air nudity when that happens. You thinking gusts 50-60mph for all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Eh, I don't know...I'm not big on the October correlation to winter storm pattern. We've had Fall's with cutters only to switch in December. And look at last year....we had coastal storms until February and then the pattern switched to more GL type tracks. I don't know..maybe it works out for some years, but I don't completely buy that October correlation. It's a transitioning time of year. The NAO can also flip phase sign between now and winter too. Good points just looking for hints for the upcoming pattern, the way the trough axis keeps getting pushed back west is troublesome, this will make storm 3 or 4 that has done this, left with rotting cold that advects northeast into new england, end result are above normal days. Interesting thats all, I see zero signs of a pattern change, at least not yet, but I would not expect any until mid November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 You thinking gusts 50-60mph for all? Maybe 70mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Good points just looking for hints for the upcoming pattern, the way the trough axis keeps getting pushed back west is troublesome, this will make storm 3 or 4 that has done this, left with rotting cold that advects northeast into new england, end result are above normal days. Interesting thats all, I see zero signs of a pattern change, at least not yet, but I would not expect any until mid November. I guess if you want to argue that it could mean east coast troughing..maybe there is some correlation. But as for actual storm track...I just don't see it. Don't forget...in winter, cold air is difficult to displace. So with a storm cutting like that...you may have more of a wintry mess with snow to rain at the coast, and ice inland. More of a classic SWFE I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Maybe 70mph. At shore and high els. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 At shore and high els. Most especially...ne hills of CT above I-84. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Interesting temps at my house this morning - My mins have been about 0700-0720 but my temp has dropped a full degree since then. When I took my morning ob at 0700 the low was 48.9°. Now it's 46.5°F. You don't see that everyday! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Did somebody say "flood"? Time to hoist the Sultan Signal ... March 2010 flooding in Westerly Ginxy was upset LOL, look how happy Steve looks in that pic....just dying to save the city from a hydrolic catastrophe. Awesome Eric! you bastard , Scooter hydro-lic? is that a wet kiss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Go check key west radar.. holy fook Anyway, is this flood and wind threat legit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Its going to be warm all week, I am more interested in trends, where troughing continues to set up, which model is correct, GFS is awful, just awful Euro had the right idea originally then lost it briefly then latched onto it once and for all. Pattern recognition, hints about winter I think you need to look back at last falls pattern. Just look at 11/5 and 11/17, actually 11/5 looks exactly like this upcoming week. To me the only hint you can take about winter is that it will be wet. You do understand the whole modality switch and correlation with a Fall Positive NAO and the correlation with a negative winter NAO. In order to eat you must first set the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 Maybe 70mph. You're kidding right? I'll be impressed if we see 40mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 You're kidding right? I'll be impressed if we see 40mph. I think he was, Euro barely hits 35 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted October 17, 2011 Share Posted October 17, 2011 I think he was, Euro barely hits 35 Yes I was. But, it's possible cstl areas could gust 30-40mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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