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October 2011 Banter/Obs/Disco Part III


HoarfrostHubb

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Hey Scooter, seems like the theme of the season is for cool to underperform and warm to overperform, 58 degrees here, another huge + departure today.:arrowhead:

I don't think this was supposed to be anything special. Tough to get good cold on sw winds. Mean trough is too far west. Yesterday's high and low seemed as planned.

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I don't think this was supposed to be anything special. Tough to get good cold on sw winds. Mean trough is too far west. Yesterday's high and low seemed as planned.

I disagree, forecasted mid late week were cooler at least near normal, yesterday was +4-+8 today maybe warmer today. Mid week mega torch with departures plus 10 to plus 20 this week once again. If trends hold true, this late week cool shot will modify with time, especially if the trough stays west and we get rotting cold which is entirely possible. I hope the theme for the winter is not CAA from the SW, its happening a lot so far.

~Circle of Sizzle

~Viva la Sizzle

~Endless Summer

~Tolland Torchathon

+6 departures plus around new england, this is the torch of our lifetimes, may the torch be with you!

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I disagree, forecasted mid late week were cooler at least near normal, yesterday was +4-+8 today maybe warmer today. Mid week mega torch with departures plus 10 to plus 20 this week once again. If trends hold true, this late week cool shot will modify with time, especially if the trough stays west and we get rotting cold which is entirely possible. I hope the theme for the winter is not CAA from the SW, its happening a lot so far.

~Circle of Sizzle

~Viva la Sizzle

~Endless Summer

~Tolland Torchathon

+6 departures plus around new england, this is the torch of our lifetimes, may the torch be with you!

Well forecasted highs were in the 60s for at least 3 days out, so it seemed to go as planned imo. BOS got to 68 so I guess they might have been 2 degrees off, but most places in this area were in the mid 60s. I don't see any real major shots of cold air either for another 10-14 days or more. Maybe near Halloween we cool off.

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Monthlies through today...widespread 4-6 and I don't mean snowfall!

BOS +6.5      GFL +5.6      VSF +6.3      PWM +5.1
BDL +3.7      POU +4.0      PBG +4.8      CAR +3.8
PVD +5.1      BTV +3.7      MSS +6.6      BGR +4.9
ORH +4.8      MPV +4.8      SLK +6.3      HUL +4.6
BDR +3.8      1V4 +3.1      CON +4.9      MLT +4.5
ALB +6.1      MVL +5.1      GYX +4.2      

Wow. +5.1 here at the local asos and +4.8 at MPV. We are getting slaughtered on the overnight lows. That's why BTVs departure isn't as bad...they don't radiate anyway.

Normal here a few miles from MVL is 57/35! I can't believe our average low is 35 right now... We've had 2 nights of 29 and one 32 but other than that it hasn't even been close.

Yesterday was a great example... high of 58F for a +1 but the low was 47 F for a +12! Daily was +6 to continue moving our departure higher.

You can tell that aside from the coast, the normally good radiational cooling spots have some of the larger departures... SLK, GFL, MVL, MSS, VSF ect

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Next weeks storm looks like last years 11/5 rainstorm. All the downers were out last Novie, this year it's Oct, never learn.

I haven't heard anyone being down about this weather or upcoming winter, have you? Everyone seems to just be talking about the current weather which has been near record warm across the northeast as a whole.

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Truly

Warm and wet

This will be our undoing

I disagree, forecasted mid late week were cooler at least near normal, yesterday was +4-+8 today maybe warmer today. Mid week mega torch with departures plus 10 to plus 20 this week once again. If trends hold true, this late week cool shot will modify with time, especially if the trough stays west and we get rotting cold which is entirely possible. I hope the theme for the winter is not CAA from the SW, its happening a lot so far.

~Circle of Sizzle

~Viva la Sizzle

~Endless Summer

~Tolland Torchathon

+6 departures plus around new england, this is the torch of our lifetimes, may the torch be with you!

Heading to the razor

I haven't heard anyone being down about this weather or upcoming winter, have you? Everyone seems to just be talking about the current weather which has been near record warm across the northeast as a whole.

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Grasping for straws Ginx, in fact I put a preliminary winter forecast out on another board for ct, above average snowfall, and slightly above temps. We are in the midst of an epic torch and have been for months, its weather, and it deserves respect. All weather is interesting not just snow, at least to me :thumbsup:

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Grasping for straws Ginx, in fact I put a preliminary winter forecast out on another board for ct, above average snowfall, and slightly above temps. We are in the midst of an epic torch and have been for months, its weather, and it deserves respect. All weather is interesting not just snow, at least to me :thumbsup:

?? But dude seriously you have posted thousands of times how warm it has been, pretty myopic.

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?? But dude seriously you have posted thousands of times how warm it has been, pretty myopic.

and if it was cold and snowy you would post thousands of time s about that...............this torch is incredible and i love it, coinciding with that are incredible amounts of rain and a sub far foilage season. I enjoy talking about it, and how it affects our sensible weather and the upcoming winter. Last time I checked this is a weather board, isnt it? Should I complain, and point out all the cold and snow posts this upcoming winter and call them myopic........NO, but if it bothers you that I find this epic stretch of weather interesting and post about it, I will stop, God forbid I ruin your experience here on the weather boards, and GOD forbid I talk about current weather.

I will only talk about the upcoming winter and how incredible its going to be!:thumbsup::snowman:

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and if it was cold and snowy you would post thousands of time s about that...............this torch is incredible and i love it, coinciding with that are incredible amounts of rain and a sub far foilage season. I enjoy talking about it, and how it affects our sensible weather and the upcoming winter. Last time I checked this is a weather board, isnt it? Should I complain, and point out all the cold and snow posts this upcoming winter and call them myopic........NO, but if it bothers you that I find this epic stretch of weather interesting and post about it, I will stop, God forbid I ruin your experience here on the weather boards, and GOD forbid I talk about current weather.

I will only talk about the upcoming winter and how incredible its going to be!:thumbsup::snowman:

Way the fook overboard, I enjoy all posts. I made mention how last year folks started posting that the fall pattern might ruin winter, quoted your, hope CAA SW does not happen this winter, and you get your ti ties in a bunch? LOL

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Yeah it's the very mild min's that are driving the huge positive departures. The daytime highs while certainly above normal for stretches haven't seemed remarkable to be compared to other mild Falls. Saturday and Sunday will be seasonable here with highs in the mid/upper 50's, but the lows in the mid 40's will lead to another above normal stretch.

The winds have really been ripping here and bkn with 55F. A very normal mid Octoberish daytime anyway.

Wow. +5.1 here at the local asos and +4.8 at MPV. We are getting slaughtered on the overnight lows. That's why BTVs departure isn't as bad...they don't radiate anyway.

Normal here a few miles from MVL is 57/35! I can't believe our average low is 35 right now... We've had 2 nights of 29 and one 32 but other than that it hasn't even been close.

Yesterday was a great example... high of 58F for a +1 but the low was 47 F for a +12! Daily was +6 to continue moving our departure higher.

You can tell that aside from the coast, the normally good radiational cooling spots have some of the larger departures... SLK, GFL, MVL, MSS, VSF ect

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Way the fook overboard, I enjoy all posts. I made mention how last year folks started posting that the fall pattern might ruin winter, quoted your, hope CAA SW does not happen this winter, and you get your ti ties in a bunch? LOL

Wow, you had a bad stretch early in the summer, and again now? Get back on your game T~roll :lmao:

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Worst foliage season I have ever seen here... I had a grand total of maybe 4 or 5 days with some patches of nice oranges/reds after weeks of dull earlier stuff. Then this windstorm ripped it all down. Over and out for 2011 as the hillsides are well over half bare now.

and if it was cold and snowy you would post thousands of time s about that...............this torch is incredible and i love it, coinciding with that are incredible amounts of rain and a sub far foilage season. I enjoy talking about it, and how it affects our sensible weather and the upcoming winter. Last time I checked this is a weather board, isnt it? Should I complain, and point out all the cold and snow posts this upcoming winter and call them myopic........NO, but if it bothers you that I find this epic stretch of weather interesting and post about it, I will stop, God forbid I ruin your experience here on the weather boards, and GOD forbid I talk about current weather.

I will only talk about the upcoming winter and how incredible its going to be!:thumbsup::snowman:

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Well the GFS has totally backed off from earlier runs and cuts all cold air off from this storm now. The earlier ideas of some LES snow behind it or mountain peak backside snows are all gone. It's just another useless drenching windstorm to finish off a few more listing trees.

quote name='CoastalWx' timestamp='1318782149' post='1034492']

GFS has quite the LLJ ahead of this storm on Wednesday. 50-55kts at 950mb out of the east. This may not be a screaming sou'easter..but more of a e-ne wind...then sw winds after occlusion???

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GFS has quite the LLJ ahead of this storm on Wednesday. 50-55kts at 950mb out of the east. This may not be a screaming sou'easter..but more of a e-ne wind...then sw winds after occlusion???

well christ...the way this fall weather pattern is shaping up, i might as well go invest in some gortex outerwear for work...i have yet to find a combination of outerwear to keep me dry...last week was ridiculous...i was wet all the way down to the undergarments by the end of the day...these wet days have been miserable!

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Well the GFS has totally backed off from earlier runs and cuts all cold air off from this storm now. The earlier ideas of some LES snow behind it or mountain peak backside snows are all gone. It;s just another useless drenching windstorm to finish off a few more listing trees.

Yeah the cold lifts right out of the Great Lakes into Canada. I honestly wouldn't expect any sort of substantial cooldown until closer to Halloween..if at all.

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