ptb127 Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 DT released his prelim winter forecast by going here: http://1664596.sites...112version1.htm If you right-click and choose "Save link as" you'll be able to download it to the computer as it's a powerpoint presentation. If you click it normal, it will open that way to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 i see you channeled dt with your title Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Summary for the teal deer crowd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 ****ALERT*** Dont forgte to donate click on his page <---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Summary for the teal deer crowd? above normal chances of him calling someone a slopehead before March 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Since when has he started asking for donations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Since when has he started asking for donations? Since he blew every other forecast he's been paid to make? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 all of your Prelim forecasts are so awesome........oh thats right I havent seen any of yours..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 all of your Prelim forecasts are so awesome........oh thats right I havent seen any of yours..... Hi, DT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Dec.5th, Alpha Bravo Charlie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I'll wait until someone distills DT's forecast for DC. I think I'll hold of on any donations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Hi, DT He's from Richmond anyway, so either he's DT or a cult follower. Either way, he won't be here long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 I'm not a fan of DT's personality but I do like the methodology of his forecast. There is sound reasoning (although I'm not sure about the soil moisture part) and we'll see what happens. 95-96 keeps getting thrown around. I'm not expecting anything like that year but you never know. The interesting thing about that winter in the MA area is that even if you took away the big storm at DCA, the seasonal total would still have been 30". It was a very active winter. A lot of mets are calling for an active EC winter. Snow, rain or ice is fine with me. I really enjoy tracking threats so I hope there is plenty to track this year even if we don't climo snowfall. I would prefer that over only having a couple of threats to track all season and hitting climo snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArtRosen Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 He's from Richmond anyway, so either he's DT or a cult follower. Either way, he won't be here long. How can you tell where he's from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 How can you tell where he's from? http://www.americanw...4da4707628e5d47 look at just posts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 He's from Richmond anyway, so either he's DT or a cult follower. Either way, he won't be here long. Nah actually just like weather......something you all talk very little about without some sort of belittling or trashing someone elses forecast, but yet again I see no winter forecast from you......... If you have some info to bring to the table cool.....but if you are just gonna act like a tool and talk about someone who hasnt posted here in 2 years maybe you should grow up and focus more on weather........ this kind of thread and BS is what makes this forum such trash sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Nah actually just like weather......something you all talk very little about without some sort of belittling or trashing someone elses forecast, but yet again I see no winter forecast from you......... If you have some info to bring to the table cool.....but if you are just gonna act like a tool and talk about someone who hasnt posted here in 2 years maybe you should grow up and focus more on weather........ this kind of thread and BS is what makes this forum such trash sometimes You don't need to make a forecast to criticize a forecast This forum hasn't even been around for one year (as American Weather), and DT was here posting last winter until he was banned for "acting like a tool." That being said, there are two other threads (one in the New England forum, one in NYC) also discussing DT's forecast, with some constructive posts and some criticism posts mixed in. http://www.americanw...inter-forecast/ http://www.americanw...winter-outlook/ Besides, it's more about belittling the forecaster, not the forecast. There's no need to defend a man who will react negatively to any and all criticisms (even legitimate ones) whist spewing poor spelling and grammar at the same time. ----- As far as the actual forecast... the reasoning is fairly sound, though I (and others) think that he likes putting too much emphasis on soil moisture during the winter (though it looks like the TX drought could have a noticeable impact this year). His forecast is fairly agreeable, and I like his emphasis on 1995 and the mention of 1962 as these are two years that I used in my forecast as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 You don't need to make a forecast to criticize a forecast This forum hasn't even been around for one year (as American Weather), and DT was here posting last winter until he was banned for "acting like a tool." That being said, there are two other threads (one in the New England forum, one in NYC) also discussing DT's forecast, with some constructive posts and some criticism posts mixed in. http://www.americanw...inter-forecast/ http://www.americanw...winter-outlook/ Besides, it's more about belittling the forecaster, not the forecast. There's no need to defend a man who will react negatively to any and all criticisms (even legitimate ones) whist spewing poor spelling and grammar at the same time. ----- As far as the actual forecast... the reasoning is fairly sound, though I (and others) think that he likes putting too much emphasis on soil moisture during the winter (though it looks like the TX drought could have a noticeable impact this year). His forecast is fairly agreeable, and I like his emphasis on 1995 and the mention of 1962 as these are two years that I used in my forecast as well. He does act like a tool.......but does acting like a tool towards a tool make anything better, nah not really!!!!!!!! I def. follow you and some others on here and only use DT as a reference tool just like all of your opinions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 He does act like a tool.......but does acting like a tool towards a tool make anything better, nah not really!!!!!!!! I def. follow you and some others on here and only use DT as a reference tool just like all of your opinions I suppose you have a point there, though the way you've conveyed it hasn't really helped. And before others point it out, I do acknowledge the hypocrisy of that last bit I wrote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 After looking his presentation over on the new england forum. I'd argue that there is litle evidence that soil moisture will have that much impact on the storm track. I found his argument that a weak easterly qbo is good for blocking while a strong one isn't interesting as it sort of meshes with HM's post about keeping the westerly winds at 500 mb leading to more blocking. One other caveat about the forecast is the snow in eurasia is currently below average and is well behind last year. That is not so god for blocking. The solar situation also is not quite as good though it's still pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 After looking his presentation over on the new england forum. I'd argue that there is litle evidence that soil moisture will have that much impact on the storm track. I found his argument that a weak easterly qbo is good for blocking while a strong one isn't interesting as it sort of meshes with HM's post about keeping the westerly winds at 500 mb leading to more blocking. One other caveat about the forecast is the snow in eurasia is currently below average and is well behind last year. That is not so god for blocking. The solar situation also is not quite as good though it's still pretty good. I believe you meant 50 mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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