#NoPoles Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Let's try to keep this about weather guys. Since winter may never come it's probably best to look toward summer. I'm liking these 576dm thicknesses on the 6072hr CFS. Looks good for some 90s. so is this like, Conference II time period...lols...cause Conference I was so darn hot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Hey no reason to worry..it's mid November..it's not supposed to be cold. We're not supposed to be seeing the beginning o f the pattern change taking place globally for a cold Dec. Don't worry..we're fine :weenie: Models rush pattern changes. If you want a cold first half of December, you probably would want to see the models picking up on a pattern change at day 10 now. I think we'll have to endure a relatively zonal / warm regime into the first couple weeks before the flip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 :weenie: Models rush pattern changes. If you want a cold first half of December, you probably would want to see the models picking up on a pattern change at day 10 now. I think we'll have to endure a relatively zonal / warm regime into the first couple weeks before the flip. In wouldn't be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It sounds like I'm heading home to a mild wx disaster zone. Although I just looked at the 6Z GFS and it looks cold when I get i n late Wednesday night.... OVC and mid 60's here in Lisbon now. It's weird going on the net at 3:40 PM and the 12Z run is just starting. In wouldn't be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It sounds like I'm heading home to a mild wx disaster zone. Although I just looked at the 6Z GFS and it looks cold when I get i n late Wednesday night.... OVC and mid 60's here in Lisbon now. Hi Rick!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Transient cold in a sea of sizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 LOL, go outside people! Heading to Pound Ridge Reservation for a hike with the family, up near 1k, I will be honored to breathe in the same type of air as Kevin and Pete. Emmy Award winning stuff from Blizzie, its the most wonderful time of the year. buy bye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Everyone handles their worry differently..Some pretend they aren't worried and say hey it's mid Nov..others say they have dreams of big big winters, others say last Nov was warm and then it flipped to winter to make themselves feel better.. Good post actually because it is true. No one is thrilled with this pattern but it is what it is and really is too early to be worried. I harken back to the few torch Novembers that produced like 1993. 2010, 2008, 2007 were subnormal temps wise. Above normal winter ensued snow wise. We appear to need some colding during the rest of the month so let's see what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Hey Pete....guess the mild wx wiped out your snow pack. But soon to return I'm sure. Hi Rick!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 LOL, go outside people! Heading to Pound Ridge Reservation for a hike with the family, up near 1k, I will be honored to breathe in the same type of air as Kevin and Pete. Emmy Award winning stuff from Blizzie, its the most wonderful time of the year. buy bye Kevin is lower than 1k and his location gets to breathe Hartford's smog. There is absolutely nothing similar between CT air and the sweet air of GC. I'm insulted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Hey Pete....guess the mild wx wiped out your snow pack. But soon to return I'm sure. Yup, down to piles and a few rogue patches in the pines. It was so much fun while it lasted. Nice to have a headstart on the seasonal tally too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Good post actually because it is true. No one is thrilled with this pattern but it is what it is and really is too early to be worried. I harken back to the few torch Novembers that produced like 1993. 2010, 2008, 2007 were subnormal temps wise. Above normal winter ensued snow wise. We appear to need some colding during the rest of the month so let's see what happens. It's one thing if Nov is warm..That can be handled..but when we see a mild to hot pattern into the first 2-3 weeks of Dec with NO hints WHATSOEVER of a pattern change to cold..you're damn right it's time to start worrying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It's one thing if Nov is warm..That can be handled..but when we see a mild to hot pattern into the first 2-3 weeks of Dec with NO hints WHATSOEVER of a pattern change to cold..you're damn right it's time to start worrying Gibbs holds your life...the father of two children...in his hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Well December is still almost three weeks away. It might flip by then. It's one thing if Nov is warm..That can be handled..but when we see a mild to hot pattern into the first 2-3 weeks of Dec with NO hints WHATSOEVER of a pattern change to cold..you're damn right it's time to start worrying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Please go back and read last year's threads Is there an echo in here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Going for a walk with the family, might as well enjoy some time outdoors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Please go back and read last year's threads Is there an echo in here? LAst year models and ens showed us there was promise and the pattern would flip..They weren't flooding Canada with 50's and 60's in December like they are now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 LAst year models and ens showed us there was promise and the pattern would flip..They weren't flooding Canada with 50's and 60's in December like they are now Kevin is correct. Last year was trending and in the end BOS ended up 0.1 below normal. Through this months first 12 days....we are now (BOS) +2.8 with 2-3 +10+ on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 LAst year models and ens showed us there was promise and the pattern would flip..They weren't flooding Canada with 50's and 60's in December like they are now Late spring perhaps. 48.1/37 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 LAst year models and ens showed us there was promise and the pattern would flip..They weren't flooding Canada with 50's and 60's in December like they are now Wheres the 50s/60s in Canada? This is 850s euro ens mean d10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Wheres the 50s/60s in Canada? This is 850s euro ens mean d10. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Endless summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Endless summer euro has a pocket >16C 850s slip out south of SNE in that same general window of time. Best november ever!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 euro has a pocket >16C 850s slip out south of SNE in that same general window of time. Best november ever!! Reindeer running over grandma in rollerblades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It's looking like Joe Bastardi may bust on his forecast for December. If his tweets are to be believed, he's worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Reindeer running over grandma in rollerblades. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 The squirrels never let me down..... Which brings to mind the guy talking to his bat in the movie Major League... Something like...."if you don't come through for me...f...k you!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It's looking like Joe Bastardi may bust on his forecast for December. If his tweets are to be believed, he's worried. Coming out of solar min FTL???? Although many of the indexes are still low. For those that went ice cold in the east(especially south of SNE) ..they probably are a little concerned. FWIW Dec '08 had a warm first half (with a brief cold snap). December '08 is a strong analog for some. Difference there is that Nov '08 was cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Wheres the 50s/60s in Canada? This is 850s euro ens mean d10. After that timeframe..Canada is scoured of cold..It's torched late month into Dec. We are in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Gibbs has cancelled Dec now after his initial forecast had it very cold. He's close to pulling plug on entire winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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