#NoPoles Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 If the ensembles showed a promising pattern around T-day and beyond...people would be all over it. It doesn't mean we're a lock to have a bad pattern into December, but there's not a lot of evidence that we will have much of a wintry pattern to close out November. Perhaps we get a nice pattern cranking by first week of December....maybe we have to wait until Dec 15 or Dec 20....hard to say right now. wouldn't be much different than last year...as in, waiting for the wintry pattern to get going Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Some serious early season cold in Willow. Won't be long before we get in on the action. Monday Night and Tuesday look nice, cloudy and cool. SUSITNA VALLEY- INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL 400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011 .TONIGHT...SNOW...MAINLY NORTH OF TALKEETNA...WITH UP TO 3 INCHES ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. LOWS 5 TO 15 ABOVE. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW MAINLY IN THE MORNING. HIGHS 10 TO 20 ABOVE. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE EXCEPT 10 BELOW TO 15 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. TOWARD THE PARK...SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. .MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE EXCEPT ZERO TO 5 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH EXCEPT NORTHEAST 10 TO 25 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND ZERO EXCEPT 15 BELOW TO 20 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH EXCEPT NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE. .TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. HIGHS 5 TO 15. .THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 25. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. .FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I remain confident. The squirrels are fat as houses and as actively pursuing food as I've ever seen. They kow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Look at the thread I bumped SSDY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Euro ensembles just out I want a white Thanksgiving morning, like 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 wouldn't be much different than last year...as in, waiting for the wintry pattern to get going On my birthday last year it was warm and humid....first day of met winter. It got cold around 12/10 and the pattern locked in more or less around 12/20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I remind confident. The squirrels are fat as houses and as actively pursuing food as I've ever seen. They kow. i think of you when i see the squirrels around here and i thought the same thing.. i hope you're right, Jerry.. they're rounding out nicely down this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 If the ensembles showed a promising pattern around T-day and beyond...people would be all over it. It doesn't mean we're a lock to have a bad pattern into December, but there's not a lot of evidence that we will have much of a wintry pattern to close out November. Perhaps we get a nice pattern cranking by first week of December....maybe we have to wait until Dec 15 or Dec 20....hard to say right now. Nov 2003 was the ****tiest pattern going then oops , best Dec storm of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Some serious early season cold in Willow. Won't be long before we get in on the action. Monday Night and Tuesday look nice, cloudy and cool.SUSITNA VALLEY- INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL <b>400 PM AKST SAT NOV 12 2011</b> <b>.TONIGHT...</b>SNOW...MAINLY NORTH OF TALKEETNA...WITH UP TO 3 INCHES ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION. LOWS 5 TO 15 ABOVE. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. <b>.SUNDAY...</b>PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SNOW MAINLY IN THE MORNING. HIGHS 10 TO 20 ABOVE. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. <b>.SUNDAY NIGHT...</b>MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE EXCEPT 10 BELOW TO 15 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH. TOWARD THE PARK...SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. <b>.MONDAY...</b>PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE EXCEPT ZERO TO 5 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. VARIABLE WIND 10 MPH EXCEPT NORTHEAST 10 TO 25 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. .<b>MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND ZERO EXCEPT 15 BELOW TO 20 BELOW TOWARD THE PARK. NORTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH EXCEPT NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH TOWARD THE PARK. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS ZERO TO 10 ABOVE</b>. <b>.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...</b>PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. HIGHS 5 TO 15. <b>.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...</b>PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 15 TO 25. LOWS ZERO TO 10 BELOW. <b>.FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...</b>MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 20S. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 5 ABOVE I'm planning to fly to Anchorage and then Fairbanks for the week of my 70th bday in 5 years during the first week of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I want a white Thanksgiving morning, like 2005 I can help you there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I'm planning to fly to Anchorage and then Fairbanks for the week of my 70th bday in 5 years during the first week of December. That sounds like a fine idea. Why wait? Ever been to AK? Do some flightseeing. Much better in a small plane. I can set you up with the plane and pilot. It gets you upclose and personal. Bring an extra pair of shorts just in case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 That sounds like a fine idea. Why wait? Ever been to AK? Do some flightseeing. Much better in a small plane. I can set you up with the plane and pilot. It gets you upclose and personal. Bring an extra pair of shorts just in case. Yeah the idea of a low flying plane in an oncoming winter storm doesn't thrill me...lol. Maybe next year to celebrate the nice raise I get when I start collecting SS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Yeah the idea of a low flying plane in an oncoming winter storm doesn't thrill me...lol. Maybe next year to celebrate the nice raise I get when I start collecting SS. You pretty much have to stay grounded if there is heavy weather coming in. Saw a great storm there in April as a 930mb low crashed into us. 100mph winds on the coast and 50+" of new snow in the high terrain. Very Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I can help you there snow, gimme snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 That sounds like a fine idea. Why wait? Ever been to AK? Do some flightseeing. Much better in a small plane. I can set you up with the plane and pilot. It gets you upclose and personal. Bring an extra pair of shorts just in case. I'm doing an internship at the NWS in Anchorage next summer. I'm doing the site visit December 18-20 ... with zero daylight lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 I'm doing an internship at the NWS in Anchorage next summer. I'm doing the site visit December 18-20 ... with zero daylight lol It won't be zero but.... You're going to dig AK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 It won't be zero but.... You're going to dig AK. My bro has lived there since 73. , about 5 hours of light, granted like dusk at the solstice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 My bro has lived there since 73. , about 5 hours of light, granted like dusk at the solstice You ever visit? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 You ever visit? No, next Vacation is there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 GFS 384 shows a snowstorm. It's a cool looking storm that suddenly pops up out of nowhere kind of like the PD1 or April 1 1997. Too bad the GFS 384 is about as accurate as a Texas elementry school science textbook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 ECM continuing the theme of a lack of cold air in the entire N. Hemisphere in the D9-10 time frame with a trough developing over the Gulf of Alaska. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Well I guess if there is any good news, the euro ensembles at the end of their run, start to really weaken the PNA and develop some ridging out west. Unfortunately, Canada has warmed so it might not cool off quickly at first. Also, Phil almost gets sideswiped with a storm in Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 holy crap, someone is awake! well, besides me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Right..but we should start seeing signs things are about to flip. 2 weeks ago there were posts flying around about how great the Euro ens looked as we headed for the holiday..now all we see are negative posts about it was the warmest Euro ens run in history..no cold air anywhere in Candada etc etc..Let's get some positivity going Because it's funny to see weenies get worried and worked up. December is not always a snowy month...so why does this one have to be. I'm not in the least way suggesting it won't be, but these last few Decembers have spoiled us. It would be pretty amazing to have another December as snowy as the last 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 holy crap, someone is awake! well, besides me... Unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 What do you think it is? Well if you look at the anomalies it seems basin wide, but imo i looks to be strongest in the 160W-100W belt for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Well if you look at the anomalies it seems basin wide, but imo i looks to be strongest in the 160W-100W belt for now. I see what you mean. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 +10 to +15 above normal pattern looks to continue into mid December now.; No cold air in Canada, no snow in December,-PNA for a good month or more, +NAO, Weeklies and ensembles warm from beginning to end...no worries ..it's only Nov 13th..Things are sure to flip soon It's always warm in November..we shouldn't be seeing any signs of a pattern change if we want cold, snowy Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 +10 to +15 above normal pattern looks to continue into mid December now.; No cold air in Canada, no snow in December,-PNA for a good month or more, +NAO, Weeklies and ensembles warm from beginning to end...no worries ..it's only Nov 13th..Things are sure to flip soon It's always warm in November..we shouldn't be seeing any signs of a pattern change if we want cold, snowy Dec You told me we were seeing 40's Tuesday and Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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