Chicago WX Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 December 15-16, 2007. Storm thread from EUSWX: http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/149408-great-lakesmidwestohio-valley-winter-storm-december-15-17/ Maps courtesy of LSX NWS office. Radar images. NAM images. My snowfall map. Discussions from IWX and Environment Canada. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 750 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007 .MESOSCALE ANALYSIS/UPDATE... CURRENT RADAR TRENDS SHOW INCREASING RETURNS WITH BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...OVER THE EAST LIGHTER MIXED PRECIP WITH SLEET AND FRZ RAIN...FRZ RAIN MORE SO ACROSS THE VAN WERT AND LIMA OHIO AREAS. IMPORTANT FEATURE RIGHT NOW IS THE H850 LOW SITUATED NEAR SOUTHERN IL...WITH WAA WORKING INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA. 0C LINE NEAR LIMA OHIO TO NEAR GRISSOM AFB TO NEAR CRAWFORDSVILLE INDIANA. STRONG H850-700MB FRONTGENETICAL FORCING SEEN OVER NORTHERN IL INTO LOWER MI. HEAVY BANDED SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT THIS TIME AND FURTHER SOUTH INTO MISSOURI. OVER THE NEXT 8 HOURS THE H850 LOW WILL TRAVEL TO NEAR MUNCIE INDIANA...AND THE 0 C LINE THAT WILL HAVE BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY AROUND OR JUST SOUTH OF LIMA OHIO AND MARION INDIANA WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA ALLOWING FOR ALL SNOW BY 09Z FOR THE WHOLE FORECAST AREA. STRONGEST H850-700MB LAYER FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING ACROSS THE REGION WILL BE FROM 03 TO 12Z ACROSS THE REGION...ALONG WITH DECENT NORTHERLY AGEO WINDS AT 300MB HELPING TO PULL MASS FROM THE COLUMN AND ENHANCE LIFT...SLANTWISE INSTABILITY AND NEG EPV WHICH WILL HELP ADD A CONVECTIVE ELEMENT AND MAY ALLOW FOR VERY QUICK ACCUMULATING SNOWS OF 1-3" PER HOUR UNDER THESE BANDS. THEREFORE SOME LIGHTNING AND THUNDER TONIGHT MAY NOT BE OUT OF THE QUESTION ACROSS THE AREA...THUNDERSNOW IS A VERY INTERESTING RARE EVENT. CURRENT RUC THEN SHOWS THE STRONG H700-500MB LAYER FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING MOVING THRU FROM 09Z-18Z SUNDAY ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE. FROM EC=DISCUSSION= A MASSIVE WINTER STORM IS ABOUT TO STRIKE MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ONTARIO WITH NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LATEST ANALYSES INDICATES THAT THE DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MOVING INTO WESTERN TENNESEE PRECEEDED BY A BURGEONING AREA OF MODERATE SNOW WITH SOME FREEZING PRECIPITATION EXTENDING NORTH TO LAKE ERIE. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTHEAST TOWARDS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND INTENSIFY RAPIDLY AS IT REACHES OHIO SUNDAY MORNING THEN TRACK ACROSS NEW YORK STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS STORM TRACK WILL PLACE MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ONTARIO DIRECTLY UNDER THE BRUNT OF HEAVY SNOW. A FEW CLAPS OF THUNDER ALONG WITH BURSTS OF VERY HEAVY SNOW ARE ALSO LIKELY. PATCHY AREAS OF SNOW HAVE AFFECTED PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ONTARIO TODAY AS WELL AS A LAKE SNOW BAND MEANDERING ACROSS TORONTO. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THIS BAND MAY INTENSIFY THIS EVENING OVER TORONTO GIVING LOCALLY 5 CM OR MORE. THE BRUNT OF THE MAIN SNOW EVENT WILL BEGIN THIS EVENING IN THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY ENVELOP ALL REGIONS EAST TO OTTAWA IN THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW AS WELL AS STRONG WINDS CAUSING BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED. FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE NEAR LAKE ERIE. WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 20 TO 30 CM ARE EXPECTED IN MOST AREAS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. SOME LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 40 CM OR MORE ARE QUITE LIKELY IN A FEW AREAS BY SUNDAY NIGHT..ESPECIALLY FROM THE WEST END OF LAKE ONTARIO AND EASTWARDS INTO FAR EASTERN ONTARIO. SIGNIFICANT BLOWING SNOW IS EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE HEAVY SNOW DUE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 KM/H WHIPPING UP THE FRESHLY FALLEN SNOW AND CAUSING WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NEAR LAKE ERIE FOR A FEW HOURS OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS MILDER AIR PAYS A BRIEF VISIT ALOFT. ICE PELLETS ARE ALSO QUITE POSSIBLE GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM GRAND BEND TO NEAR TORONTO AND EAST TO CORNWALL. THE PUBLIC SHOULD BE PREPARED TO CHANGE PLANS ACCORDINGLY TO AVOID UNNECESSARY TRAVEL DURING THIS STORM. THIS MASSIVE SNOW STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE NEAR-PARALYZING CONDITIONS AS ROAD TRAVEL ON ANY UNPLOWED STREETS MAY BECOME NEXT TO IMPOSSIBLE ON SUNDAY. ALL MOTORISTS WHO MUST TRAVEL ARE URGENTLY ADVISED TO USE EXTREME CAUTION AND PLAN FOR MUCH EXTRA TIME TO REACH THEIR DESTINATION. THERE IS A HIGH DEGREE OF CERTAINTY WITH THIS STORM AS THE CONCENSUS OF WEATHER MODEL DATA IS VIRTUALLY UNANIMOUSLY FORECASTING THIS EVENT. ENVIRONMENT CANADA CONTINUES TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SITUATION. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST PUBLIC FORECASTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. Some snowfall totals:Claypool, IN: 17.0" North Webster, IN: 16.5" Columbia City, IN: 14.0" Bronson, MI: 14.0" Coldwater, MI: 11.5" Bourbonnais, IL: 11.1" Valparaiso, IN: 11.1" Highland, IN: 11.0" Clifton, IL: 11.0" Lafayette, IN: 10.5" Ann Arbor, MI: 10.5" Chicago, IL (MDW): 10.1" Harbor Beach, MI: 10.0" Decatur, IL: 9.5" Springfield, IL: 8.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Where did you get the old images of the NAM runs?? have them saved? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 December 15-16, 2007. My snowfall map. This is gonna sound nitpicky but I think you're a little too far south with some of the heavier amounts. I recall Kokomo getting quite a bit less than us due to more mixed precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 11, 2011 Author Share Posted October 11, 2011 December 15-16, 2007. Storm thread from EUSWX: http://www.easternus...december-15-17/ Maps courtesy of LSX NWS office. Radar images. NAM images. My snowfall map. Discussions from IWX and Environment Canada. By the looks of the thread, that one was a steady NW trender. To go from Kentucky in the bullseye to S Wisconsin getting 3-9 inches over a few days time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlord81 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 This is gonna sound nitpicky but I think you're a little too far south with some of the heavier amounts. I recall Kokomo getting quite a bit less than us due to more mixed precip. 2007-2008...the year of the NW trend for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 2007-2008...the year of the NW trend for me. That December 15 storm almost went too far for me. There was a very brief period of some sleet mixed in but it wasn't a big deal. Amounts fell off quickly even like 20 miles southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 Where did you get the old images of the NAM runs?? have them saved? The thread from EUSWX. Credit and thanks goes to BowMe. This is gonna sound nitpicky but I think you're a little too far south with some of the heavier amounts. I recall Kokomo getting quite a bit less than us due to more mixed precip. Wouldn't be you if you weren't nitpicky. Eh, I drew it up rather quickly...mistakes will happen. EDIT to add totals: Kokomo 5WSW: 6.3" Kokomo 3WSW: 9.1" IND: 5.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 The thread from EUSWX. Credit and thanks goes to BowMe. Wouldn't be you if you weren't nitpicky. Eh, I drew it up rather quickly...mistakes will happen. EDIT to add totals: Kokomo 5WSW: 6.3" Kokomo 3WSW: 9.1" IND: 5.1" OKK totals are higher than I thought. I was going off of memory of Jim's reaction to the event which I don't think was good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 11, 2011 Share Posted October 11, 2011 The thread from EUSWX. Credit and thanks goes to BowMe. Ok gotcha, wish there was a site to get past runs of any model for any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 OKK totals are higher than I thought. I was going off of memory of Jim's reaction to the event which I don't think was good. Oh I remember he had pingers for awhile, cutting down on totals compared to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Jan 14, 2004 Strong Clipper CLippers are such an underrated type of winter storm event. They can be prolific snow makers, and they are such a forecast challenge due to the low amplitude nature of the upper waves and the rapid phase speed associated with them. Throw in the challenge of prolific mesoscale and frontal banding and they can result in epic forecast busts across narrow areas. If you get the stronger type with intense low level cyclogenesis, throw in epic blowing snow potential as well since almost all clippers have significant arctic air to work with on the cold side. This results in very efficient mixing in the CCB to the surface and dusty snow good for blowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyrys Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 A couple storms in MN/WI Feb. 23-25, 2007 PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 837 AM CST SUN FEB 25 2007 ...STORM TOTAL REPORTS RECEIVED SO FAR... THE TOTALS BELOW ARE SEPARATED INTO SNOW...AND ICE AND SLEET CATEGORIES...THEN BY AMOUNT...AND ARE NOT NECESSARILY THE FINAL AMOUNT FOR EACH LOCATION. SNOW REPORTS LISTED BY AMOUNT INCHES LOCATION ST COUNTY TIME ------ ----------------------- -- -------------- ------- 15.50 HUTCHINSON MN MCLEOD 0815 AM 14.00 NEW LONDON MN KANDIYOHI 0830 AM 14.00 8 N MORA MN KANABEC 0700 AM 14.00 LITTLE FALLS MN MORRISON 0700 AM 13.50 ANDOVER MN ANOKA 0520 AM 13.5 TOTAL. 7.5 BETWEEN 930 PM AND 520 AM. 13.00 RUSH CITY MN CHISAGO 0828 AM 13.00 CAMBRIDGE MN ISANTI 0745 AM 13.00 SAND CREEK WI DUNN 0745 AM 13.00 HUTCHINSON MN MCLEOD 0700 AM 13.00 GILMAN MN BENTON 0700 AM 13.00 ST CLOUD MN STEARNS 0545 AM 13.00 EAST BETHEL MN ANOKA 0345 AM NORTHERN PART OF CITY LOCATION 12.50 CARLOS MN DOUGLAS 0815 AM 12.00 RED WING MN GOODHUE 0815 AM 12.00 MENOMONIE WI DUNN 0800 AM 12.00 MENOMONIE WI DUNN 0700 AM 12.00 SPRINGFIELD MN BROWN 0700 AM 12.00 LITCHFIELD MN MEEKER 0700 AM 11.80 CHANHASSEN MN CARVER 0600 AM PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 754 AM CST MON FEB 26 2007 ...WINTER STORM TOTAL SNOWFALLS... ...FEBRUARY 23 THROUGH 26... LOCATION COUNTY STATE SNOWFALL WINONA 3SSE WINONA MN 26.0 ONTARIO VERNON WI 24.0 WEST SALEM LA CROSSE WI 23.8 PRESTON FILLMORE MN 22.8 ETTRICK TREMPEALEAU WI 21.9 COCHRANE BUFFALO WI 21.0 HOLMEN 2S LA CROSSE WI 21.0 LA CROSSE AIRPORT LA CROSSE WI 21.0 LA CRESCENT 1N HOUSTON MN 20.8 COON VALLEY VERNON WI 20.6 ARCADIA TREMPEALEAU WI 20.5 HARMONY FILLMORE MN 20.0 WINONA WINONA MN 20.0 GOODVIEW WINONA MN 19.5 RENO 3SW HOUSTON MN 19.1 FRIENDSHIP ADAMS WI 19.0 WARRENS 5WSW MONROE WI 19.0 PLAINVIEW WABASHA MN 18.0 ST CHARLES WINONA MN 17.0 WADENA FAYETTE IA 17.0 WILTON 3E MONROE WI 17.0 CHATFIELD FILLMORE MN 16.0 MINDORO LA CROSSE WI 16.0 NECEDAH JUNEAU WI 16.0 HAMMOND 1S WABASHA MN 14.0 READS LANDING 1W WABASHA MN 13.0 ROCHESTER AIRPORT OLMSTED MN 12.8 WAUKON 8NW ALLAMAKEE IA 12.0 MONDOVI BUFFALO WI 11.0 STEUBEN CRAWFORD WI 11.0 AUSTIN MOWER MN 10.0 March 1, 2007 Forecast at MSP Snow and scattered thunderstorms. Areas of blowing snow. Snow may be heavy at times. New snow accumulation around 8 inches. Highs around 30. Northeast winds 10 to 20 mph. Tonight Breezy, snow. Areas of blowing snow. Snow may be heavy at times in the evening. Snow accumulation of 4 to 5 inches. Lows 20 to 25. North winds 15 to 25 mph. Friday Snow. Areas of blowing snow. Snow accumulation around 2 inches. Storm total snow accumulation of 20 to 21 inches. Highs 25 to 30. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 35 mph. Area forecast discussion...updated National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen Minnesota 939 am CST Thursday Mar 1 2007 Update... anticipated snowband beginning to set up across central Minnesota. Several surface observations and observer reports indicate half mile or less visibilities beneath the band...stretching from about Chisago County to the Twin Cities to New Ulm/Redwood Falls. This area is coincident with an intense area of 600-700 mb frontogenesis evident in the 12z RUC and 40 km NAM runs. This should persist in this same area for much of the day...with cross sections indicating a maximum burst between noon and 3 PM today. We are also concerned about the possibility of convection within the band...with a deep layer of negative epv indicated on cross sections as well. We could easily see maximum snowfall rates around a couple inches an hour...and possibly a little more in the convective elements. The going forecast has this scenario depicted quite well...although a few tweaks may be required to add some thunder during the afternoon...and also to slide the maximum accumulations a little to the east this afternoon. Kat AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 848 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007 .MESOSCALE UPDATE...CONCERNING ONGOING BLIZZARD/INTENSE SNOWFALL RATES CENTERED ALONG INTERSTATE 35/HIGHWAY 61 CORRDIOR/NW WI. HEIGHT OF ONGOING WINTER STORM WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE DULUTH CWA OVER THE NEXT 6-8 HOURS. MULTIPLE BANDS OF 25-35 DBZ RADAR ECHOES WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE WESTWARD ON NRN PERIPHERY OF INTENSE CIRCULATION CENTER LOCATED OVER NE IA AS OF 830 PM. PER SPOTTER REPORTS..ECHOES OF THIS INTENSITY APPEAR TO CORRELATE TO AROUND 2 INCH/HOUR SNOWFALL RATES AS BEST AS CAN BE ESTIMATED WHEN ACCOMPANIED BY WINDS OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IN ADDITION..KDLH BASE VELOCITY REVEALS THAT ENERLY LOW LEVEL JET HAS INTENSIFIED EVEN A BIT MORE FROM A COUPLE HOURS AGO..WITH 60-70 KT INBOUND VELOCITIES AT THE HEAD OF LAKE SUPERIOR FROM NEAR KDLH NORTHWARD ALONG THE NORTH SHORE TO NEAR SILVER BAY. THIS AGREES WELL WITH PREVIOUS MODEL FORECASTS OF NEAR 70 KT WINDS OVER THE WRN LAKE BETWEEN 00-06Z. PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL JET COMBINED WITH 5-7 MB PRESSURE FALLS AND VERY TIGHT GRADIENT WILL CONT TO PRODUCE VERY INTENSE WINDS IN ALL AREAS NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR AND ABOUT 5-10 MILES INLAND /PERHAPS 15-20 MILES INLAND ALONG THE I35 CORRIDOR SW OF DULUTH TO NEAR CLOQUET/ FOR MOST OF THE REST OF THE NIGHT. THUS FAR..PEAK WIND GUSTS: 52 MPH IN TWO HARBORS..56 MPH AT THE DULUTH AIRPORT AND 66 MPH AT SKY HARBOR AIRPORT. SNOWFALL RATES AVERAGING AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE I35 CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE TWIN CITIES AND DULUTH..AND MUCH OF NW WI THRU AT LEAST MIDNIGHT-2 AM. ENHANCED LLJ INTERACTING WITH THE NORTH SHORE TERRAIN RIDGE IS LIKELY TO RESULT IN LOCAL 3 INCH/HOUR RATES FROM JUST NORTH OF DULUTH TO TWO HARBORS..BRIMSON..SILVER BAY AND ISABELLA. LOCAL 3 INCH/HR RATES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSNOW ELEMENTS MAINLY ALONG/EAST OF I35 AND NORTHSHORE CONFIGURATION. WE CONTINUE TO RECEIVE THUNDER REPORTS FROM NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. FINALLY..MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH IS STARTING TO NOSE INTO THE FAR SERN SECTIONS OF THE DLH CWA..AND SNOWFALL RATES WILL LIKELY DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY IN THE PHILLIPS..PARK FALLS..WINTER..GLIDDEN..MERCER.. AND HAYWARD AREAS FROM SE TO NW BETWEEN 9-11 PM. UPDATES TO ALL GRIDS/TEXT PRODUCTS WILL BE FORTHCOMING OVER THE NEXT 30-60 MINUTES. MILLER/GRANING/04 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 CLippers are such an underrated type of winter storm event. They can be prolific snow makers, and they are such a forecast challenge due to the low amplitude nature of the upper waves and the rapid phase speed associated with them. Throw in the challenge of prolific mesoscale and frontal banding and they can result in epic forecast busts across narrow areas. If you get the stronger type with intense low level cyclogenesis, throw in epic blowing snow potential as well since almost all clippers have significant arctic air to work with on the cold side. This results in very efficient mixing in the CCB to the surface and dusty snow good for blowing. High ratio event clippers are one of my personal favorite winter events. Picking up 5 or 6 inches of snow thanks to 30:1 ratios is simply incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 High ratio event clippers are one of my personal favorite winter events. Picking up 5 or 6 inches of snow thanks to 30:1 ratios is simply incredible. Agreed. Matter of fact, one of my "not so distant" favorite events was the February 6, 2007 clipper. Might have to do a write up on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 December 15, 1987 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 April 5, 1982 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 great work on the December 07 storm ChicagoWx the one thing i remember most (if i am correctly remembering) is the storm was consistently undermodeled in terms of intensity, what i mean is that the energy involved was more explosive and dynamic than what was expected (but this was BEFORE i was following the models closely, i was relying on AFDs and i remember them commenting on this) it is also the most widespread snowstorm/ blizzard? to hit the entire heavily populated southern canada corridor stretching all the way from windsor straight through quebec city in several decades, i belive EC said it was sometime in the 50s or 60s previously? it was also the heaviest 6 hour period of snow i have ever wtinessed, outside of the 93 superstorm. i remember many non weather people commenting the exact same thing which is a true testament. it also whacked a lot of us. great storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 great work on the December 07 storm ChicagoWx the one thing i remember most (if i am correctly remembering) is the storm was consistently undermodeled in terms of intensity, what i mean is that the energy involved was more explosive and dynamic than what was expected (but this was BEFORE i was following the models closely, i was relying on AFDs and i remember them commenting on this) it is also the most widespread snowstorm/ blizzard? to hit the entire heavily populated southern canada corridor stretching all the way from windsor straight through quebec city in several decades, i belive EC said it was sometime in the 50s or 60s previously? it was also the heaviest 6 hour period of snow i have ever wtinessed, outside of the 93 superstorm. i remember many non weather people commenting the exact same thing which is a true testament. it also whacked a lot of us. great storm. One of my favorite storms that Dec 15-16, 2007 event....froma meteorological standpoint, it was very fun to watch unfold. Extremely dynamic. It ended up being a forecast bust here in the good direction, snow was expected to quickly change to sleet but instead much of the Boston metro area picked up about 8-10" in 5 hours. Awesome 500mb signature and awesome thermal gradient at 850 on the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 1/14/2004 Storm Totals WXYZ called for 1-3" TWC called for 2-4" Meanwhile 6-11" fell across the region. Just a little off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 22, 2011 Share Posted October 22, 2011 Had this in the talk about winter thread, but its more appropriate here JAN 3, 1999 digging out 12" snow FEB 23, 2003 digging out 11.5" snow. my first experience with thundersnow the night before DEC 23, 2004- playing in a drift following 8.5" storm JAN 22, 2005- blizzard dropped 11" of powder FEB 14, 2007- 8.5" of sugary drifty snow fell, temps below 10F. The LAF benchmark storm DEC 16, 2007 - 9.8" of snow fell, nice storm for entire state of MI MAR 5, 2008 - 10.3" of snow jackpotted my area, thundersnow 3 times, loudest thunder of 2008 DEC 19, 2008 - 8.2" of snow, 6" of which fell in 3 hours FEB 2, 2011 - still saw 10" of snow over the 2 days from this legendary storm FEB 20, 2011 - one of my fav storms ever. Forecast 1-3", got 10.2". INSANE lightning/thunder 8"+ STORMS IMBY SINCE 1999 01.) 12.0" - Jan 2/3, 1999 02.) 11.5" - Feb 22/23, 2003 03.) 11.0" - Jan 22, 2005 04.) 10.3" - Mar 4/5, 2008 05.) 10.2" - Feb 20/21, 2011 06.) 10.1" - Feb 1/2, 2011 07.) 9.8" - Dec 15/16, 2007 08.) 9.5" - Jan 30/31, 2002 09.) 8.5" - Dec 22/23, 2004 10.) 8.5" - Feb 13/14, 2007 11.) 8.3" - Mar 5/6, 1999 12.) 8.2" - Dec 19, 2008 13.) 8.1" - Jan 9/10, 2009 14.) 8.0" - Apr 23-25, 2005 15.) 8.0" - Feb 9/10, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 23, 2011 Author Share Posted October 23, 2011 This is one that I don't think gets talked about very often: February 15-17, 2006 STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 7 FOR ROCKIES TO GREAT LAKES WINTER STORM NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD 300 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2005 ...WINTER STORM PULLING AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES... AT 3 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THAT THE HEAVIEST SNOW HAS ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION WITH AREAS OF SNOW REMAINING ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN. AT 2 AM CST...THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR THE HEAVY SNOW WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.9N 79.8W WHICH IS ABOUT 170 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF BAD AXE MICHIGAN. AS THE LOW TRACKS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE DAY...WINDY CONDITIONS AND BLOWING SLOW WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA. AS OF 3AM CST...ALL BLIZZARD WARNINGS AND ICE STORM WARNINGS HAVE EXPIRED ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WINTER STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE UPPER PENINSULA AND THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LOWER PENINSULA OF MICHIGAN. A REMAINING CONCERN WITH THIS STORM WILL BE THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AND STRONG WINDS THAT WILL CAUSE WIND CHILL TEMPERATURES TO FALL WELL BELOW ZERO. ALSO...THE STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW THAT WILL CAUSE DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY IN THE AFFECTED AREAS. ALONG WITH HEAVY SNOW...SIGNIFICANT ICING WAS NOTED ACROSS THE TRI CITIES AREA INCLUDING BAY...SAGINAW...AND MIDLAND. SEVERAL INCHES OF ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN MICHIGAN THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY. ...SNOW TOTALS IN INCHES THROUGH 300 AM CST FRIDAY... UTAH... PARRISH CREEK SNOTEL......................18.0 PICKEL KEG SNOTEL.........................18.0 FARNSWORTH LAKE...........................18.0 MANTUA....................................16.0 TONY GROVE LAKE...........................16.0 LITTLE BEAR SNOTEL........................15.0 SNOWBIRD SNOTEL...........................14.0 LIBERTY...................................13.0 MONTE CRISTO PASS.........................13.0 EDEN......................................11.5 WELLSVILLE................................10.0 SALT LAKE CITY INTL........................9.7 LOGAN......................................9.0 COLORADO... GOTHIC.....................................6.5 MEREDITH...................................5.0 ERIE.......................................4.0 WYOMING... CARBON....................................16.0 WHEATLAND.................................11.0 CHUGWATER.................................10.0 GOSHEN....................................10.0 RAWLINS....................................8.0 VETAL......................................7.5 SOUTH DAKOTA... SPEARFISH..................................7.0 GALENA.....................................6.5 LEAD.......................................5.0 EDGEMONT...................................4.0 YANKTON....................................4.0 WRIGHT.....................................3.0 OELRICHS...................................3.0 PARKSTON...................................3.0 TYNDALL....................................3.0 NEBRASKA... ELLSWORTH.................................13.0 HYANNIS...................................12.0 WHITMAN...................................10.0 MULLEN....................................10.0 BROWNLEE...................................9.0 WISCONSIN... GREEN BAY.................................13.1 MANITOWOC.................................11.8 RIPON.....................................11.3 MADISON....................................9.6 SHEBOYGAN..................................9.0 DARBOY.....................................9.0 WEST SALEM.................................9.0 WARRENS....................................8.7 LA CROSSE..................................8.5 ROTHSCHILD.................................8.5 HOLLAND....................................7.6 NECEDAH....................................7.5 HOMEN......................................7.2 WAUKESHA...................................7.0 BRUSSELS...................................7.0 APPLETON...................................7.5 COLOMA.....................................6.5 KIELER.....................................6.0 MILWAUKEE..................................3.0 ILLINOIS... GALENA.....................................3.6 MC CONNELL.................................2.0 STOCKTON...................................2.0 IOWA... MANCHESTER.................................6.0 MASON CITY.................................6.0 LANSING....................................5.9 TRIPOLI....................................5.6 ALGONA.....................................5.5 DECORAH....................................5.5 DUBUQUE....................................5.0 CHARLES CITY...............................4.9 LIME SPRINGS...............................4.5 MINNESOTA... CALEDONIA..................................9.0 ALBERT LEE.................................8.0 HERBSTER...................................8.0 WINONA.....................................8.0 CHATFIELD..................................7.8 KIESTER....................................7.0 WELLS......................................7.0 ROCHESTER..................................6.6 HERBSTER...................................6.3 ST CHARLES.................................5.8 AUSTIN.....................................5.5 MAPLE......................................5.0 HOLLANDALE.................................4.0 MICHIGAN... ROGERS CITY...............................12.0 LAKE CO....................................8.0 MARQUETTE..................................7.7 KEWADIN....................................7.0 TRAVERSE CITY..............................7.0 GLADSTONE..................................5.9 FLINT......................................4.0 WHITE LAKE.................................4.0 PONTIAC....................................3.8 AUBURN.....................................3.8 GOODRICH...................................3.5 LAPEER.....................................3.5 ORTONVILLE.................................3.5 IONIA......................................2.9 ZILWAUKEE..................................2.8 LANSING....................................2.7 OWOSSO.....................................2.6 PORTLAND...................................2.5 MIDLAND....................................0.25 (ICE) BAY........................................0.25 (ICE) SAGINAW....................................0.25 (ICE) The only widespread winter storm to affect south-central and southeast Wisconsin, during the 2005-06 winter months of Dec-Jan-Feb, deposited heavy snowfalls of 6 to 14 inches and generated northeast to north winds of 15 to 20 knots with gusts to 35 to 39 knots (40 to 45 mph). The accumulating snow fell in two rounds - during the evening hours of February 15th and in the morning and afternoon hours of February 16th. Convective bands on the 16th (with thunder) were responsible for a narrow band of heavy snow (accumulations around 12 inches) from Argyle (Lafayette Co.) northeast through the Cottage Grove area of eastern Dane County to the city of Sheboygan (Sheboygan Co.). Hundreds of vehicle accidents were reported via news channels, many schools were closed, and many airplane flights were delayed or cancelled. Some specific snowfall totals include 14 inches in Sheboygan and Saukville (Ozaukee Co.), 13.5 inches in Cottage Grove, 13.0 inches in West Bend (Washington Co.), Middleton (Dane Co.), and Arygle, an estimated 12 to 13 inches in northwestern Green Co., 11.4 inches in Lake Mills (Jefferson Co.), 11.3 inches just northeast of Ripon (Fond du Lac Co.), an estimated 10 to 11 inches in northeastern Green Lake County, 10.7 inches in Reedsburg (Sauk Co.), 10.0 inches in Evansville (Rock Co.), an estimated 9 inches in northeastern Marquette County, 8.9 inches in Lodi (Columbia Co.), an estimated 8 inches in far northwestern Milwaukee County, 7.8 inches in Oconomowoc (Waukesha Co.), and 7 to 8 inches in southern Iowa County. Convective clouds on the 16th deposited 1 to 2 inches of sleet (mixed with some new snow) in a narrow band from Clinton (Rock Co.) northeast to the Palmyra area (Jefferson Co.) to New Berlin (Waukesha Co.) to Shorewood (Milwaukee Co.). This was on top of about 3 inches of snow that fell in the first round of snow that occurred during the evening hours of the 15th. A total of only 0.5 to 3 inches of snow fell along and southeast of a line from Delavan in Walworth County to downtown Milwaukee (Milwaukee Co.), where rain mixed in with the snow. During the height of the storm on the 16th, visibilities were briefly reduced to 1/4 mile where thundersnow was reported. Hourly snowfall rates with some of the thundersnow reached 2 to 4 inches per hour locally. The responsible low pressure moved northeast through extreme northern Indiana. Link: http://www4.ncdc.noaa.gov/cgi-win/wwcgi.dll?wwevent~ShowEvent~644167 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Dec 22 - 23, 2004 - The pre Christmas Snow Storm of 2004 that dropped over 2 feet of snow across portions of Indiana and Ohio. Beau has an awesome write-up on the event. http://www.weatherphotography.net/december222004analysis.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 Dec 22 - 23, 2004 - The pre Christmas Snow Storm of 2004 that dropped over 2 feet of snow across portions of Indiana and Ohio. Amazing storm even though it didn't do much for me. That is probably a 100 year event (if not more) in the areas that got over 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 24, 2011 Share Posted October 24, 2011 I barely remember that storm but some serious amounts in IN/OH. What was the event that hit MI hard near the superbowl in Detroit? Think it was 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I barely remember that storm but some serious amounts in IN/OH. What was the event that hit MI hard near the superbowl in Detroit? Think it was 2006. Had 8.5" here from the Dec 22/23, 2004 storm (8.9" at DTW). Was perfect for a pre-Christmas treat. Sparkly powder. That storm was actually a bust. Originally they thought itd be 6-12" of snow instead it was a rain on Sat, turned to a sloppy rain/snow mix during the evening and snow overnight, dropped generally 2-4" of wet snow over metro-Detroit. I had a heavy burst at the end that gave me 3.6", but DTW only had 1.9". It was a picturesque snowfall, but a definite bust. All the fun that winter was in December. It was one of the few dud winters in what has otherwise been a beyond fantastic stretch of winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Had 8.5" here from the Dec 22/23, 2004 storm (8.9" at DTW). Was perfect for a pre-Christmas treat. Sparkly powder. That storm was actually a bust. Originally they thought itd be 6-12" of snow instead it was a rain on Sat, turned to a sloppy rain/snow mix during the evening and snow overnight, dropped generally 2-4" of wet snow over metro-Detroit. I had a heavy burst at the end that gave me 3.6", but DTW only had 1.9". It was a picturesque snowfall, but a definite bust. All the fun that winter was in December. It was one of the few dud winters in what has otherwise been a beyond fantastic stretch of winters. What was the exact date of that storm in 2006? I don't remember it much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Had 8.5" here from the Dec 22/23, 2004 storm (8.9" at DTW). Was perfect for a pre-Christmas treat. Sparkly powder. That storm was actually a bust. Originally they thought itd be 6-12" of snow instead it was a rain on Sat, turned to a sloppy rain/snow mix during the evening and snow overnight, dropped generally 2-4" of wet snow over metro-Detroit. I had a heavy burst at the end that gave me 3.6", but DTW only had 1.9". It was a picturesque snowfall, but a definite bust. All the fun that winter was in December. It was one of the few dud winters in what has otherwise been a beyond fantastic stretch of winters. +1 That winter basically ended a few days before Christmas. By far the most craptastic winter i have seen since moving here. Two winters sucked in the 2000-2010 period and 03-04 and 05-06 were them. And even though i am no fan of 06-07 ( too much of the too far north ( ice ) and too much of the too far south ( See VD 2007 ) and no warning criteria events ) it did atleast finish above normal in the snowfall dept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 What was the exact date of that storm in 2006? I don't remember it much. I *Think* they are talking about this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I *Think* they are talking about this one? Ok. I just checked my logs. All rain here. I agree about 2005-06. What looked like it'd be a heck of a winter sure turned to crap around Christmas. Never recovered. Even as horrific as a winter 2009-10 was here, I still got more snow JFM that year than I did in JFM 2006. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 +1 That winter basically ended a few days before Christmas. By far the most craptastic winter i have seen since moving here. Two winters sucked in the 2000-2010 period and 03-04 and 05-06 were them. And even though i am no fan of 06-07 ( too much of the too far north ( ice ) and too much of the too far south ( See VD 2007 ) and no warning criteria events ) it did atleast finish above normal in the snowfall dept. We've had a great run of winters here recently as well, with a nearly 100" season in 07-08 and a season with 80" in 08-09, but we had to endure three relatively crappy winters in a row (01-02, 02-03, and 03-04, not to mention 00-01 was front loaded). Only relatively speaking, as each of these years had b/w 30 and 40 inches. I guess it goes to show how climo works. If we had crappy winters the last few years, it would have been one boring decade for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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