The_Global_Warmer Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 2010 Finished at a then record low of 4400KM3. That was 2100km3 below 2007s record low..we saw a brief slight upward swing from 2008 and 2009. But favorable winds and warm temps combined with a lot of solar insolation helped 2010 blow by the 6.5-7.0km3 min plateau. Now 2011 during a luke warm year with less than favorable winds drops 400km3 passed 2010 with it's largest help from Solar Insolation causing record warm SSTs all over the arctic. At the current trend of decline the arctic will be relatively ice free as early as 2012-2015. While 2015-2020 is more likely. This graph it self shows if 2012 drops at the rate of the three largest drops it will plunge from near Zero on the volume scales to 1500km3. So keep that in mind, even if it is not likely. SOURCE OF GRAPH ANOMALIES: From Piomas: Arctic sea ice volume anomaly from PIOMAS updated once a month. Daily Sea Ice volume anomalies for each day are computed relative to the 1979 to 2010 average for that day of the year. The trend for the period 1979- present is shown in blue. Shaded areas show one and two standard deviations from the trend. Error bars indicate the uncertainty of the monthly anomaly plotted once per year. Total Arctic sea ice volume from PIOMAS showing the volume of the mean annual cycle, the current year, 2010 (the year of previous September volume minimum), and 2007 (the year of minimum sea ice extent in September). Shaded areas indicate one and two standard deviations from the mean. We might not make it over 18000KM3, it sure would be great if we could make it to at least 22,000km3 this winter. We were off to a hot start in essence...expect that line to flat line some through mid October....because of how extent is calculated in. I hope they use European Satelittes to make up for the lack of data this winter with AMSRE going byebye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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