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0z Model Guidance 12/9


benfica356

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i might be up for the whole nam run but idk if its threadworthy lol there are like 10 users online right now, so, if we see any major changes with the nam thru 48 hrs, then i say we make a thread. Unless you just wanna make one now if your gonna be up :rambo:

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i might be up for the whole nam run but idk if its threadworthy lol there are like 10 users online right now, so, if we see any major changes with the nam thru 48 hrs, then i say we make a thread. Unless you just wanna make one now if your gonna be up :rambo:

I really need to stop being awake from 8am-3am every day and sleeping 5 hours.

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i might be up for the whole nam run but idk if its threadworthy lol there are like 10 users online right now, so, if we see any major changes with the nam thru 48 hrs, then i say we make a thread. Unless you just wanna make one now if your gonna be up :rambo:

well im sure someone would add to it when the gfs comes out around 430-5

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FWIW there are still noticeable differences at 500 between the two solutions. GFS has far, far less digging (540 dm height drops to south of Memphis on the Euro, drops to Central IL on the GFS). Less digging = less amplification and a less potent storm.

The GFS looks like a front end nuisance slop event (freezing rain/sleet) to chilly rain that may end as snow...but if the GFS is right the whole "1"+ rain" meme that's been pushed by the newsies goes out the window since QPF is rather light overall.

The Euro did trend towards less amplification, however between 12 and 0...

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Guest Patrick

Boy, does this remind me of the late 1980's.

It should remind you of 1988...total snowfall at Central Park.... 8.1

SST Anomolies

AMJ -0.7

MJJ - 1.2

JJA -1.3

JAS -1.2

ASO -1.3

SON --1.6

OND -1.9

NDJ -1.9

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I thought the mods were gonna crack down on the " winter cancel " posts? Seeing them a lot lately.

I agree. Someone get s labeled wishing for a snow event as a weenie, then you have "winter cancel" statements and nothing happens. They should at least being using the warning system because it is in place now. No more chances-- they have been warned. Ji is in other threads and I guess they seem to think it is alright to state"winter cancel" all the time

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