yoda Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 2050 1 N NANCE NEW KENT VA3748 7713 ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME ON SOLDIERS REST CIRCLE. MOST OF THE SHINGLES WERE REMOVED FROM THE HOME. (AKQ) 2050 NEW KENT AIRPORT NEW KENT VA3750 7712 A GAZEBO WAS DESTROYED AND NUMEROUS FRUIT TREES UPROOTED AT 7100 LAKE SHORE DR. (AKQ) 2050 1 N FIVE LAKES SUBDIVIS NEW KENT VA3751 7717 TREES DOWN FROM A TORNADO AS IT CROSSED I-64 JUST EAST OF EXIT 205. (AKQ) 2055 1 NNW BROWNS CORNER NEW KENT VA3753 7710 DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO GW WATKINS ELEMENTARY. THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE WAS UKNOWN. (AKQ) 2105 1 WSW POPLAR GROVE NEW KENT VA3758 7706 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON OLD RIVER ROAD NEAR TALLYSVILLE ROAD. (AKQ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 I'm still mostly willing to stand by the mehness around DC. The best parameters were over C Va where they cashed in better. Sharp cutoff dc and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Don't see this in October much around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 I'm still mostly willing to stand by the mehness around DC. The best parameters were over C Va where they cashed in better. Sharp cutoff dc and north. Even with the inhibition at least the dynamics will force them a little longer then most of the other garbage storms will usually see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Don't see this in October much around here Anyone else feel somewhat disappointed in the forecasting today by Sterling.. Was just looking at AFD's to see if I was crazy and missed something but a TOR watch out of the blue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Hello Mr. Meso! How nice of you you make an inflow notch today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 529 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL INFLUENCE THE WEATHER IN THE MID ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS...AND LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND. BREAKS IN THE SKY COVER HAS CAUSED MODERATE AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STATIONARY BOUNDARY. RAPID CHANGE IN WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT HAS CAUSED SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO ROTATE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES ACROSS THIS AREA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Whats with the Inflow winds? Raining lightly with constant cloud-to-cloud lightning but there is an East Wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 TOR warnings have expired...still some circulations around. I would like to see an SVR for most of the cluster as there still could be isolated damaging winds near Fairfax and just west of D.C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThreeRedheads Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Weatherunderground shows 2.48" of rain today. An inch in the last 20-30 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Ian should be happy with this line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 NEXRAD velocity hinting at a Microburst or am I mis-attributing it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 529 PM EDT THU OCT 13 2011 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS FOR THE WEEKEND INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL INFLUENCE THE WEATHER IN THE MID ATLANTIC WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...THE WASHINGTON AND BALTIMORE METROPOLITAN AREAS...AND LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND. BREAKS IN THE SKY COVER HAS CAUSED MODERATE AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A STATIONARY BOUNDARY. RAPID CHANGE IN WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION WITH HEIGHT HAS CAUSED SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO ROTATE. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES ACROSS THIS AREA. 10AM .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... WK LOPRES REMAINS OFF THE NJ CST...W/ A STALLED BNDRY STRECHING WWD ACRS CWFA TO SFC REFLECTION FM UPR LOW OVR IL/WI. SFC FLOW ELY WHILE FLOW ABV H9 SLY. THAT OVERRUNNING RESPONSIBLE FOR CONTD -RZDZ ACRS ERN CWFA. IN ADDITION...S/WV ENERGY AND DAYTIME HEATING /WHAT LTL WE CAN MUSTER/ WL ENHANCE SHRA ACTIVITY LATER TDA. HV POPS INCRSG TO LKLY/CAT LT TDA-ELY TNGT. THERE HAS BEEN ISOL ELEVATED TSRA W/IN SHRA THIS MRNG. 12Z RAOB DEPICT A TON OF CINH...W/ JUST A LTL CAPE. DONT BELIEVE WE/LL MANAGE TO GET MANY BINOVC /DUE IN PART TO THE CONTD ELY FLOW/... SO DONT FORSEE NMRS TSRA. HWVR...THERE/S ENUF LIFT...SPCLY INVOF PVA TAFTN...TO JUSTIFY EMBEDDED SCHC/CHC THUNDER. MOST OF THIS SHUD REMAIN ELEVATED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Ian should be happy with this line Thats a pretty decent meso right there.. hoping Ian sees something good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Don't see this in October much around here we dont get storms much period in october but when we do they tend to come in episodes like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Granted I've been out of the loop for a while. And all I have in the car is WTOP. But how did we go from showers with thunder (WTOP's forecast in the morning) to tornado warnings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 we dont get storms much period in october but when we do they tend to come in episodes like this Any Oct severe in 09? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Weird just got a flash of lightning and clap of thunder but do not see anything on radar up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Thats a pretty decent meso right there.. hoping Ian sees something good I'm covering CWG... I never get to enjoy storms anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 I'm still mostly willing to stand by the mehness around DC. The best parameters were over C Va where they cashed in better. Sharp cutoff dc and north. I would agree, once you go north of central/northern VA there is a massive cutoff in instability where you go from SBcapes up near 2500 J/KH with 1000 JKG of MLcape to well below 1000 J/KG of SBcape. There is a bit more in the way of ML forcing too with MLJ max situated further south across VA. Still enough shear in place though which should keep storms potent for a time so they should gradually weaken and perhaps become a bit more elevated in nature given good deal of MUcape in place. Threat should go more towards straight-line winds rather than tornadic once storms move out of the instability-rich environment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Cell coming into Spotsylvania County that looks nasty.. already a warning on it.. BB, don't know where your looking but it all looks like mesocyclones to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brubert Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 2050 1 N NANCE NEW KENT VA3748 7713 ROOF DAMAGE TO A HOME ON SOLDIERS REST CIRCLE. MOST OF THE SHINGLES WERE REMOVED FROM THE HOME. (AKQ) 2050 NEW KENT AIRPORT NEW KENT VA3750 7712 A GAZEBO WAS DESTROYED AND NUMEROUS FRUIT TREES UPROOTED AT 7100 LAKE SHORE DR. (AKQ) 2050 1 N FIVE LAKES SUBDIVIS NEW KENT VA3751 7717 TREES DOWN FROM A TORNADO AS IT CROSSED I-64 JUST EAST OF EXIT 205. (AKQ) 2055 1 NNW BROWNS CORNER NEW KENT VA3753 7710 DAMAGE WAS REPORTED TO GW WATKINS ELEMENTARY. THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE WAS UKNOWN. (AKQ) 2105 1 WSW POPLAR GROVE NEW KENT VA3758 7706 NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ON OLD RIVER ROAD NEAR TALLYSVILLE ROAD. (AKQ) This is all around us..I think we dodged the bullet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Storm northwest of Richmond popped up quickly and has decent rotation...about to enter Sterling's CWA. Still surprised at no SVR west of D.C. Also, a likely tornado from the strong meso earlier in Fauquier county: 2 SE MIDLAND FAUQUIER VA SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO A HOME AND BARN ON MIDLAND ROAD. 7 PEOPLE DISPLACED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Heavy rain pushes event total over 2" in the burg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Really not that bad here. Some gusts and mod rains. Plenty of T&L. Edit: now some heavy rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smokeybandit Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 I'm 15 miles from the closest storm, and can hear the thunder clapping away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Lightning and rumbles of thunder here and the main line is well to the south still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 NOT a good time to be outdoors in any way in the D.C. Metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted October 13, 2011 Share Posted October 13, 2011 Yeah, similar here. Occasional thunder and no rain in sight. Perhaps there's a duct layer aloft that's making the sound carry farther than usual? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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