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ENSO for warm Septembers


uncle W

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this September should end up averaging over 70.0...It will be the 16th time this has happened since 1950...This list of warm Septembers are ranked by enso index...I averaged the MEI for the July/Aug-Aug/Sept readings...I used the ONI JAS index...
...................................................................................................................................
Year Sept. Temp. ONI index MEI index..............................................................
2010.....71.1...............-1.0................-1.933
1971.....71.6...............-0.8................-1.352
1970.....70.8...............-0.8................-1.147
1998.....70.2...............-0.8................-0.546
1985.....70.5...............-0.5................-0.470
1959.....72.3...............-0.5...............+0.057
2007.....70.3...............-0.4................-0.805

2011.....70.0...............-0.4................-0.628
1961.....73.6...............-0.3................-0.249
2005.....73.3...............-0.2...............+0.285
1983.....71.8...............-0.2...............+0.775
1980.....70.8...............-0.0...............+0.309
1979.....70.5..............+0.1...............+0.710
1953.....70.4..............+0.4...............+0.390
1968.....70.6..............+0.4...............+0.058
2002.....70.2..............+1.0...............+0.865
there are not many El Nino years on the list...

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this September should end up averaging over 70.0...It will be the 16th time this has happened since 1950...This list of warm Septembers are ranked by enso index...I averaged the MEI for the July/Aug-Aug/Sept readings...I used the ONI JAS index...

there are not many El Nino years on the list...

And most of the ones where the ONI was positive were in "warm phase" of the PDO from 1977-2006.

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