Inudaw Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 On 9/28/2011 at 6:23 AM, Inudaw said: October 4.1/1.4/0.8 Season 21/6.1/3.2 Updating based on Ophiela becoming a major... (Season total that is.. ) October 4.1/1.4/0.8 Season 21/6.1/4.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Updating seasonal to 20/8/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 On 9/27/2011 at 12:31 AM, wxmx said: 4/3/3 21/7/5 4/3/3 21/8/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 So for those wondering (and lazy! ) our current seasonal standing is 16/4/3 and Sept. is 5/2/1 (assuming Phillpe stays below 74mph forever). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 On 9/27/2011 at 3:56 AM, MariettaWx said: October : 4/2/2 Season : 21/5/4 Updated October same - 4/2/2 Update season : 21/6/5 - Ophelia...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 October: 4 / 2 / 0.5 Season: 20.5 / 6 / 3.5 (changed) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CUmet Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Oct: 3/2/1 Season: 21/7/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Changing this: OCT: 3/2/1 Season: 20/7/4 On 9/27/2011 at 3:49 AM, kab2791 said: Oct: 3/1/0 Season: 20/6/2 (Updated) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 October: 3/2/0.8 Season: 21/5/4(updated) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 On 9/28/2011 at 10:42 AM, am19psu said: Just updating the seasonal forecast for Ophelia... Season (updated again): 21.5/7/3.5 Season updated again: 21.5/7/4.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Edited again for Ophelia lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 1, 2011 Author Share Posted October 1, 2011 October 3.3/1.6/0.8 Seasonal 20.2/6.4/2.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DerekZ Posted October 2, 2011 Share Posted October 2, 2011 October: 3/0/0 Season: 21/4/3 (updated) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted October 2, 2011 Share Posted October 2, 2011 Hate being on the road... Oh well... Better late than never! Oct: 4.1/2.2/1.3 Season: 20.7/7.1/3.9 (change... ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted October 2, 2011 Share Posted October 2, 2011 Oops...thought the tropical forecast was due by theend of the day, Oct. 2nd (it was the Oct. Temp forecast)... 2/1/1 18/5/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 Here's a link to the original seasonal forecasts (end of thread): http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/18944-%c2%a7-june-forecast-contest-tropics-%c2%a7/page__st__60 Seems that the ratio of tropical storms to hurricanes was generally unforeseen. But if the season doesn't produce much from now on, the consensus and some of the higher predictions should do well except for that ratio being off. Lower seasonal predictions could do better on H and M unless we see 2-3 more hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 12, 2011 Author Share Posted October 12, 2011 On 10/1/2011 at 9:24 PM, Mallow said: October 3.3/1.6/0.8 Seasonal 20.2/6.4/2.9 Whoops. For some reason I hadn't updated my spreadsheet to include Katia as a major (I probably closed it without saving after updating in mid September). Oh well, now I have a fallback... if there's no MH this month I'll be good on seasonal... if there is, I'll be good on the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 12, 2011 Author Share Posted October 12, 2011 October forecasts: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 Jorge and I are so good at this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 12, 2011 Share Posted October 12, 2011 On 10/12/2011 at 5:54 PM, am19psu said: Jorge and I are so good at this. ... next year we'll have to let the kids play Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 Trainwreck? Is 1972 the last October with no named storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted October 15, 2011 Share Posted October 15, 2011 On 10/15/2011 at 11:33 PM, Roger Smith said: Trainwreck? Is 1972 the last October with no named storms? 2006, 2002, 1994, 1993,1986, 1983, 1982 With no storms, even if cyclogenesis was in September (unlike this year since we had Ophelia and Philipe), then 1994 was the last one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted October 21, 2011 Share Posted October 21, 2011 Rotate! where's a marginal when you need one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted October 23, 2011 Share Posted October 23, 2011 I have no words... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 1, 2011 Author Share Posted November 1, 2011 Congrats to Roger Smith! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 Well at least I improved. Gag. I think my strength lies in my original overall seasonal numbers, except hurricanes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 Being late sucks......could have made up some ground. I agree with the rules set forth, but had a brainstorm that may (down the road for those who have unforeseen "stuff" going on) improve upon the tardy penalties: I propose for next year that for every hour late rounded to next hour (which the timestamp of the post would provide) that 1% get taken off, carried out to 100% if one were 100 hours late....Just an idea to throw out there.... for the many who have priorities (or are just naturally lazy) that creep up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 2, 2011 Author Share Posted November 2, 2011 On 11/2/2011 at 2:56 PM, LakeEffectKing said: Being late sucks......could have made up some ground. I agree with the rules set forth, but had a brainstorm that may (down the road for those who have unforeseen "stuff" going on) improve upon the tardy penalties: I propose for next year that for every hour late rounded to next hour (which the timestamp of the post would provide) that 1% get taken off, carried out to 100% if one were 100 hours late....Just an idea to throw out there.... for the many who have priorities (or are just naturally lazy) that creep up. This is probably a better idea, since I'm currently treating 1hr late and 23hrs late the same. I think that's a good thing to implement next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 On 11/2/2011 at 2:56 PM, LakeEffectKing said: Being late sucks......could have made up some ground. I agree with the rules set forth, but had a brainstorm that may (down the road for those who have unforeseen "stuff" going on) improve upon the tardy penalties: I propose for next year that for every hour late rounded to next hour (which the timestamp of the post would provide) that 1% get taken off, carried out to 100% if one were 100 hours late....Just an idea to throw out there.... for the many who have priorities (or are just naturally lazy) that creep up. Or just get it in on time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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