cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Man it was a mistake to lurk in the northeast forums the last few days. It's only October but I'm fiending for some snow now lol. Interesting looking little system rolling through tomorrow. Looks to be pretty moisture starved though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 I think there's a chance at frozen precip tomorrow during the heaviest of the system. -1° C at 850 hPa, so convective cells would at least spit out some ice. Would be very hard for actual snow mix to get to the ground since it'll be the middle of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Awesome radiational cooling so far this evening, at least for Wisconsin. Down to 36° F at MSN after a high of 53° F. Clouds will move in during the next few hours though, and get quite thick in the mid-upper levels. Our low could be before midnight due to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Awesome radiational cooling so far this evening, at least for Wisconsin. Down to 36° F at MSN after a high of 53° F. Clouds will move in during the next few hours though, and get quite thick in the mid-upper levels. Our low could be before midnight due to that. I knew it felt chilly when i just let the dog out but i figured it would show like 41 at the armpit of radiating... 35 out, impressive for here. another if only tomorrow was winter it would be a 2-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 btw heres a quick pic I snapped out the window this morning of the fall frost Freaking gorgeous to walk out to! Color can't get no better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 up to 37.. last yr we had our first freeze of the fall this date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2011 Author Share Posted October 30, 2011 Saturday, October 29th: Hi: 54F Lo: 32F Overall Sky Conditions: Mostly Clear Max Wind Gust: 14MPH Rainfall: 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 up to 37.. last yr we had our first freeze of the fall this date. They sure underestimated radiational cooling tonight; before they were forecasting 36 for a low; just checked my point forecast and it predicts 29. Every degree might help if it somehow could translate to tomorrow, even though I know it is futile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 We officially are below freezing for the first time this Fall at KDTW, currently 31 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 We officially are below freezing for the first time this Fall at KDTW, currently 31 degrees. The consolation is that you beat NYC! So funny to think that EWR had a 5" snowstorm, but is still waiting for their first freeze. Same for NYC. Kind of funny to think that theoretically it's possible to have the earliest snowstorm on record but also have the latest freeze on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 29º at LAF this morning, first sub 30º min...4th min temp of 32º or lower (10/22, 10/28, 10/29, and today). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Some first sub 30º min temp stats for LAF. Data from the Purdue University Airport since 1964 Earliest sub 30º min temp: September 23, 1995 Latest sub 30º min temp: November 14, 1975 Coldest first sub 30º min temp: 23º on October 21, 1974 and November 1, 1993 First sub 30º min temp by date range... September 30 or earlier: 1 (1995) October 1-10: 13 (1964, 1968, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1985, 1987, 1988, 1989, 2000, 2001, 2004) October 11-20: 9 (1967, 1972, 1976, 1977, 1991, 1992, 1996, 2002, 2006) October 21-31: 10 (1965, 1966, 1969, 1974, 1982, 1990, 1994, 1997, 2008, 2011) November 1-10: 12 (1971, 1973, 1983, 1984, 1986, 1993, 1998, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2009, 2010) November 11-20: 2 (1975, 2005) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 First 32º or lower min temp of the season for IND. November 08, 1956 is the latest on record. Next up, the first 28º or lower min temp. Latest on record for that is a somewhat remarkable date of December 3, 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Some first sub 30º min temp stats for LAF. Data from the Purdue University Airport since 1964 Earliest sub 30º min temp: September 23, 1995 Latest sub 30º min temp: November 14, 1975 Coldest first sub 30º min temp: 23º on October 21, 1974 and November 1, 1993 First sub 30º min temp by date range... September 30 or earlier: 1 (1995) October 1-10: 13 (1964, 1968, 1978, 1979, 1980, 1981, 1985, 1987, 1988, 1989, 2000, 2001, 2004) October 11-20: 9 (1967, 1972, 1976, 1977, 1991, 1992, 1996, 2002, 2006) October 21-31: 10 (1965, 1966, 1969, 1974, 1982, 1990, 1994, 1997, 2008, 2011) November 1-10: 12 (1971, 1973, 1983, 1984, 1986, 1993, 1998, 1999, 2003, 2007, 2009, 2010) November 11-20: 2 (1975, 2005) Nice stats, sir. Somewhat amazingly, despite the beautiful chilly and clear nights recently in the Chicago area, ORD still hasn't dropped to 32F this Fall. Two nights ago it hit 34, and last night it hit 33 around midnight before S winds came in and stopped the cooling. Per your separate post, I believe we're getting close to the latest freeze on record at ORD! It just goes to show how these milestones don't necessarily tell the tale of the "feel" of the weather...but interesting nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Nice stats, sir. Somewhat amazingly, despite the beautiful chilly and clear nights recently in the Chicago area, ORD still hasn't dropped to 32F this Fall. Two nights ago it hit 34, and last night it hit 33 around midnight before S winds came in and stopped the cooling. Per your separate post, I believe we're getting close to the latest freeze on record at ORD! It just goes to show how these milestones don't necessarily tell the tale of the "feel" of the weather...but interesting nonetheless. Thanks. I did a quick check, and it looks like ORD, STL, and EVV are the only ones left (of the first order/major sites in the Midwest) that haven't hit 32º. Matter of fact, STL has had only two nights/min temps in the 30's this Autumn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Bump. Tomorrow is the last day. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/27333-2011-12-lakesov-centralwestern-forum-snowfall-contest/ Also, I think I screwed up on the first tiebreaker. I was looking for an amount rather than a date, but wasn't clear enough (some have picked amounts, some just a date, and a few both). My bad. Probably will eliminate that one and use the other 3 tiebreakers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Winds are really howling out there this morning. Been getting gusts over 30mph. With the freezes we've had the last week and these strong winds the trees are pretty much bare around here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 29º at LAF this morning, first sub 30º min...4th min temp of 32º or lower (10/22, 10/28, 10/29, and today). Probably safe to say that the growing season is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Probably safe to say that the growing season is done. Heh. Maybe one more frost advisory overnight for continuities sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Heh. Maybe one more frost advisory overnight for continuities sake. Wouldn't be shocked...my post had nothing to do with whether there would be more frost advisories. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2011 Author Share Posted October 30, 2011 Nice stats, sir. Somewhat amazingly, despite the beautiful chilly and clear nights recently in the Chicago area, ORD still hasn't dropped to 32F this Fall. Two nights ago it hit 34, and last night it hit 33 around midnight before S winds came in and stopped the cooling. Per your separate post, I believe we're getting close to the latest freeze on record at ORD! It just goes to show how these milestones don't necessarily tell the tale of the "feel" of the weather...but interesting nonetheless. Latest freeze on record for Chicago is Nov 24th, 1930 (30F). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Winds are pushing 40mph now with showers moving in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2011 Author Share Posted October 30, 2011 It made it down to 31 here this morning before clouds moved in. This is the first freeze on the season and the coldest temp since April 21st (29)...which was also the final freeze of last season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Winds are pushing 40mph now with showers moving in. we must of had a serious wind gust overnight or early morning cause i woke up to our patio umbrella completely out of the table and on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 we must of had a serious wind gust overnight or early morning cause i woke up to our patio umbrella completely out of the table and on the ground. Yeah it was kind of weird. We had a period of 40-45mph gusts within a half hour period, but other than that they only gusted to around 30mph. Must have been a narrow corridor of decent mixing moving through. 925mb winds are ripping pretty good over northern Illinois today. BTW winds aren't gusty at all right now with some light rain moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Latest freeze on record for Chicago is Nov 24th, 1930 (30F). Thanks...that's crazy. I guess UHI existed back then too...or at a minium, the Fall was very mild up to that point and kept the lake water temp above normal. For ORD, it's much sooner...I believe Nov. 5 or thereabouts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Thanks...that's crazy. I guess UHI existed back then too...or at a minium, the Fall was very mild up to that point and kept the lake water temp above normal. For ORD, it's much sooner...I believe Nov. 5 or thereabouts. November 6, 1998 Also, today is the average first date of a trace of snowfall for Chicago. Looking ahead, average first measurable (0.1" or greater) is November 16th, and the average first 1.0" or greater is December 2nd. From the looks of things, no snow of any kind for the foreseeable future... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 30, 2011 Author Share Posted October 30, 2011 Winds are pushing 40mph now with showers moving in. Winds are picking up here too as the area of rain moved in. DKB is gusting to 43mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Seeing some sunlight in Madison! At least for a few minutes anyways, another band of rain associated with the cold front is coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 Not sure about elsewhere but it's unreal how this month is mirroring October 2008 in terms of temp departures. Below average the first few days, then about 2 weeks above average, then about a week below average, then a few days above and a few days below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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