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October 2011 General Discussion/Obs


Chicago Storm

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I keep all my windows open in wx like this, don't care if it's a bit chilly. Got plenty of blankets for sleeping.

This, of course the person who regulates the thermostat in my house likes to keep the heat at 75, which is why I am thinking about investing in some tropical plants for the house lol.

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With it looking to turn colder later this week behind the storm system tracking up the mountains, I decided to take a look at some fall freeze stats for northern Ohio. It looks like many spots may drop to 36 or below this week, with perhaps some 32F at readings at the colder locations.

Cleveland

Coldest so far: 43, on 10/17

1981-2010 average for first <36F: October 11 (last year, October 22)

1981-2010 average for first <32F: October 26 (last year, November 1)

1981-2010 average for first <28F: November 8 (last year, November 3)

Toledo

Coldest so far: 37, on 10/2

1981-2010 average for first <36F: September 30 (last year, October 19)

1981-2010 average for first <32F: October 12 (last year, November 1)

1981-2010 average for first <28F: October 27 (last year, November 1)

Youngstown

Coldest so far: 38, on 9/16

1981-2010 average for first <36F: September 29 (last year, October 16)

1981-2010 average for first <32F: October 10 (last year, October 22)

1981-2010 average for first <28F: October 28 (last year, November 1)

Akron/Canton

Coldest so far: 38, on 10/2

1981-2010 average for first <36F: October 8 (last year, October 19)

1981-2010 average for first <32F: October 18 (last year, November 1)

1981-2010 average for first <28F: November 5 (last year, November 1)

Mansfield

Coldest so far: 38, on 10/2

1981-2010 average for first <36F: October 4 (last year, October 19)

1981-2010 average for first <32F: October 18 (last year, October 22)

1981-2010 average for first <28F: October 30 (last year, November 1)

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Always nice to see the first AFD discuss potential mixing precip, even if it looks highly unlikely. :guitar:

From DVN...

FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO CELSIUS ABOVE 900MB AND ARE FAIRLY SATURATED. THUS THE PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM SINCE WBZ TEMPERATURES ARE AT OR ABOVE FREEZING BELOW 900MB.

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Went hiking at a metropark today, nice Fall day but very breezy. Lots of trees already bare, and the remaining trees seem split between nice color/muted color/green-muted green. Not as brilliant a foliage season as in recent years, but still nice. With this storm coming this week, should see even a lot more bare trees.

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Always nice to see the first AFD discuss potential mixing precip, even if it looks highly unlikely. :guitar:

From DVN...

FCST SOUNDINGS INDICATE TEMPERATURES BELOW ZERO CELSIUS ABOVE 900MB AND ARE FAIRLY SATURATED. THUS THE PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD REMAIN IN LIQUID FORM SINCE WBZ TEMPERATURES ARE AT OR ABOVE FREEZING BELOW 900MB.

IWX...

AN INITIAL CONCERN WAS FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A WINTRY MIX AS COLD AIR SPREADS SOUTHEAST BEHIND THE SURFACE LOW. LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES AND 850 MB TEMPS STILL SUPPORT JUST RAIN...SO HAVE KEPT ALL LIQUID PRECIPITATION FOR NOW. ALSO...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE FOR LAKE ENHANCED PRECIPITATION AS A FAVORABLE FETCH DEVELOPS OVER THE LONG AXIS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

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