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October 2011 General Discussion/Obs


Chicago Storm

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Are the growing seasons getting longer? I was looking at the 1971-2000 normals for first freeze and it seems like the last several years have been averaging about a week later. It looks like this year will continue the trend... honestly, I wouldn't be shocked if it took until November to get a freeze this year.

I wonder if this is related to the sharp decline in arctic sea ice in recent years.

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that run alone would have some threat on the warm front if enough instabiliy is realized, great shear profiles. But its a week away so lets just wait and see.

Yeah also time of day per that run, which has about a 5% chance of staying as it is right now, wouldn't be great for severe.

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The end of next weeks storm looks mighty intersting. Man if this was mid Nov we could be talking about a major snow event. It will be intersting if this storm next week yields some clues about the upcoming winter pattern? If it is the pattern then we could be looking at a period like 07-08 where a system was cruising by every 72 hours. Gonna be a fun couple of weeks seeing how things set up. Someone though is gonna bust hard this winter though, kinda get a feeling where this may be a winter of winner takes all and everyone else get's sh#t.

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The end of next weeks storm looks mighty intersting. Man if this was mid Nov we could be talking about a major snow event. It will be intersting if this storm next week yields some clues about the upcoming winter pattern? If it is the pattern then we could be looking at a period like 07-08 where a system was cruising by every 72 hours. Gonna be a fun couple of weeks seeing how things set up. Someone though is gonna bust hard this winter though, kinda get a feeling where this may be a winter of winner takes all and everyone else get's sh#t.

what is the Euro showing for the 23rd-24th time period?

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