Chicago Storm Posted September 26, 2011 Share Posted September 26, 2011 We're only a few days away, so we might as well get this going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 26, 2011 Share Posted September 26, 2011 Going to be a cool start for the GL/OV areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted September 26, 2011 Share Posted September 26, 2011 Warm and dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 26, 2011 Share Posted September 26, 2011 Warm and dry. I wouldn't mind. The hot summer wasn't very enjoyable but not ready for the real cool stuff yet either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 26, 2011 Share Posted September 26, 2011 The first month with a legitimate chance at seeing some snowflakes. It's getting closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 October is the best month to work construction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Hopefully whats his face doesn't start the two week open severe thread but id bet on atleast one decent severe event during the first 7-10 days or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Mid-latitude cyclones dropping further south, and more intense (anyone up for an Octobomb redux?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 (anyone up for an Octobomb redux?) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnchaser Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 The long range fantasy cast GFS was showing some snow showers for Minnesota on 15 haha won't be long now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Hopefully whats his face doesn't start the two week open severe thread but id bet on atleast one decent severe event during the first 7-10 days or so. It's been pretty quiet overall for a while. I like that western trough showing up on the GFS ensembles. Maybe something comes out of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Mid-latitude cyclones dropping further south, and more intense (anyone up for an Octobomb redux?) Nice Octobomb avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 GFS continues to show middle-late next week to be fun...ensembles in decent agreement of a western trof and the 0z GFS is showing this monster at 10 days...60 dews almost up to Canada with great flow off the gulf into the southern plains and 75kt southeasterly winds at 850mb in ND/MN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 GFS continues to show middle-late next week to be fun...ensembles in decent agreement of a western trof and the 0z GFS is showing this monster at 10 days...60 dews almost up to Canada with great flow off the gulf into the southern plains and 75kt southeasterly winds at 850mb in ND/MN. Ahhh, I'm glad those September doldrums are almost over... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 GFS continues to show middle-late next week to be fun...ensembles in decent agreement of a western trof and the 0z GFS is showing this monster at 10 days...60 dews almost up to Canada with great flow off the gulf into the southern plains and 75kt southeasterly winds at 850mb in ND/MN. That has potential significant severe wx event written all over it. Main thing I don't like on that map is the relatively narrow nature of the warm sector which could make the threat area narrow on any given day, but other than that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Euro has 50 knot 850 mb jet in the Central Plains and a nice trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Hopefully whats his face doesn't start the two week open severe thread but id bet on atleast one decent severe event during the first 7-10 days or so. I would agree with this, the long range models all showing a seasonally strong trough ejecting around the 7th to 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 12z GFS ensembles at 228hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Hopefully the annual oct torch can hold off or extend past the 8th when vacation starts, but ATM I'm not liking the odds for much of any warmth up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 The first month with a legitimate chance at seeing some snowflakes. It's getting closer. Lock it in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Lock it in Need a south trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Need a south trend. Yeah, right now it's a congrats Stevens Point/Wausau/Grand Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 12z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 0z GFS continues the recent trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
River Card Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 I htink we will see at least some flurries and even maybe melt on contact snow showers. Certainly get that feeling that winter is going to come on with a vengence this year, the pattern with this stuck low, the huge storm expected to develop next week...just has that feel of active winter writeen all over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 12z GFS digging the wave/trof in the long range further south closer to what the 12z Euro showed yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Dumb closing the general oct severe weather thread because the severe wx clique thinks its stupid... now we get to weed through severe weenies posting 8.5 day out GFS maps.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 28, 2011 Author Share Posted September 28, 2011 Dumb closing the general oct severe weather thread because the severe wx clique thinks it stupid... now we get to weed through severe weenies posting 8.5 day out GFS maps.. It's no different than what we deal with in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 It's no different than what we deal with in the winter. oh could go on and on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2011 Share Posted September 28, 2011 Though it's a bit far out, if that thread had been about the possible event next week it might not have been closed. The October severe thread would be like having "January winter thread" in addition to having our usual monthly thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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