Thunder Road Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 Three hours of 78 and no intra-hour low below that. Incredible! I feel like if the NWS was playing they would be near last place, iirc they went 74 for last night. Oh well, if the wind relaxes this evening then there's still hope for a low of <78 before 06z Wed. Those winds are impressive though, already sustained at 11 kts at 1253z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 Three hours of 78 and no intra-hour low below that. Incredible! I feel like if the NWS was playing they would be near last place, iirc they went 74 for last night. Oh well, if the wind relaxes this evening then there's still hope for a low of <78 before 06z Wed. Those winds are impressive though, already sustained at 11 kts at 1253z. I'm pretty sure they are playing as "NWS23Z". Someone correct me if I'm wrong. As of now NWS23Z is in 1260th place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 Three hours of 78 and no intra-hour low below that. Incredible! I feel like if the NWS was playing they would be near last place, iirc they went 74 for last night. Oh well, if the wind relaxes this evening then there's still hope for a low of <78 before 06z Wed. Those winds are impressive though, already sustained at 11 kts at 1253z. From our local forecast contest here in my class at NC State last semester at KRDU, I noticed that the NWS' point-to-point forecasts really aren't that great. I and several of my classmates outforecasted them by a pretty good margin (and the NAM MOS outforecasted every single one of us, LOL...). That may have just been an anomaly, though. The bottom line is that the NWS is here for much more than generalized point-to-point forecasts, though, and I doubt that it is something they spend much time on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 85 as of 2pm, max temp of 86...will see if it sticks there or goes higher. latest sustained winds were 13kts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 Ok now let's just hold it there at 86, please. I'm in 18th place at my school out of >50, not bad considering at least two of my professors are below me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted October 4, 2011 Share Posted October 4, 2011 Yeah, going 84 was just stupid. Hopefully the winds can get close to 18 kts or I'll be falling down the standings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Decided to stay persistent. Went 86/77/15/0.00 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 86/76/18/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 86/78/14/0.00 - Rinse and Repeat... (a bit higher on the winds though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 86/75/17/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted October 5, 2011 Author Share Posted October 5, 2011 Heights look to drop somewhat tomorrow, and considering the high was 86 today I went a touch lower. 85 F / 77 F /18 kts/ 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 believe I went 87/76/20/0.00 strong signal for increasing winds tomorrow...wouldn't be surprised if the max wind for today is increased to ~15kt as well. current temp is 79F, so still an outside chance that the low for the day drops another degree from 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 believe I went 87/76/20/0.00 strong signal for increasing winds tomorrow...wouldn't be surprised if the max wind for today is increased to ~15kt as well. current temp is 79F, so still an outside chance that the low for the day drops another degree from 78. Close to me...I went 87/76/17/0.00. Heights might be a tad lower, but I think clouds should thin tomorrow afternoon and allow for slightly higher temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Crap, I screwed up my forecast when entering the low temperature. It stated that: The forecast was removed from the system for the following reason(s): - Your low temperature is statistically abnormal. I am not sure how it is going to score this now, but I know it won't be good. Ugh... Proofreading FTL... I had three tests today, so I threw the forecast together really quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Same here. Today was a win. Decided to stay persistent. Went 86/77/15/0.00 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Close to me...I went 87/76/17/0.00. Heights might be a tad lower, but I think clouds should thin tomorrow afternoon and allow for slightly higher temps. Didn't know you were playing tony, whats your name on wxchallenge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Didn't know you were playing tony, whats your name on wxchallenge? radarr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 85/78/16/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 I went 86 / 77 / 15 / 0.00 I still can't forecast a morning low for my life, so I just picked 77 because it's in the middle of the previous few values. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Crap, I screwed up my forecast when entering the low temperature. It stated that: The forecast was removed from the system for the following reason(s): - Your low temperature is statistically abnormal. I am not sure how it is going to score this now, but I know it won't be good. Ugh... Proofreading FTL... I had three tests today, so I threw the forecast together really quickly. So then what did you actually put? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Yikes, I'm not liking this temperature drop right now...SLOW DOWN, COME BACK CLOUDS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 I went 86/77/16/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Gag, max winds were only 14 kts yesterday. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Already up to 15 kts today. I thought I put 15, but I just checked and I actually entered 14. Darn. We'll probably hit 20 kts this afternoon given how early it is in the day. Big payoff for those who went ballsy on the winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Temp/Winds actually went down in the last hour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 5, 2011 Share Posted October 5, 2011 Late to this thread...I'm running the FIU team this year. The team has no experience at all but they are doing a good job and learning fast. I'm doing terrible but today I will have a 0-point day if the wind is 19 knots. It looks like rain on Friday which should make for an exciting finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 86/75/17/0.05" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 86/76/18/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 Given the clear skies most of the day tomorrow, and 850mb temps progged to be *slightly* higher than today, I went... 87 / 75 / 16 / 0.00" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted October 6, 2011 Share Posted October 6, 2011 Day 7 86F / 75F / 14 knots / 0.00" Forgot to update my forecast I submitted this afternoon, not liking my winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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