superjames1992 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 91F / 75F / 8 knots / 0.35" Might have went too warm, but we'll see. Precip will make it or break it, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 88 / 76 / 10kts / 0.17" Good luck everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 89/76/8/0.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 87 / 76 / 10 / 0.30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 bgshow from Umass Lowell. Cat. 3. Precip should be fun. Went with 90/77/7/.18 Good luck everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 WioFin, Lyndon State College. 89/77/13/0.12 Forecasting precipitation for this city is just going to be a pain. Good Luck to everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 88 / 77 /7 / 0.06 Confident except for the winds and of course precip. .06 was like my "confidence" if you will for chance of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutWX Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 HI: 88 LO:74 WND:10 PRECIP: 0.41 Precip is a total crapshoot lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 I believe I put 86/76/10/0.19 went low on the high given that Monday they only got to 85F and the temps stopped rising before the rain even came. is there a way to check my current forecast that's not editable? I didn't select the e-mail function and I totally forget, since I haven't participated in so long. I think I have to wait until 06z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 I believe I put 86/76/10/0.19 went low on the high given that Monday they only got to 85F and the temps stopped rising before the rain even came. is there a way to check my current forecast that's not editable? I didn't select the e-mail function and I totally forget, since I haven't participated in so long. I think I have to wait until 06z If you go to the website sidebar and select "The Challenge" then "Distribution" and plug in your school etc. Then just find your username in the list and there is your forecast. That info BTW comes out at 00:03z I just noticed the standard deviation for all of the forecasters precipitation is .32"! Holy cow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 88 76 15knots 0.47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMIweather Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 74 for the low is going to mess most people up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Ugh, my forecast is a dud for today. Rest of the week I am a bit conservative for rain and wind, so I think that'll go better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 I'm surprised at the low...now if the precipitation stays away, but temperatures stay on the low side, it could be very interesting. maybe Miami isn't as easy as we all expectec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 I love the random 15kt gust this morning. Great. And the temporary 2F dip to 74F. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Jake, I don't think gusts count, though. I went 90/75/9/.30. And btw, I'm Dsnowx from Rutgers University. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Yeah it's the maximum sustained wind. So don't worry about the gust. Buuut, I'm kinda hoping for a big ol' fat thunderstorm to park it over Miami for a couple hours this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Winds have to be the highest sustained...probably won't go much higher unless they somehow manage a gusty thunderstorm. up to 82F, so barring any rain or shift to OVC and they'll make a run at the upper 80s. precip? might very well stay at zero... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Yeah it's the maximum sustained wind. So don't worry about the gust. Buuut, I'm kinda hoping for a big ol' fat thunderstorm to park it over Miami for a couple hours this afternoon Same here, took a bit of a risk; I did .75in of rain today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 It's up to 85 in Miami with partly cloudy skies...they might very well hit 90 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Hmmm, models not showing the amount of precip they were last night, and that drop last night was stupid! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 87 and climbing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Yeah it's not gusts, it's max wind speed... Gonna be hard to get to 0.47, maybe something will pop up later here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Yeah it's not gusts, it's max wind speed... Gonna be hard to get to 0.47, maybe something will pop up later here... based on satellite imagery and the latest high res forecasts, it's looking less and less likely...part of me was so tempted to put 0.00...it's one way to jump points in this contest, go out on a limb and forecast no precip when there seems to be a general consensus that it will rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 Damn it, was so tempted to go 0.00 on precip. O well. what are you going to do. Nice and toasty down there so far. 90 a possibility...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 based on satellite imagery and the latest high res forecasts, it's looking less and less likely...part of me was so tempted to put 0.00...it's one way to jump points in this contest, go out on a limb and forecast no precip when there seems to be a general consensus that it will rain. I had 0.00 too but at the time I would of been screwed if it had rained any. Clear skies and subsidence could push it to 90. New 2 PM OB says 88 with a SE wind at 8 kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 While widespread precip certainly appears to be less likely now, don't discount the seabreeze just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 While widespread precip certainly appears to be less likely now, don't discount the seabreeze just yet. So we are down to hoping the seabreeze brings us some precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 what are the SSTs like down there? they don't seem to be having much of an effect...8/130 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted September 27, 2011 Share Posted September 27, 2011 what are the SSTs like down there? they don't seem to be having much of an effect...8/130 right now About 85-86 F locally. SSTs have fallen a bit recently, probably due to a combination of cloud cover and precip (and perhaps even some northerly return flow near the immediate coast and away from the Gulf Stream, but not sure about this). So with highs > 88 F we should get some sea breeze activity, as we're beginning to see on sat and radar. Not sure if it will be enough to overcome large scale subsidence moving in tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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