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Models Advertising Late Month Storm And Cold Front


bluewave

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  On 10/5/2011 at 1:16 AM, Isotherm said:

I'm headed to VT on Saturday, I guess I should expect crap based upon the reports.

It is horrible up here; the maples on campus are a dull yellow speckled with brown, and a good percentage of the forest hasn't changed color at all. Overall a very dull and depressing scene, but not surprising given that ORH has received 19.8" rain since August 1st....we're just a bit to the northwest and have probably seen equivalent liquid.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 3:24 AM, Allsnow said:

Euro at 12z showing tropical connection next week.....might not be a storm, but tons of moisture coming up the coast....looks to be a next possible rain event...

Great. Guess we gotta enjoy these next few days of sun and warmth.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 11:36 AM, winterwarlock said:

I thought the rex block development would keep any rains away?

Its tough to bet on any prolonged dry pattern recently, but lets see if the ecm and gfs sustain this threat. At least it looks like we'll be dry through next tue/wed at least.

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  On 10/5/2011 at 1:40 PM, SACRUS said:

Its tough to bet on any prolonged dry pattern recently, but lets see if the ecm and gfs sustain this threat. At least it looks like we'll be dry through next tue/wed at least.

it will be interesting to see how the subtropical/hybrid development plays out over the SE. It looks like sometime in the 7-10 day range the trough

will be back over the East and pick up tropical moisture and the low from the SE.

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  On 10/6/2011 at 11:59 AM, Sundog said:

Widespread 40's and 30's this morning and into the 80's within 72 hours. Sounds like fall to me! arrowheadsmiley.png

Yeah, it's like a reverse of October 2007. Back then we hit the 80's first then we dropped into the 40's several days later.

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  On 10/6/2011 at 1:36 PM, Plfdwxdude said:

GFS showing 30s and wet snow around the 21st :lol:

yea, i was just noticing that... what a roller coaster ride it would be this month if it played out like that

unfortunately it is 360 hours out on the GFS.. the ensembles show nothing near the operational solution at this point. It pretty much has average temps

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