Allsnow Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 0.83 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Ironic that the dryslot over SNJ looks to train right over me. Only 0.91" here so far today though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Still raining heavily here in NW Chesco Rain today 1.62" MTD rain at 7.45" Rain since August 1st - 20.18" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 hasn't been *that* bad today...rainy but nothing unusual...just a soggy ground to deal with beforehand. I agree. A light to moderate rain, heavy at times. 1.57 today, max rate 3.20 in/hr. DP of 70 makes it feel toasty,but wet outside. Looks like we will get a break soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 1.17" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 1.45 here for the day, looks like the bulk of the rain is already over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Steve D. mentions this is in his FB post today, anybody have any thoughts on this? I am becoming very concerned with this disturbance in the Bahamas. http://1.usa.gov/9NzClK As I discussed in the Premium Videos this afternoon, this disturbance should interact with the upper low to produce VERY heavy rain on Monday morning for the northern Mid Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Parents are up to 1.92" in the four-inch CoCoRaHS gauge, 1.71" in the Davis Vantage Pro tipping bucket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Steve D. mentions this is in his FB post today, anybody have any thoughts on this? I am becoming very concerned with this disturbance in the Bahamas. http://1.usa.gov/9NzClK As I discussed in the Premium Videos this afternoon, this disturbance should interact with the upper low to produce VERY heavy rain on Monday morning for the northern Mid Atlantic. That would not be a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 2.3 inches of rain so far. Little Lehigh jumping out its banks. Spring Creek Rd will be under water soon. Need the break but another two inches will raise the ground water table into the basements again. I just do not see how the corn and or soybean crop will make it without having mold problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 I agree. A light to moderate rain, heavy at times. 1.57 today, max rate 3.20 in/hr. DP of 70 makes it feel toasty,but wet outside. Looks like we will get a break soon. Looks like total today may be 1.81" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 1.33" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PAPPG Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 ... I did say heavy at times... A big jump in precip, now at 2.22". Talk about a wet month, or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 2.3 inches of rain so far. Little Lehigh jumping out its banks. Spring Creek Rd will be under water soon. Need the break but another two inches will raise the ground water table into the basements again. I just do not see how the corn and or soybean crop will make it without having mold problems. There won't be another 2 inches, at least not tonight into tomorrow. And if our next shot at heavy rain isn't until Monday morning or so, we should have some time to dry out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Steve D. mentions this is in his FB post today, anybody have any thoughts on this? I am becoming very concerned with this disturbance in the Bahamas. http://1.usa.gov/9NzClK As I discussed in the Premium Videos this afternoon, this disturbance should interact with the upper low to produce VERY heavy rain on Monday morning for the northern Mid Atlantic. Should be very interesting to watch Models never really had a consistence run to run handle on this event. On the now-casting side of things Your heavy rain fall dynamics like forcing and potential precip placement down in the south are setting up more west again. to early to say weather or not it will end up more west but sure will need to be monitored closely. anyone remember Lee? we had a band the following morning the models did not even have. I always pin point late August through October as the time of year models perform the worst do to the changing of seasons summer battling against fall patterns. Add an upper level low and you got recipe for model confusion. Lets hope it stays east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 We received 1.54 inches of rain here in Northeast Philadelphia today slightly less then I expected here but after all the rain we have seen I will welcome that as last few events were over performers. The Pennypack and Frankford creeks did reach flood stage today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 1.44"'; still getting dumped on pretty good in central MontCo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Total rain today at 1.85" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Latest data along with what models have so far come in tonight suggest that this next disturbance shifts west. given the performance of this ULL I figured it seamed proper that we nowcast this in case it becomes a bigger concern then earlier Forecasted. Any thoughts on the potential outcome as the models come in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Latest NAM just in shifted pretty far west and stronger for Saturday night through Sunday dumping 2-3 inches for Delaware and new jersey with Isolated 4 inch amounts. if this continues future runs and on other models I would assume flood watches get extended. Still a low confidence in this but must be monitored closely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rib Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 That is a tropical system on the NAM. It keeps trying to develop them but none have actually occured yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 That is a tropical system on the NAM. It keeps trying to develop them but none have actually occured yet. Yes it is more the likely we will not see a tropical system but the interaction between the Bahamas Disturbance/ moisture and ULL will be key to watch as thing reload down south tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Is that some sort of boundary on KDIX from Hunterdon County down into CC Philly? Or is it actually a thin lingering band of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Yes it is more the likely we will not see a tropical system but the interaction between the Bahamas Disturbance/ moisture and ULL will be key to watch as thing reload down south tomorrow. The GFS through 72 has somewhat the same thing as the NAM, but doesn't get the 3-4 inch rains above Cape May County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormspotterlive Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 GFS is on board with the nam for positioning not the rain fall amounts. Continuing to become more interested in Sunday. Current water vapor is more Northerly now and would strongly support what the 00z runs have put out. Of course it appears that intensity will not be worked out till this actually develops if it were to happen. As for the departure of the Upper Level Low it has a strong to severe line of storms with a front coming through Tuesday. I would suspect Hail and wind could be a good enough threat for a legit slight risk day central pa on east to the New jersey turnpike. Still a lot of time to work out freezing levels dynamics and instability but looking pretty solid to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RkTec Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Ended up with 2.79" of rain on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted September 24, 2011 Author Share Posted September 24, 2011 finished with 1.63 here in dhizzle so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Total for the event starting with the Thursday morning rain we had up here was 4.15" as another 4/10 fell last night after I got home from work and emptied the gauge. I really wish I had a total just for yesterday's (Friday's) rainfall, but as I said earlier I forgot to empty the gauge Thursday night because I got home from work very late and just didn't think about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Steve D. mentions this is in his FB post today, anybody have any thoughts on this? I am becoming very concerned with this disturbance in the Bahamas. http://1.usa.gov/9NzClK As I discussed in the Premium Videos this afternoon, this disturbance should interact with the upper low to produce VERY heavy rain on Monday morning for the northern Mid Atlantic. Timing is more like Sunday PM and Sunday night...and this is something that's been modeled off/on for a few days at varying intensity...to be honest, this isn't something that's just popped up...the models were sniffing this thing out 3 or 4 days ago (GFS first, IIRC). For hoots/hollers, the 6z GFS has very little rain through Monday AM...it shows it's going to be a touch/go rain event and that the models are terribly inconsistent this close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 1.74 yesterday, 9.63 MTD, 24.15 since August 1st here in east central Northampton County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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