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Prolonged rain potential, Sept 23-28th


Baroclinic Zone

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Which is NBD..Just like each and everyone of them has been saying. This is a meh event..Sorry

What is wrong with a flash flood watch?

There is potential for an inch or two of rain in a short time span on Fri night/Saturday. It doesn't have to be a 7 inch tropical storm to create flood problems.

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That would be an overunning event with a snow/sleet/rain depending on location, Typically that would pump in warmer air from the south, So lattitude would play a large roll

Okay, Thanks. I live i near the NH border.. so possbly decent snow in the winter in this set up. and a mix down in like CT.

I like a lot of wind with storms though.

Saturday looks wet. That ruins my plans for a cookout at the Quabbin. If it is going to be cloudy, I rather it is precipitating the whole period of time.

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This is very much like a Spring pattern imo. Even in the fall, especially this time of year, it's a little unusual I think. We do get them, but the whole pattern looks Spring-like.

Its tough to compare this pattern to a winter pattern since the polar jet is a lot further south in winter. But if you tried to be verbatim, then this pattern would suck azz in winter. But in reality in the colder/suppressed winter pattern, this would probably be an overrunning event for us with probably a lot sleet/ice in there.

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Its tough to compare this pattern to a winter pattern since the polar jet is a lot further south in winter. But if you tried to be verbatim, then this pattern would suck azz in winter. But in reality in the colder/suppressed winter pattern, this would probably be an overrunning event for us with probably a lot sleet/ice in there.

Oh yeah defintely, but if you just look at 500mb...I would have thought Spring if I didn't know any better. Look how warm it is to the north and south of that ULL. +16 at 850 over Hudson Bay..lol.

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This is very much like a Spring pattern imo. Even in the fall, especially this time of year, it's a little unusual I think. We do get them, but the whole pattern looks Spring-like.

Oh, Then I was not off base too much.. I'm still learning. It looks very blocked up like in the spring-time. I also thought that in this pattern you'd get a lot of WAA and mixing. However, as ORH_wxman pointed out, the polar jet would most likely be further south and more low level cold air trapped.

At this time of year I rather have frosty nights and nice deep blue skies of crisp air in the day.. like 80's and 30's at night. This ruins my cookout at the Quabbin on saturday.

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I'm a Yankees fan.. :( But back on topic, I'd think there could be some rain still up your way if the ECM/NAM are correct.

I'm a Red Sox fan until death. Sorry. I hope your team loses on saturday.

Not sure how to get extended rainfall data ( in the days) off those models yet.. But I'm trying to learn. If I watch more posts here, I'll probably catch on sooner or later. There is a lot of great info. on here.

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Down to 56 here now. This isn't bad at all. It has dropped 5 degrees in the last few hours.

I'm a Red Sox fan until death. Sorry. I hope your team loses on saturday.

Not sure how to get extended rainfall data ( in the days) off those models yet.. But I'm trying to learn. If I watch more posts here, I'll probably catch on sooner or later. There is a lot of great info. on here.

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