Damage In Tolland Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Hydro speaking, long duration fetch on New Moon tides, some rivers are running 2-300 % above median flow.Hope nothing rogue develops. Sultan of Sandbags all over this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Sultan of Sandbags all over this I love that name...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Sultan of Sandbags all over this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 The GFS does make sense to keep the heavy rain along the front from the Delmarva through western mass on Friday. That's if it is right. Rogue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 I love that name...lol. Just picture him standing by the river..dressed in a wizard outfit..piles of freshly bulldozed sand surround him..crates full of empty sandbags being unloaded off trucks with forklifts....Shovels of all different shapes and sizes at the ready..ropes to tie off the sandbags. It's time to save the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Rogue? Probably just going to be a blob of moisture, but a nice blob of PWAT..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Probably just going to be a blob of moisture, but a nice blob of PWAT..lol. Euro and GFS in synch now http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=ccs&module=pages§ion=pages&folder=/models&id=6Can say I have seen this setup before and we are usually flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Euro and GFS in synch now http://www.americanw...er=/models&id=6 Can say I have seen this setup before and we are usually flooding. Yeah, the closed low over the Midwest with a blocking high over the Canadian Maritimes is a classic set-up for heavy rains on the East Coast. Also, the duration of the event is particularly ominous. NYC could break the 1983 precipitation record if this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Lots of heavy rain potential here. Not all of these result in something big but some can be prolific flooders. Synoptic signals are there need to see how the mesoscale features evolve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted September 20, 2011 Share Posted September 20, 2011 Lots of heavy rain potential here. Not all of these result in something big but some can be prolific flooders. Synoptic signals are there need to see how the mesoscale features evolve. How are rivers running in NE still? I looked at the Euro... it drops a lot of precip but its over such a long period of time that would it even matter? It seems we get an initial wave 60-72 hours out, and then another wave 162 hours out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 How are rivers running in NE still? I looked at the Euro... it drops a lot of precip but its over such a long period of time that would it even matter? It seems we get an initial wave 60-72 hours out, and then another wave 162 hours out... 2-500 %above median flow, main stems are high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Think I'd rather have the heavy precip events in January. I dunno, ymmv. Most definitly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 The GFS does make sense to keep the heavy rain along the front from the Delmarva through western mass on Friday. That's if it is right. An epic rain event would be more damaging than normal because so much erosion and damage has already occurred out here. River and stream banks are eroded and a lot of retaining walls are compromised. Roads in VT are still a mess and I was talking to a woman today who works for the state dpw and she said Rt 2 W of Savoy is gone in places and may take years to repair! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 An epic rain event would be more damaging than normal because so much erosion and damage has already occurred out here. River and stream banks are eroded and a lot of retaining walls are compromised. Roads in VT are still a mess and I was talking to a woman today who works for the state dpw and she said Rt 2 W of Savoy is gone in places and may take years to repair! Check it out http://littlebangtheory.wordpress.com/tag/charlemont/2011/08/30/the-damage-done/#entry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 I just read the boxing day storm model thread from 12/24/11... What a day that was for models. Probably the best time I have had following weather during that time period. Hopefully we get something like that this year again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 I am really surprised you WMAss guys have not filled us in on the massive damage up there West of Berkshire East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Check it out http://littlebangthe...age-done/#entry Wow! Thanks for the link Ginx. I had not seen some of that. Amazing really. Needless to say we've seen enough water out this way. I've been chomping at the bit to get out to some of the more remote locations. I've got baby duties the days I don't work and his head is still just a bit too bobbley for me to strap him on for rugged hikes. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 well, my friend is getting married on Saturday at 4pm- Marlboro, VT Colonel Williams Inn...the ceremony was originally planned to be outdoors...but i guess there is 0-chance of that happening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Not to be off topic but can someone please remind me of the dates for the flooding event of '06. would like to go back and look at the setup for the event. tyia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 well, my friend is getting married on Saturday at 4pm- Marlboro, VT Colonel Williams Inn...the ceremony was originally planned to be outdoors...but i guess there is 0-chance of that happening... Nah, there is still an ok chance you'll get to be outside for that. Beautiful area, enjoy no matter what the weather. Stop in Brattleboro, great little town. You'll probably even drive through Greenfield on your way? Probably not downtown though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Nah, there is still an ok chance you'll get to be outside for that. Beautiful area, enjoy no matter what the weather. Stop in Brattleboro, great little town. You'll probably even drive through Greenfield on your way? Probably not downtown though. i should leave early and stop in and meet one of the newest members of our wxweenie family! hope you are sleeping! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Not to be off topic but can someone please remind me of the dates for the flooding event of '06. would like to go back and look at the setup for the event. tyia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_England_Flood_of_May_2006 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 NAM puts us right in the cleavage of the low and the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 I'm sorry ^^^^^^^ but............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 i wonder is any of the moisture from ophelia will get dragged in early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Still looks like a dam wet period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 Overall still looks meh for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 21, 2011 Author Share Posted September 21, 2011 Overall still looks meh for most You're trying too hard. 3-4"+ through next Thur per 00z Goofus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 will have to watch that wave riding north later friday/saturday. sub-tropical connection there...could produce some really heavy rains for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted September 21, 2011 Share Posted September 21, 2011 will have to watch that wave riding north later friday/saturday. sub-tropical connection there...could produce some really heavy rains for a time. Agree totally with this. In addition the operational models esp. the GFS have had a too west of a bias on the axis of heaviest rain over the past 2-3 weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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