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Prolonged rain potential, Sept 23-28th


Baroclinic Zone

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I'll grade myself a C on this one. Started off pretty promising with many of us receiving 1-3" of rain last week. Still could be some more rains tomorrow into Wed but they look more sporadic in nature, spot 1 maybe 2" the further SW you go. The ULL ended up retrograding to far W to give us the huge rain totals.

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I'll grade myself a C on this one. Started off pretty promising with many of us receiving 1-3" of rain last week. Still could be some more rains tomorrow into Wed but they look more sporadic in nature, spot 1 maybe 2" the further SW you go. The ULL ended up retrograding to far W to give us the huge rain totals.

Yea , the Bermuda High was too far SE also, allowing HP to build in, the Euro nailed this UL setup.

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This was also modeled fairly well too. While the setup had some ingredients, I think we spoke about a few missing links and the model QPF was insistent on remaining fractured. Remember during the PA floods, that the GFS kept hitting the area with extreme QPF values. That's usually a red flag right there.

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This was also modeled fairly well too. While the setup had some ingredients, I think we spoke about a few missing links and the model QPF was insistent on remaining fractured. Remember during the PA floods, that the GFS kept hitting the area with extreme QPF values. That's usually a red flag right there.

the euro showed the closed low much further south for every run until wednesday

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