ORH_wxman Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 We could take a layer avg of all vertical levels between 500-850mb. You might get pretty diffuse values if you took a slice that large. What about 600-800mb? I'm not 100% sure on the first claim..it might work with 850-500, but eventually you get values that are kind of low the larger the slice. Might be a trial and error type thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 You might get pretty diffuse values if you took a slice that large. What about 600-800mb? I'm not 100% sure on the first claim..it might work with 850-500, but eventually you get values that are kind of low the larger the slice. Might be a trial and error type thing. When I asked Scott he told me his maps are an H5-85 mean. I originally thought they were just H7 and the RH was the layer mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 When I asked Scott he told me his maps are an H5-85 mean. I originally thought they were just H7 and the RH was the layer mean. If that's what he was using, then its probably good. The maps were useful in that capacity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 You're the only person that cares. Keep your unwanted opinions to yourself or stop posting for awhile. Whiner LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 The dailies, for the first day of Autumn 2011 September,. 23rd BDR +9 max +4 min+14 BOS +8 max+3 min+11 BDL +9 max 0 min+17 PVD +9 max +1 min+16 ORH +12 max +5 min+17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 LOL! Haven't really been on the board since Tuesday but looks like you've picked up quite the "fan club." One mod and one met impersonating you in OT, maybe more that I haven't seen. Congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Has anyone tried the gansset october fest tall boys in the orange can yet? Just picked some up they looked good. cloudy humid swampy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 The dailies, for the first day of Autumn 2011 September,. 23rd BDR +9 max +4 min+14 BOS +8 max+3 min+11 BDL +9 max 0 min+17 PVD +9 max +1 min+16 ORH +12 max +5 min+17 Monthlies including today... BDR +2.0 BDL +1.4 BOS +0.4 PVD +0.4 ORH +1.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Hard to get the monthlies to budge much despite the large daily departures Warm and wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Haven't really been on the board since Tuesday but looks like you've picked up quite the "fan club." One mod and one met impersonating you in OT, maybe more that I haven't seen. Congrats! I'm lobbying hard for most beloved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 23, 2011 Share Posted September 23, 2011 Monthlies including today... BDR +2.0 BDL +1.4 BOS +0.4 PVD +0.4 ORH +1.0 Headed for an ugly much much above normal month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 67/66 light to moderate rain persists. Sunday looks like it could be a bit oppressive for late Sept. My p/c from Box has a high of 80 with showers. Drippy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 67/66 light to moderate rain persists. Sunday looks like it could be a bit oppressive for late Sept. My p/c from Box has a high of 80 with showers. Drippy. Why did I agree to do this godforsaken campout Sat night? Drip Drip Drip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Cool shot on the 00z Euro is still there for early Oct. Not as impressive on the 00z GFS but it has it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Cool shot on the 00z Euro is still there for early Oct. Not as impressive on the 00z GFS but it has it as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 72 and swampy breaks in the overcast With the sunny breaks today, should make a run at 80 which would make some spots close to +15 on the day with the ridiculous overnight departures. Off to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 20 mile run this morning. Def a struggle the last 4 or 5 miles but I ripped thru it. Did it in 3:03 Humidity was just brutal. I lost 7 pounds and that was with that taking the running gels and water along the way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Pretty good agreement now with the GFS/GEFS/EC/EC ens for another nice cold shot next weekend. Until then, enjoy the boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 This isn't just boring. It's disgusting. Dews in the mid to upper 60's in late September is ridiculous. A few record high mins might be threatened tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 I'm pouring beers for the People's Pint at a brewers fest later. Can't wait to see the before and after of the patrons. I'm guessing sweaty, disheveled messes after a few hours of sampling beers in this dripping humidity. Maybe I'll bring the camera... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 20 mile run this morning. Def a struggle the last 4 or 5 miles but I ripped thru it. Did it in 3:03 Humidity was just brutal. I lost 7 pounds and that was with that taking the running gels and water along the way Congrats. My run this morning was 8 miles in 1:03. Not quite as far as you. I remember when you were posting about your 3-4 mile runs and your long ones were 6 or 7. Another day, same disgusting air mass. 75/70 and its almost October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 that long range euro sure looks chilly next weekend. wonder if i would need a "sweater" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Tracking a TC genesis over the Bahamas. Hi res satellite loops show cyclonic motion occurring inside a general region of elongated ow pressure, situated near 28.5N/78W. This region of vorticity has been in the NAM models for awhile as a small entity; it will be interesting to monitor this over the next 24-36 hours. Currently....deep layer steering field argues for interaction with land in the upper MA or NE regions, but most guidance types of non-tropical variety are not indicating much. Still, these things can be fickle and develop - or not - with limited warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Pretty good agreement now with the GFS/GEFS/EC/EC ens for another nice cold shot next weekend. Until then, enjoy the boring. 12z Euro is very cold next weekend. It actually has a secondary cold shot next week after that. Should be interesting to see. October could start off very cold, but the overall longwave pattern supports an average regime in the longer term surrounding that cold period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 77 mostly cloudy Go Clemson! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 12z Euro is very cold next weekend. It actually has a secondary cold shot next week after that. Should be interesting to see. October could start off very cold, but the overall longwave pattern supports an average regime in the longer term surrounding that cold period. True the PNA domain...the NAO is ...teetering on finding its way more negative than perhaps currently depicted in operational runs, though. A lot of ensemble members are steeper. Frankly, I'm spooked a little by this repetitive high amplitude PNAP, too - I still think it could snow in October this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Tracking a TC genesis over the Bahamas. Hi res satellite loops show cyclonic motion occurring inside a general region of elongated ow pressure, situated near 28.5N/78W. This region of vorticity has been in the NAM models for awhile as a small entity; it will be interesting to monitor this over the next 24-36 hours. Currently....deep layer steering field argues for interaction with land in the upper MA or NE regions, but most guidance types of non-tropical variety are not indicating much. Still, these things can be fickle and develop - or not - with limited warning. There's definitely a low level swirl on the visible satellite with some convection north and south... but it still seems to be a broad trough of low pressure with a center not really closed off yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Tracking a TC genesis over the Bahamas. Hi res satellite loops show cyclonic motion occurring inside a general region of elongated ow pressure, situated near 28.5N/78W. This region of vorticity has been in the NAM models for awhile as a small entity; it will be interesting to monitor this over the next 24-36 hours. Currently....deep layer steering field argues for interaction with land in the upper MA or NE regions, but most guidance types of non-tropical variety are not indicating much. Still, these things can be fickle and develop - or not - with limited warning. Good post Tip. I could see a TS Henri (1985) type of development here... I'd say the 30% prob from NHC is about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 Euro ensembles are pretty bullish on the cold shot next weekend. Its looking more and more likely as we get closer. Could be a pretty chilly first week of October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 24, 2011 Share Posted September 24, 2011 24 September 2011 The insanity continues BDR +12 +16 +7 BOS +11 +11 +10 **80 BDL +15 + 21 +7 PVD +13 +17 +9 **80 ORH +14 +17 +9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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