Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,588
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

Ticking Down the Days


moneypitmike

Recommended Posts

As an after thought to that... boy would the D5'ish time period by way of the Euro/UKMET be a nice time to have a TC rattling around the Bahamas! Subtropical ridge in the Atlantic fights back against this "somewhat" unseasonable romp into autumn, and bulges west; meanwhile, the lower troposphere features an anticyclone (current) then migrating E and situating the entire MA/NE in a return deep layer SSE flow. That's the kind of air mass that gives you the old Bermuda blue heavens, with the bright white tropical towers and 2 pixel showers.

Alas, I have never seen a TC time with that sort of conveyor.. .It's always a scenario of tooth and nail to get one to thread the needle on some mid latitude trough timing. Why that is may be coincidental or perhaps deeper, who knows, but if a TC were ever nearing the outer Bahamas with that sort of set up it would be a rail service to BTV via LI with ease!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 1.8k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

It was interesting that so many calm overnight wind measures struggled to get below 40F ... There were a few 37's, such as Norwood and Bedford...probably Pittsfield I would imagine, but most places were between 40 and 45 - even ORH.

Not much of a frost threat there, but a few in-between-sites, such as Barre did dip to 35, so there must have been some light frost here and there. Good call to NWS; I was thinking they should spread the frost advisory a bit more liberally around given to the fact that the threat was a solid 2 week early and plenty of gardening/out door interests will be trying to squeeze what they can out of that time. But I think in the end the subtle tendency in the Euro/NAM cluster to lower the magnitude of the chill seemed to work out.

Not much more than a cool, autumnal feel to the night, and though we may only make 64 for high, with calm winds and sun still slightly on the south side of the equinox, it's really pretty darn spectacular out there. Great day for tennis, disk golf, or just going for nice 5 mile run - which I intend to do later on.

Milder weather may not be through - of course. The 00z Euro was interesting with larger domain recovery east of the MV longitudes, with relatively warm 850s taking over gradually by D4 clear to northern NE. Nice days up to then, too.

Pittsfield bottomed out at 36, many places on the East slope fell to AOB the freezing mark. Even hilltops like Peru at 1900' dropped to 34. I had frost as did Hubbdave closer to you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

36 was it here. I know I awoke to a lot of cirrus so maybe that mucked it up. I woke up too late to tell you if there was any patchy ground frost...probably not quite.

Pittsfield bottomed out at 36, many places on the East slope fell to AOB the freezing mark. Even hilltops like Peru at 1900' dropped to 34. I had frost as did Hubbdave closer to you.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We probably could have bottomed out a few more degrees, but that pesky cirrus earlier didn't allow it to happen.

Yes, I was wondering about that too, at sunset last night whether that film would be an issue. Also, I think the still pervasive and green vegetation helps off-set a purer radiative cooling scenarios - though admittedly that is my own hypothesis. The thing is, there is a ton of evapotran, as well as straight up soil moisture due to all this positive rain anomaly over the past few weeks, and that may have infused a lot of DP back into the air mass as it came ESE out of the upper MW, across the still warm GL, and down through the forested regions of the area. I like a good yellow and red tree tops with falling leaves to get decent frost on the pumpkin. This air mass started looking unequal to the task over the last day and a half of modeling and seeing most NWS official sites be 37 at best, most 43'ish, isn't really cutting it for me. Yes yes, you are always going to get valid exceptions in between the dominant signal, so those slope readings out there are entirely understandable.

If this air mass had come stright SSE like a Montreal Express, then the wind cut calm, different story perhaps...?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We probably could have bottomed out a few more degrees, but that pesky cirrus earlier didn't allow it to happen.

Got up at 3:30am for a while and it was clear so that put us into the money. Also started the evening clear as a bell with calm winds. I've been outside all morning and the skeeters are gone.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yes, I was wondering about that too, at sunset last night whether that film would be an issue. Also, I think the still pervasive and green vegetation helps off-set a purer radiative cooling scenarios - though admittedly that is my own hypothesis. The thing is, there is a ton of evapotran, as well as straight up soil moisture due to all this positive rain anomaly over the past few weeks, and that may have infused a lot of DP back into the air mass as it came ESE out of the upper MW, across the still warm GL, and down through the forested regions of the area. I like a good yellow and red tree tops with falling leaves to get decent frost on the pumpkin. This air mass started looking unequal to the task over the last day and a half of modeling and seeing most NWS official sites be 37 at best, most 43'ish, isn't really cutting it for me. Yes yes, you are always going to get valid exceptions in between the dominant signal, so those slope readings out there are entirely understandable.

If this air mass had come stright SSE like a Montreal Express, then the wind cut calm, different story perhaps...?

I think the dews were modeled correctly on MOS to within a degree or so, but take OWD for example. They were above MAV and MET for the low by 2-4 degrees. There could be something to your hypothesis though. It does make sense.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

lol... I def. don't give a shyte... with the witty banter and expert analysis (Wiz the Wedding Planner, Scooter, the Weenie), how could someone not love us?

They have obvious deficiencies that make them bitter. We're the smarter, better looking, better adjusted older sibling. They seethe with contempt for this reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

56/38 (holding in the low 50's across the high terrain), sunny skies and crisp Autumn air. Just had a delicious apple right off the tree. Nothing finer than Autumn in New England.

Just about the same here... we'll probably max around 60-63F, then back down into the 30s tonight. I love these 30F diurnal swings in the mountain valleys.

First frost/freeze with a low of 32F (31.8F)... beautiful white fields this morning with frost glistening in the morning sunlight. Growing season is ovah.

High terrain still holding in the upper 30s at the top of the lifts.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just about the same here... we'll probably max around 60-63F, then back down into the 30s tonight. I love these 30F diurnal swings in the mountain valleys.

First frost/freeze with a low of 32F (31.8F)... beautiful white fields this morning with frost glistening in the morning sunlight. Growing season is ovah.

High terrain still holding in the upper 30s at the top of the lifts.

When is the 'blow out the mice' party?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

When is the 'blow out the mice' party?

November 1st is when we start snowmaking operations. Of course, we could make snow occasionally in October but its not worth the time, energy, and money to do it when opening day isn't until the weekend before Thanksgiving. Stowe doesn't do what some mountains will do such as fire up a few guns during that first cold night in October (Killington, Sunday River, Bretton Woods, Sugarloaf usually do). November 1st will be the day the system goes online here provided temps are cold enough.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...