HoarfrostHubb Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 FEW 55/31 NW@8mph Finally set up the weather station with the students from my school; they really enjoyed the short project. I will be reporting temperature and dewpoint as well as conditions from the campus, though I don't have an anemometer so I am using AFN for my wind speed. In any case, we should get into the mid 30s tonight with the low dewpoints and clear skies, leading to some frost here at 1300' elevation on the Hampshire Country School campus. Very crisp evening, and turns out we'll be having the Friday night barbecue inside so that the kids stay a bit warmer. TGIF! We should get some great reports from you Zucker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Good luck boys , socked in down here for now 62 calm 47 here drop drop drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 47.8/34 at Hampshire Country School. Very chilly out for mid September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 We should get some great reports from you Zucker I don't think zucker realizes what he's about to witness. We might get some naked posts if we see a Feb 2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 We shall see. BOX has me forecasted for 37F. I'll take the under. 35F will be my guess. I'd take 32-33 if it were clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 51/37, a high of 57 (52 @ 2k), clear sky overhead, winds have gone slack. You're going to go low tonight if you are clear and calm already. Had a high of 53F at 800ft in the village...high of 37F at Mansfield's 3,950ft station. Near perfect lapse rates. We still have like 75% cloud cover though thanks to NW flow upslope clouds. Upslope brought periodic sprinkles throughout the day today down here, with some pellets and graupel reported at the top of the mountain. I really need these clouds to dissipate if we are going to really drop tonight. In another 6 weeks it would've been off and on flurries all day down here in town. I love that NW flow currier and ives snow that just sifts down through the village all day long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Man if it were to stay crystal clear it would plummet in SNE. Clouds evaporated as the sun set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 I'd take 32-33 if it were clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 We should get some great reports from you Zucker This winter is going to be so awesome as long as we don't get a disaster Niña like 98-99 or 88-89. Let's just hope that the Pacific holds out with a decent Aleutian ridge like last year and not one of those monstrous GoA lows. The campus is in a sweet spot with the lower terrain to the east and upsloping into the Monadnocks, as well as being a bit higher than some of the surrounding areas. I think Stony Top Mountain, the highest point on our grounds, is around 1800'....most of the classrooms and dorms are around 1250-1300'. I don't think zucker realizes what he's about to witness. We might get some naked posts if we see a Feb 2001 I'm a teacher, they have my fingerprints. No naked posts. You're going to go low tonight if you are clear and calm already. I think I could hit 32F tonight. Completely clear here and already 47F. The campus radiates incredibly well, much better than AFN I've noticed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 This winter is going to be so awesome as long as we don't get a disaster Niña like 98-99 or 88-89. Let's just hope that the Pacific holds out with a decent Aleutian ridge like last year and not one of those monstrous GoA lows. The campus is in a sweet spot with the lower terrain to the east and upsloping into the Monadnocks, as well as being a bit higher than some of the surrounding areas. I think Stony Top Mountain, the highest point on our grounds, is around 1800'....most of the classrooms and dorms are around 1250-1300'. I'm a teacher, they have my fingerprints. No naked posts. I think I could hit 32F tonight. Completely clear here and already 47F. The campus radiates incredibly well, much better than AFN I've noticed. Are you kidding me? Coming from Dobbs Ferry to Rindge? You'll be nude from 12/1-3/15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 47.8/34 at Hampshire Country School. Very chilly out for mid September. If you're from Westchester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Are you kidding me? Coming from Dobbs Ferry to Rindge? You'll be nude from 12/1-3/15. Well, I'll be home for XMAS break from 12/15-1/5, and then for spring break from 3/1-3/15, so I'm going to miss some of the action. We just have to hope the -NAO overpowers the stronger Niña and deals us another Boxing Day in the NYC metro. I could see all of the East being cold in December with a strong Aleutian ridge before we start to warm up and get into a more gradient pattern. I'm definitely happy we have some decent vacations though; the first week of teaching was absolutely exhausting. You've got highly medicated kids cursing you out, threatening to jump out the window if they don't like the quiz, waving forks in the air, etc. You definitely need some time away from this place, although overall I feel I've made an effective start given the quality of the students; most of them respect me and have learned quite a bit of Spanish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 If you're from Westchester. This wx rocks. I wish the downhill slide would continue, but we'll have another bout of warmer wx this week, before Wiz's faux severe threat arrives with another trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Well, I'll be home for XMAS break from 12/15-1/5, and then for spring break from 3/1-3/15, so I'm going to miss some of the action. We just have to hope the -NAO overpowers the stronger Niña and deals us another Boxing Day in the NYC metro. I could see all of the East being cold in December with a strong Aleutian ridge before we start to warm up and get into a more gradient pattern. I'm definitely happy we have some decent vacations though; the first week of teaching was absolutely exhausting. You've got highly medicated kids cursing you out, threatening to jump out the window if they don't like the quiz, waving forks in the air, etc. You definitely need some time away from this place, although overall I feel I've made an effective start given the quality of the students; most of them respect me and have learned quite a bit of Spanish. Sounds like a SNE gtg. Yeah I think December and January might do pretty well around these parts. I'm afraid of the snap back to Nina in February, but perhaps it's not as bad as previous winters have been. Less concern up your way. It's all speculation at this stage of the game anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 WOW...I did NOT know this happened... Bretton woods snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 This wx rocks. I wish the downhill slide would continue, but we'll have another bout of warmer wx this week, before Wiz's faux severe threat arrives with another trough. 18z GFS was basically a torch with a bunch of warm nights ahead of a stalled frontal boundary, quite a departure from previous runs of the GFS that wanted to bring the cold high down from the Midwest/High Plains. 850s get up to 12C or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Well, I'll be home for XMAS break from 12/15-1/5, and then for spring break from 3/1-3/15, so I'm going to miss some of the action. We just have to hope the -NAO overpowers the stronger Niña and deals us another Boxing Day in the NYC metro. I could see all of the East being cold in December with a strong Aleutian ridge before we start to warm up and get into a more gradient pattern. I'm definitely happy we have some decent vacations though; the first week of teaching was absolutely exhausting. You've got highly medicated kids cursing you out, threatening to jump out the window if they don't like the quiz, waving forks in the air, etc. You definitely need some time away from this place, although overall I feel I've made an effective start given the quality of the students; most of them respect me and have learned quite a bit of Spanish. Heavy heavy drinking here tonight (maybe 2 Sam's Octoberfests). Long week. If i get to 35* I would be psyched. 37.4F this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 18z GFS was basically a torch with a bunch of warm nights ahead of a stalled frontal boundary, quite a departure from previous runs of the GFS that wanted to bring the cold high down from the Midwest/High Plains. 850s get up to 12C or so... EC ensembles try to bring the PNA up and also hint at some -NAO ridging into Greenland...albeit weakly. This may be the reason why the ensembles have been trying to drill another cool shot in here, except for a few op runs. I wonder if the WPAC tropics have anything to say about the PNA going up. In any case, I could see another cool shot at the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Heavy heavy drinking here tonight (maybe 2 Sam's Octoberfests). Long week. If i get to 35* I would be psyched. 37.4F this morning Yeah I think I am going to head out to get a cold one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 You're going to go low tonight if you are clear and calm already. Had a high of 53F at 800ft in the village...high of 37F at Mansfield's 3,950ft station. Near perfect lapse rates. We still have like 75% cloud cover though thanks to NW flow upslope clouds. Upslope brought periodic sprinkles throughout the day today down here, with some pellets and graupel reported at the top of the mountain. I really need these clouds to dissipate if we are going to really drop tonight. In another 6 weeks it would've been off and on flurries all day down here in town. I love that NW flow currier and ives snow that just sifts down through the village all day long. 45/40, Hey scott, pretty steady drop in progress, just walked into the yard and it is clear and calm. Typical conditions for the first frost of the season. I'm just pissed because I picked the 16th and I don't think it happens by midnight.lol I was thinking the same thing at 2k today. It would have been one of those days that just spits ambiance snow all day. Glad to here there was graupel reported. Ullr grows restless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 WOW...I did NOT know this happened... Bretton woods snow Nice! Still a month or 2 until that happens here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 45/40, Hey scott, pretty steady drop in progress, just walked into the yard and it is clear and calm. Typical conditions for the first frost of the season. I'm just pissed because I picked the 16th and I don't think it happens by midnight.lol I was thinking the same thing at 2k today. It would have been one of those days that just spits ambiance snow all day. Glad to here there was graupel reported. Ullr grows restless. Yeah you're in the clear for now. Drop away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 EC ensembles try to bring the PNA up and also hint at some -NAO ridging into Greenland...albeit weakly. This may be the reason why the ensembles have been trying to drill another cool shot in here, except for a few op runs. I wonder if the WPAC tropics have anything to say about the PNA going up. In any case, I could see another cool shot at the end of the month. Recurves FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Nice! Still a month or 2 until that happens here. Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Recurves FTW GFS has the similar set-up on the 18z OP with a big block developing in the long-range, but it's pretty mild ahead of that stalled front; it takes a while for the NAO's impact to be felt. I would imagine we'd see several nights of significant positive departures before we finally cooled down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 This wx rocks. I wish the downhill slide would continue, but we'll have another bout of warmer wx this week, before Wiz's faux severe threat arrives with another trough. It's stepping down exactly as it should. All systems are go for a hard Winter as far as I'm concerned. Bumper crop of wild apples= check Bumper crop of pine cones = check First frost mid September = check Squirrels on steroids = check early migration of various bird species = check bears very active= check All similar or even more pronounced than last year. Go big or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 If you're from Westchester. Nah, he's right. 47 or 48 at this time of day on this day of the year is well below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Yeah you're in the clear for now. Drop away. 44.7/40, can literally watch the temp dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 Nah, he's right. 47 or 48 at this time of day on this day of the year is well below normal. With an average first frost date of Sept 17th here this is hardly unusual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted September 16, 2011 Share Posted September 16, 2011 44.6F I'm getting a little afraid for my elephant ear. We only a need a little over 1F/hr the rest of the night for 32F. Please pray for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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