CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Man that was a lot of MEH........anafrontal rains were a no show, showered for maybe 5 minutes, if that. Temp is 71, hardly a breath of wind, I am sure the nw wind will kick up later tonight but the temperature drop down this way has been very slow, which is usually the case with a downsloping wind. Where is Ray, I know he loves this anafrontal crap East of the Hudson was never supposed to get those rains. Ryan and I were noting that type of rain because the s/w is very potent. Something you would see in the winter. And yes the temp drop won't occur quickly until near dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 99% chance I don't.. only shot is tonight I think both tonight and tomorrow night you will. Tomorrow night might be at 44, but I think you'll do it. Maybe 42 tonight. Tonight will probably be your best chance though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Board seems a little touch and go again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Nice stuff. 10F drop in 20min. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Nice stuff. 10F drop in 20min. Yeah there isn't too much lightning with these, but a lot of rain. Most lightning was with that cell off of Scituate and down by Taunton now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 15, 2011 Author Share Posted September 15, 2011 East of the Hudson was never supposed to get those rains. Ryan and I were noting that type of rain because the s/w is very potent. Something you would see in the winter. And yes the temp drop won't occur quickly until near dark. Dark can't come soon enough. I think both tonight and tomorrow night you will. Tomorrow night might be at 44, but I think you'll do it. Maybe 42 tonight. Tonight will probably be your best chance though. I'm surprised by that......I would think he'd be in low 40's at least two nights. Board seems a little touch and go again. I was going to ask about that. Good to know it's not my computer. Nice stuff. 10F drop in 20min. Nice. Your torch is done with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Yeah there isn't too much lightning with these, but a lot of rain. Most lightning was with that cell off of Scituate and down by Taunton now. That's the TAN ASOS. Obs are below 70F now. Torch is ova! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Well he could be low 40s each night, but I just meant that the highest chance may be tonight under strong CAA. He's on the hill so there is a chance he may not fall much tomorrow night when the lower spots radiate like mad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 I can't believe that. 19F on the 15th. Wow. Yeah that's very impressive! BTV has SLK area going down to low/mid 20s on Saturday night. Should be interesting to see how low that ASOS gets in those icebox valleys at 1,800ft surrounded by 4,000-5,000ft mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 That's the TAN ASOS. Obs are below 70F now. Torch is ova! The temp may rise a degree or two at TAN before the real cool air comes in by 6pm or so. OWD still 74. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Still 82F at PYM this hour while extreme NW MA near VT/NY border is down near 50-55F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 The temp may rise a degree or two at TAN before the real cool air comes in by 6pm or so. OWD still 74. TAN down to 68F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Anyone have that link to the SNE meso-temp map? I think its made by MilfordWx or something like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Anyone have that link to the SNE meso-temp map? I think its made by MilfordWx or something like that? http://www.pdfamily.com/weather/mesomap.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Nice coastal on the d10 euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 http://www.pdfamily....her/mesomap.htm Many thanks... building bookmarks back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 If we do get a decent frost tomorrow night it will be a full 2+ weeks ahead of schedule - interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 And you wonder why i raised such a stink about subforums Thank you! Hope to see more of this type of moderating in the up coming weeks and months! Not all of us have the time to sort through the sub forums to find these great threads. Plus, as you kind of stated many times these types of threads contain info relevant to all regions. Thanks for bringing them to our attention There are many subforum threads that are excellent, often missed by most. I even posted a topic on the main weather page asking for the Texas wildfire thread to be put up front, no go. Anyway, looking ahead, cool shots dominate with some brief warmups. Coastal season is about to begin, start counting the Noreasters. Its coming hard fast and quick this year. Just got through reading an excellent paper by the Brazil Met Society, interesting correlation between Southern Brazil winter weather and The Northern and NE US. They have been extremly wet and cold this year, stock up the wood boys and girls. part of the paper For some years I have been observing a similar, not identical, pattern of temperature of temperature from our winter to the United States winter, mainly the Chicago area and the Northeast in the United States. This is far from a theory, but just a humble idea I have about some kind of pattern that can a precursor of the winter behavior. It is not clear to me yet if the United States is the initial precursor or if our pattern here in Southern Brazil is the precursor to America. In 2007, we in Southern Brazil experienced a harsh winter. May was extremely cold, June had above average temperature further north in Southern Brazil and below average to the south, July was very cold and August was near average with colder to the southern and warmer to the northern regions. Looking to the calendar, May would correspond climatically in the northern hemisphere to November, June to December, July to January and August to February. Of course, the behavior of each month would not be translated automatically, but the most interesting thing to note is the pattern. The winter started earlier than normal and with fury. A major cold blast affected our region in May. In June, the cold air was much more confined to Argentina and Uruguay (more southerly latitudes), July was very cold and August had a mix of warmer days and very cold days. So, the pattern is a very cold and early start, than a warming trend to the north and the maintenance of the cool to the south, widespread cooling in July, still cool to the south in August and a behavior with warmer and colder days in March. It cooled dramatically, then warmed, cooled a lot again and then it lost a defined pattern with warmer and colder intervals. Another mark of the was the extreme cold in some cold blasts with rare events like the first snow in decades in Argentina in May and the first snow in Buenos Aires since 1918 in July. It was the coldest winter in Uruguay since 1964. Overall, our winter pattern was very similar to 1964, 1988, 1990, 1996, 1999 and 2000. Note that the majority of those years were influenced by La Niña. I am a not an expert on the United States climate, but I look patterns all over the world with great curiosity as we have just one atmosphere and a chaotic climatic system that is totally interconnected as a network of events and phenomena. What happens in another continent may hint what will take place in my hometown. It is the old idea of think globally, act locally. So, my expertise is local and regional climate in Southern Brazil, but I would like to offer my humble idea - based on the evaluation my team did – on what I believe can take place this incoming winter of 2008 in the United States Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Still 82F at PYM this hour while extreme NW MA near VT/NY border is down near 50-55F. You called it... 30 degree gradiant... Sweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 59.4 here now...high of 73 Welcome Autumn!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 15, 2011 Author Share Posted September 15, 2011 59.4 here now...high of 73 Welcome Autumn!!! Did you take that picture from an LL Bean catalog? 56 now at the Pit. Seems the temp drop might have begun, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Did you take that picture from an LL Bean catalog? 56 now at the Pit. Seems the temp drop might have begun, Our pumpkins were a 100% fail this season. Big plants, plenty of flowers, no fruit... Anyhoo, I am actually closing some of the downstairs windows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Our pumpkins were a 100% fail this season. Big plants, plenty of flowers, no fruit... Anyhoo, I am actually closing some of the downstairs windows. lack of bee's? I have heard it was a major problem this year in regards to pollenation. 68/57 What a fantastic 7 day stretch of weather upcoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 15, 2011 Author Share Posted September 15, 2011 Our pumpkins were a 100% fail this season. Big plants, plenty of flowers, no fruit... Anyhoo, I am actually closing some of the downstairs windows. We got two of a good jack-o-lantern size, and a few nice ornamental ones. But--next year I'm going for the 800lb, award-winning behemoth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 lack of bee's? I have heard it was a major problem this year in regards to pollenation. 68/57 What a fantastic 7 day stretch of weather upcoming Yup, and i bet high temps come in a few ticks above the p/c forecasts. I need to get my firewood dried out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted September 15, 2011 Author Share Posted September 15, 2011 Yup, and i bet high temps come in a few ticks above the p/c forecasts. I need to get my firewood dried out! I've always got my stash. Just need a reason to stoke it up. Not there yet, unfortunatley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Now 49.6 and dropping fast at my location with strong CAA. With drizzle and strong NW winds, it feels simply blissful. Welcome fall! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 49/48, drizzle, an early morning high of 64, NW wind busy this afternoon. Very nasty across the high terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Now 49.6 and dropping fast at my location with strong CAA. With drizzle and strong NW winds, it feels simply blissful. Welcome fall! lol, it's like we live in the same region. Wait.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 48 degrees here and BKN, few breaks of sun. This is normal for around November 10th at this time of day. Yeah its been falling all morning here... 52F now with rain continuing in the village at 800ft. Our station at Mountain Operations for the ski resort has slipped down to 49F at 1,500ft. Summit station at 4,000ft is down to 42F now as H85s continue to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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