Nomad Posted November 6, 2011 Share Posted November 6, 2011 Any other metro guys getting some sleet/graupel instead of rain? The road up the hill to my apt was pretty white when it was falling hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 6, 2011 Share Posted November 6, 2011 For the next event, 12z NAM is still somewhat impressive for QPF, particularly from COS or just south of there down to PUB and the adjacent E/SE plains. GFS not so much as it looks like crap and shears this out. Will be interesting to see what ECMWF entails. This might be a pretty decent event for areas along and south of the palmer divide. Looking pretty good right now for areas along the KS border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 6, 2011 Share Posted November 6, 2011 So the first storm completely busted but last night we got some and I don't know what caused it but we had enough snow to coat everything. Looks like it was about a half inch. I shot a really nice pic but with a 14mp camera and a limit of 1.95 megabytes its just not going to work on this site. Do I ever get more space? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted November 6, 2011 Share Posted November 6, 2011 So the first storm completely busted but last night we got some and I don't know what caused it but we had enough snow to coat everything. Looks like it was about a half inch. I shot a really nice pic but with a 14mp camera and a limit of 1.95 megabytes its just not going to work on this site. Do I ever get more space? Just convert it to a smaller image file...or upload it to something like img url then download it back to your pc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 6, 2011 Author Share Posted November 6, 2011 For the next event, 12z NAM is still somewhat impressive for QPF, particularly from COS or just south of there down to PUB and the adjacent E/SE plains. GFS not so much as it looks like crap and shears this out. Will be interesting to see what ECMWF entails. This might be a pretty decent event for areas along and south of the palmer divide. Looking pretty good right now for areas along the KS border. I am just reading this off the NWS web site. It says 1-3 inches for the metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 7, 2011 Share Posted November 7, 2011 If I were back in SNE, I'd say "Meh- out to sea"... but here, "sea" is the High Plains. Should be fun for them... glad I don't have to drive a truck on I-70 between Denver and Kansas City tonight. Maybe we'll get a little, or maybe I'll finally be able to finish raking leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 8, 2011 Share Posted November 8, 2011 Bust-o-rama. Sheared out nothing of a storm- just a few spots way south and east got much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted November 10, 2011 Share Posted November 10, 2011 Bust-o-rama. Sheared out nothing of a storm- just a few spots way south and east got much. I didn't get anything at all, not event a flake. The south end of Colorado Springs managed to get a dusting during the evening on Monday. I guess GFS wins. Already looking forward to tracking the next event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Guidance continues to prog a pretty impressive Bora wind ejecting out of the Rockies...it is not common to see that muich cold air spill out of the entire Rocky Mtn west into the high plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomad Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Winter Storm watch up for the mountains this weekend. 8-18 inches of snow. The ski resorts would be loving it if it was accompanied by gusts up to 80 mph above timberline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Winter Storm watch up for the mountains this weekend. 8-18 inches of snow. The ski resorts would be loving it if it was accompanied by gusts up to 80 mph above timberline. Perfect event for them. Some very dusty and dry snow based on thermals. Good ski snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWx Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 Looks like some decent rain on Saturday with a good chance of some minor snow accumulation. Although with that NNW flow I hope I don't get dry slotted again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted November 11, 2011 Share Posted November 11, 2011 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MST SATURDAY...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DENVER HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM MST SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE FRONT RANGE FOOTHILLS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. * WINDS...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 75 MPH POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN BOULDER AND WESTERN LARIMER COUNTIES WHERE A FEW GUSTS MAY REACH 100 MPH. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL ACROSS NORTH TO SOUTH HIGHWAYS AND ROADS WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT DUE TO STRONG AND GUSTY CROSS WINDS. AREAS SUSCEPTIBLE TO HIGH WINDS INCLUDE...HIGHWAY 93 BETWEEN GOLDEN AND BOULDER...HIGHWAY C-470 ALONG THE FOOTHILLS IN JEFFERSON COUNTY...U.S. HIGHWAY 36 BETWEEN BROOMFIELD AND ESTES PARK...U.S. HIGHWAY 287 FROM LAFAYETTE TO THE WYOMING BORDER...AS WELL AS THE CARTER LAKE AND HORSETOOTH RESERVOIR AREAS IN LARIMER COUNTY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 What to talk about? Higher elevations going to get pounded with blizzard conditions as the wave passes through later today. Foothills will see a good windstorm...maybe 80-90 MPH. Anyone living in the foothills have any obs? I see Mesa Lab gusted to over 70 earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomad Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 Just got back from skiing Winter Park this morning. Love how a 1 hour drive can get you from 28 with moderate snow (nice big flakes) to 62 and not a cloud in the sky and windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vandy Posted November 12, 2011 Share Posted November 12, 2011 We're getting consistent 30-40mph winds about 1 mile east of the Mesa Lab. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted November 13, 2011 Share Posted November 13, 2011 Insane windstorm at Monarch Pass! Winds sustained at 84 kt, gusts to 97 kt! That's 97 mph, gusts to 112. KMYP 130305Z AUTO 26068G94KT 3/4SM -TSSN OVC017 M05/M08 A2977 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE= KMYP 130325Z AUTO 27078G89KT 1 1/2SM -TSSN OVC015 M05/M08 A2974 RMK AO2 VIS 3/4V3 LTG DSNT SE= KMYP 130345Z AUTO 27074G97KT 3/4SM -TSSN BKN009 OVC013 M05/M08 A2974 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT SE AND S= KMYP 130405Z AUTO 27084G92KT 3/4SM -SN OVC013 M05/M08 A2972 RMK AO2 LTG DSNT S= KMYP 130425Z AUTO 27075G93KT 1 1/4SM -SN OVC011 M05/M07 A2977 RMK AO2 VIS 3/4V2 1/2= KMYP 130445Z AUTO 26074G95KT 1 3/4SM -SN OVC011 M05/M08 A2976 RMK AO2= KMYP 130505Z AUTO 26071G85KT 4SM -SN OVC011 M06/M08 A2980 RMK AO2= KMYP 130524Z AUTO 26067G82KT 7SM -SN OVC011 M06/M08 A2981 RMK AO2= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 14, 2011 Author Share Posted November 14, 2011 We got wind gusts in the 30's and 40's. PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 958 AM MST SUN NOV 13 2011 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S FRISCO 39.51N 106.10W 11/13/2011 M115 MPH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER 0200 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 SSW LOVELAND PASS 39.64N 105.89W 11/13/2011 M100 MPH SUMMIT CO TRAINED SPOTTER 1224 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 WNW ASPEN SPRINGS 39.84N 105.52W 11/13/2011 M87.00 MPH GILPIN CO MESONET 1030 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BOULDER 39.98N 105.27W 11/12/2011 M90.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET NCAR MESA LAB 1030 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 SSW BOULDER 39.99N 105.27W 11/12/2011 M90.00 MPH BOULDER CO MESONET NCAR MESA LAB 1027 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSE ASPEN SPRINGS 39.83N 105.48W 11/12/2011 M83.00 MPH GILPIN CO MESONET 1000 PM NON-TSTM WND GST LOVELAND PASS 39.67N 105.88W 11/12/2011 M84.00 MPH CLEAR CREEK CO TRAINED SPOTTER 0945 PM NON-TSTM WND GST KENOSHA PASS 39.41N 105.76W 11/12/2011 M101 MPH PARK CO DEPT OF HIGHWAYS 0930 PM NON-TSTM WND GST 6 NNW BERTHOUD PASS 39.88N 105.82W 11/12/2011 M109 MPH GRAND CO TRAINED SPOTTER 0929 PM NON-TSTM WND GST DUMONT 39.78N 105.60W 11/12/2011 M80.00 MPH CLEAR CREEK CO MESONET 0917 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSE BERTHOUD PASS 39.80N 105.78W 11/12/2011 M113 MPH CLEAR CREEK CO AWOS SUSTAINED WINDS 86 MPH. MINES PEAK SUMMIT 12500 FEET. 0857 PM NON-TSTM WND GST SSE BERTHOUD PASS 39.79N 105.77W 11/12/2011 M112 MPH CLEAR CREEK CO AWOS SUSTAINED WINDS 84 MPH. MINES PEAK SUMMIT 12500 FEET. Southern Wyoming (Sierra Madre... Encampment area) 0600 PM HEAVY SNOW 10 WSW ENCAMPMENT 41.15N 106.97W 11/13/2011 E40.5 INCH CARBON WY MESONET OLD BATTLE SNOTEL SITE AT 10000 FT. SWE 2.7. RATIO 15-1 0600 PM HEAVY SNOW 3 SW HOG PARK RESERVOIR 41.00N 106.91W 11/13/2011 E31.5 INCH ROUTT CO MESONET WHISKEY PARK SNOTEL SITE AT 8950 FT. SWE 2.1. RATIO 15-1. LOCATED 28 MI E OF SAVERY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 The wind was crazy this weekend. I woke up Saturday morning to my patio furniture being tossed around the deck like rag dolls. It literally sounded like someone was taking the chairs and throwing them against the walls. The power flickered all morning until about 10AM, then it went out completely (just as I turned on the coffee maker and started making breakfast on the electric stove). The wind at my place was very erratic, seeming to come from every direction (likely because I'm in the canyon). I headed down into Boulder, parked my truck at the office, and then rode my bike to the CU-Arizona football game. I was about 2 feet away from being hit by a medium-sized falling tree limb on Boulder Creek Path. There were times when you literally had to stop walking and get into a broad stance to keep your balance. The wind certainly helped CU pull out its first home win this season. I bought a ridiculously overpriced 20 oz. bottle of water at the game ($3.75). I took one sip from it, set it down under the bleacher I was sitting on, went to grab it 2 minutes later, and obviously, it had blown away (with probably 18 oz. of water in it). By the 4th quarter, the temperature had dropped substantially and the sun was far enough west to be shrouded by the clouds that were up over the mountains. My girlfriend and I went up to Gold Hill last night to see some music at the Gold Hill Inn and were rewarded with dumping snow as a pretty strong band raced through from about 5-730PM. Glad we were able to see some snow from this storm, though had to drive up a couple thousand feet for that to happen! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 14, 2011 Share Posted November 14, 2011 Most locations didn't get as much snow as predicted. Interesting NWS AFD yesterday talked about how the high winds caused the snow factory to literally blow itself apart! /ISSUED 301 PM MST SUN NOV 13 2011/ SHORT TERM...UPPER TROUGH OVER WESTERN COLORADO WILL CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO THE GREAT PLAINS MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THE SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH HAS BEGUN TO BREAK UP AND BECOME MORE SHOWERY. WITH THE QUICKER MOVEMENT AND THE SHOWERY PATTERN...WILL MORE THAN LIKELY NEED TO EXPIRE THE CURRENT WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE MOUNTAINS EARLIER THAN ITS ORIGINAL TIME OF MIDNIGHT. SO FAR OBSERVATIONS HAVE SHOWN UP TO 16 INCHES HAD FALLEN OVER THE MOUNTAINS NEAR RABBIT EARS PASS...UP TO 13 INCHES OVER THE MOUNTAINS IN AND NEAR ROCKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK...AND ONLY UP TO ABOUT 5 INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS INCLUDING SUMMIT COUNTY. ITS BELIEVED THAT THE VERY STRONG WINDS WITH THIS SYSTEM...GUSTS UP TO 115 MPH RECORDED...HAD SHEARED THE SYSTEM APART AS IT MOVED SOUTH TOWARD THE I70 CORRIDOR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 22, 2011 Author Share Posted November 22, 2011 Well, after a windy warm day on Friday the 18th, things have calmed down and been in the 40's and low 50's. It looks like the next few days will be warm. It looks like the real cooling will come in on Friday night with the cold front, with 30 or 40 mph wind gusts from the Northwest. I'm not sure if Friday will be 61 as this indicates. MOS numbers GFSX MOS (MEX) KFNL 28 62| 31 64| 32 61| 25 50| 22 64| 29 51| 23 47| Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 After a fairly uneventful last couple weeks, looks like a more active pattern returns late next week. Euro and GFS both now indicating much colder weather and a storm or two in the 6-10 day range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 We had 48mph wind gusts in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 Top wind gusts in the last 24 hours Christman Field 47.8 mph at 7:40PM 46.5mph at 1:15AM 49.1mph at 4:35AM FNL airport 5:55pm 46mph 11:55pm 41.4mph 1:55am 40 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 The models are showing some light snow Wednesday night or Thursday morning. I am seeing some pretty good agreement on this, so I will call for 75% chance of snow for the Front Range. It doesn't appear it would be too much accumulation, but temperatures could drop down to 20 very quickly. In fact the GFS 2-meter temperatures shows -10C (14F) on Friday after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mayjawintastawm Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Nice to have something to talk about later this week... though I can't really say I've minded being outside the past few days. Apropos of cold weather (but not much else), I notice that Fraser, CO is often the coldest spot in the Lower 48. Is there something about this- maybe where the recording station is located - other than it's in a high valley? There seem to be plenty of high valley sites on Wunderground, etc but the Fraser temp always seems colder. When I've been there, it seems appropriately cold but not crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 After the intial cold snap/snow later this week, looks like another, stronger cold wave coming late this weekend/early next week. Euro looks especially frigid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
boulderrr Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 Nice to have something to talk about later this week... though I can't really say I've minded being outside the past few days. Apropos of cold weather (but not much else), I notice that Fraser, CO is often the coldest spot in the Lower 48. Is there something about this- maybe where the recording station is located - other than it's in a high valley? There seem to be plenty of high valley sites on Wunderground, etc but the Fraser temp always seems colder. When I've been there, it seems appropriately cold but not crazy. I've always heard that the Fraser Valley area near Winter Park is situated in a way that promotes cold and clouds. Fraser is kind of at the end of a valley. There are high mountains to the west, south, east, AND north of it. It is almost entirely surrounded. To get out of Fraser without going over a huge mountain, there is only about a 2 mile gap toward the NW, where US 40 runs. I believe this makes it much easier for cold air to get dammed in this area without wind coming in to mix it out. A NW wind would conceivably mix out the dammed cold air more readily, but this would already likely be a cold wind, since it is from the NW. Also, any cold air drainage from the surrounding mountains is coming from nearly all directions and from very high areas over 13,000 feet. A lot of this is just based on my reasoning right now so feel free to correct any deficiencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tacoman25 Posted November 28, 2011 Share Posted November 28, 2011 The models are showing some light snow Wednesday night or Thursday morning. I am seeing some pretty good agreement on this, so I will call for 75% chance of snow for the Front Range. It doesn't appear it would be too much accumulation, but temperatures could drop down to 20 very quickly. In fact the GFS 2-meter temperatures shows -10C (14F) on Friday after the storm. Probably will be easily colder than that, at least here. 9news already showing a high of 26 on Thursday, followed by a low of 8 Friday a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Looks like the SREF has some pretty good snow totals for the upcoming storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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