0z euro

[tombo82685]

initialized, who gets buried ohio valley? midwest? or interior northeast?

[tombo82685]

hr 48 gives the northern 2/3rds of mn and all of wisconsin some snow, with an area of lgt to mod snow over the eastern part

[tombo82685]

hr 54 has some lgt precip in the U P of mich, eastern wisconsin, mich, northern and central indiana and nw corner of ohio...so far at 500 mb at hr 60 the northeast has a little higher hgts with the west have lower hgts than 12z

[tombo82685]

hr 60 gives some lgt precip to mich, ohio and wpa

[tombo82685]

hr 66 lgt precip over majority of pa except eastern parts, and central and western ny....sub 1008 low in ne wyoming

[tombo82685]

hr 72 has lgt precip over nyc and li, eastern ny,ct,vt... broad area of sub 1008 pressure looks to be centered over eastern colorado

[tombo82685]

hr 78 has a broad area of 1008 low pressure from northern texas to southern nebraska looks to be centered over dodge city, ks

[tombo82685]

hr 84 sub 1008 low pressure over western oklahoma...lgt precip over nebraska iowa and wisconsin, with an area of lgt to mod precip from se corner of nebraska through central iowa up through madison and green bay, wis...frz line is milwaukee to just south of de moines to kc...850s just south of that...also lgt precip over missouri, ill, ark, with a hvr area over memphis

[tombo82685]

hr 96 broad area of low pressure from just south of chi to just north of houston, looks like low is over the boot of missouri...lgt to mod precip southern wis, central iowa, northwestern missouri, ill,...area of mod precip in eastern iowa and western illinois...frz line rockford ill, then follow iowa/illinois border to northeast corner of missouri then it cuts missouri in half

[tombo82685]

hr 102 broad area of sub 1004 low pressure over western ky...lgt to mod precip southern wisconsin, central and northern illinois, western mich...mod precip over chicago and northeastern illinois and northwestern indiana...frz line grand rapids to chicago to stlouis

[tombo82685]

hr 108 sub 1000 low located in south central onio, mdt snows over indiana mich northwest illinos

[CooL]

hr 126, low almost off the coast

[EasternUSWX]

hr 108 sub 1000 low located in south central onio, mdt snows over indiana mich northwest illinos

So it seems that it has shifted east?

[tombo82685]

hr 108 sub 996 low over wpa...lgt to mod precip over northeast indiana, southeast mich and northeast ohio...with mod precip over southeast mich...frz line watertown ny to detroit to cincy

[tombo82685]

So it seems that it has shifted east?

yes a good bit from 12z

[tombo82685]

hr 120 is a sub 992 low just west of syracuse central and northern maine and eastern mich are only areas getting nsow, everywhere else rain

[tombo82685]

hr 126 has a secondary, sub 988 50 miles off delmarva coast...frz line is through central va up through pa and western ny

[tombo82685]

hr 132 sub 980 low at the pt of long island frz line is dc to pottsville pa to just past saranac lake

[tombo82685]

hr 138 sub 972 low over nh, frz line dover to nyc to burlington vt lgt to mod precip over se pa and eastern pa, nj ,del...mod precip over nyc in southeast ny

[mattinpa]

hr 132 sub 980 low at the pt of long island frz line is dc to pottsville pa to just past saranac lake

Is that the coastal the GFS was trying to develop? Things could get interesting with that.

[Kaner587]

hr 132 sub 980 low at the pt of long island frz line is dc to pottsville pa to just past saranac lake

interesting....now we dont need as much to change if it wants to pop a secondary---weaker primary + further south transfer to coast=colder scenario without having to move the placement of the primary much further south

[Kaner587]

hr 138 sub 972 low over nh, frz line dover to nyc to burlington vt lgt to mod precip over se pa and eastern pa, nj ,del...mod precip over nyc in southeast ny

one of the ways to get wraparound---low over NH

[tombo82685]

hr 144 sub 968 low over western maine....frz line block island to boston to then uo the nh/me border..good wrap around precip in upstate ny, vt, mass,ct,ri to about nyc

[tombo82685]

hr 150 storm is lifting out lgt precip over northeast

[atownwxwatcher]

Pretty much sounds like the UKMET last night was a red flag to the ECM ! Big time changes and improvements here!

[atownwxwatcher]

Anyone got the Ukie yet?

UKMET

Link for the UKMET

[tombo82685]

hr 162, 504 thickess over all pa and 2/3rds of ny state...2m temps low 20s from phl north...teens interior mids 20s dc area

[tombo82685]

any idea of total frozen precip?

its hard to say, cause i dont know when the front crosses at what time and how much precip falls after the front goes through...i can just give you the front position befor and after, then the precip total after the front if you want to guess?

[stormtracker]

Sounds like NYC may get some flakes out of this after a lot of rain, just going by the description tombo is posting?

[tombo82685]

hr 168 has 504 thickess over all ny and pa...850s are -20 to -24 over for pa, central and northern nj, ny,vt,nh, western mass and ct