The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GEM is still south! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 ggem n KY at 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 GEM is still south! omg! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GEM did move the northern disturbance farther north. The 00z gives nothing to the CR to Chicago corridor while nailing Green Bay with several inches to a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 omg! Doesn't help! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GGEM didn't get the memo. Has a 1006 elongated over W TN at 72 A lot of the GFS Ensembles must not have got it either as they are farther south as well, by looking at the mean. Wasn't as surprised with the GEFS lagging behind the OP run as its their bias. GGEM looks like it'll be SE of its 12z run, which is a bit surprising. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 That seems much farther SE than its previous run, isn't it? I think they must be playing hide and seek with each other. Nah just a bit farther south than the 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 UKIE/GFS/NAM/GFS Ens. vs GEM now pretty much. At least the UKIE/NAM/GFS/GFS Ens. have the low near the same general area (ILL or IND.) Let's see what the EURO shows in an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 when will the euro start rolling out? I got class early nevermind lol got it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Just got home. I could read several pages or I could just be annoying and ask if anyone has posted the ukmet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 when will the euro start rolling out? I got class early 11:50 central Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 everyone going to still hug the euro if it shifted south? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 UKIE/GFS/NAM/GFS Ens. vs GEM now pretty much. At least the UKIE/NAM/GFS/GFS Ens. have the low near the same general area (ILL or IND.) Let's see what the EURO shows in an hour. at this point is is clear by the Gem that the the surface low means little unless a strong cyclone wraps up. The gem may as well be in Michigan with how far the UL are displaced from the surface feature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 everyone going to still hug the euro if it shifted south? lol this is a disease, it is obvious nothing has been accomplished, the models are struggling with many features. they are so bad, it is incredible, some of there verification scores will be horrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 everyone going to still hug the euro if it shifted south? lol I'll be paying just as much attention to the ensembles at this point. Not out of the question that the op run could be south, while ensembles remain north, and visa versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 0Z JMA that goes out to 72 likes the GGEM...NOCRAPS takes it from e ia to chicago on east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoeWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 omg! My thoughts exactly. Just when it looks like things are congealing into a reasonable consensus the wrench is thrown. GFS was garbage though - maybe the advection will line up better in subsequent runs, but in current form - LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GEM looks pretty toasty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GGEM looks to dump snow in MN and Wis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherTree Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Southern Wisconsin and Northern Illinois stormtrackers def hate the GGEM. Weird how far north the snow portion of the system is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trapperman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GGEM looks to dump snow in MN and Wis. Yeah this was a yawner for us until tonight's runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 9, 2010 Author Share Posted December 9, 2010 My thoughts exactly. Just when it looks like things are congealing into a reasonable consensus the wrench is thrown. GFS was garbage though - maybe the advection will line up better in subsequent runs, but in current form - LOL. Most post was more of a sarcastic response, but yea. Looking at precip fields, it seems the SLP track should be similar to the NAM/Euro/GFS, not as far south as shown. I haven't looked at the upper levels, so take that FWIW... By the way, nice to see you here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Did you make that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 well tomorrow it'll be onshore so there will be better sampling available. I will LMAO if the euro went south though. That'd be funny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Most post was more of a sarcastic response, but yea. Looking at precip fields, it seems the SLP track should be similar to the NAM/Euro/GFS, not as far south as shown. I haven't looked at the upper levels, so take that FWIW... By the way, nice to see you here. It is an inverted trough like the JMA. So far the NAM is the most plausible solution which is very very good for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherTree Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Did you make that? Yes... Dont mind the gradient around the surface low, Im just working with some stuff until I get a real storm threat down here lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omahawx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 even moneyman in southern wisconsin gets rain with that gem model run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 even moneyman in southern wisconsin gets rain with that gem model run Yes, the GEM run is enough to make little kids cry as the rain melts all the snowmen in the neighborhood lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 even moneyman in southern wisconsin gets rain with that gem model run Yea, these models are about a joke. With all the technology in the world, and these are the best we can do? All I have to say about that is... :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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