mnweather Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Obviously still a little early but I can see lakeside areas staying warmer a bit longer with significant qpf/snow until the winds turn offshore. With wet snow and winds cranking up, that could get interesting. That lake can really mess things up for snow chances. I have had the wind turn off shore during the octobomb and I had only a little mixing with no accumulations. People away from the lake usually get the best snows! But this is a completely different storm so who really knows I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS falls in line @ hour 66. Euro crushes all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I have this feeling that this storm is going to end up tracking even farther north than what is depicted right now. We have seen this how many times over the last several years? This type of setup almost always ends up with a strong NW trend on the models. It truly wouldn't surprise me if this ends up being a NW MO/CEN IA/WRN WI special that jet energy is going to cause explosive/rapid deepening for a period of time at least which will pull this West but who knows.... I won't really trust a model with confidence until Friday most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 HAHA, EURO FTW! What would be funny is if everything shifted back south tomorrow...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS falls in line @ hour 66. Euro crushes all. Yep, that really is quite amazing.. Euro sniffs something out and brings everyone along.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 wow the GFS takes the sfc low across northern IL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 LOL yeah that's what we always say right before a storm turns so far left it ends up going through Minnesota..... shh :axe: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Going to be interesting to see what the AFDs will be saying tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I think this time around with other factors in place it can only go so far Northwest. I agree. With such a potent jetstreak digging down the backside of the trough, it would seem that there's a limit to how far north this can go? Maybe I'm off base though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 as i said if i lose the ukie, it's the nail in the coffin. At least I won't be tempted to stay up for the euro and can finally get some work done tomorrow.... plus, the one concillation will be reading the spin cycles at accublunder tomorrow...should be good stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Now watch the euro take it way south. Anyways, I'm liking the trend. Now we just need a bit stronger low here in WI like the euro showed. Otherwise it's a good start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Yep, that really is quite amazing.. Euro sniffs something out and brings everyone along.. It caved to peer pressure last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Amazingly unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 HAHA, EURO FTW! What would be funny is if everything shifted back south tomorrow...lol NOOOOO...... I want this to end.....now. congrats to folks luckier than I. enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 LOL...now WTF is the GFS doing there from hours 72-84. I'm all ears for this one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 as i said if i lose the ukie, it's the nail in the coffin. At least I won't be tempted to stay up for the euro and can finally get some work done tomorrow.... plus, the one concillation will be reading the spin cycles at accublunder tomorrow...should be good stuff It's going to be a rainy weekend they'll say.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS thermal fields look more like that of a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS seems too weak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 I agree. With such a potent jetstreak digging down the backside of the trough, it would seem that there's a limit to how far north this can go? Maybe I'm off base though. That plus there still is a -NAO and there is a PV to the north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS seems too weak. Yeah, slow it down 6-12 hours and deepen it a bit, and you've got the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS thermal fields look more like that of a clipper. yup....if i saw that map at 66 without seeing previous frames i'd assume it was a strong clipper taking a northerly path. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 300 mb jet on the gfs starts out even flatter then the nam huge change from 12z horrible models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omahawx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS seems to pull stunts like this this late in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 It's going to be a rainy weekend they'll say.. i wonder if jb can still find a way to work in the 'life threatener' description Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 GFS thermal fields look more like that of a clipper. It moves almost east from the plains to Lake Erie or so. Although not an actual clipper, it sure isn't a big powerful low coming from Texas either. I suppose that's why the thermal fields are that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 always a nice tool, waiting for the 84hr image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 You guys can blame the bad GFS run on me, since a little while ago I figured it'd have a better handle on things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Good luck to those staying up to see if the Euro holds serve. I've already stayed up too long, and have to be to work in a few hours. The red flags are there on the 00z op and the 12z ensembles, so I'll be very curious to see what I wake up to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 9, 2010 Share Posted December 9, 2010 Gotta be close to a record for us. 88 User(s) are reading this topic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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