Chicago Storm Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Parte dos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Hopefully the gem doesn't strike a dagger in my heart....but the 12z more north wrapped up Gem actually hit us harder then this run of the gfs because a much stronger deformation zone on the backside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 00z GFS snow thru 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 stupid question but on the 72 0Z ukie is it trying to pop a small 850 L in SD? thanks in advance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 00z GFS snow thru 120 Nice swath of 6 to 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 For those of us who may end up on the nw side of this thing, one thing to consider is the higher ratio snows. Very cold air through the column should yield fairly large snow ratios of probably 18-22:1 or more. Just a few tenths of QPF may end up being a wind-whipped 3-5". With the high winds and incoming arctic air that would still make things very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 GEM is south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 What is the Winter Storm / Blizzard criteria for the Central Region? I can't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 GEM is south yep 1000 over Mo bootheel area @ 96 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 What is the Winter Storm / Blizzard criteria for the Central Region? I can't find it. Winter Storm is 6"+ snow in 8 hours or less. Blizzard is sustained 1/4 mile or less visibilities and 35+ MPH winds for 3+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 What is the Winter Storm / Blizzard criteria for the Central Region? I can't find it. http://www.nws.noaa.gov/directives/sym/pd01005013c022003curr.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 http://www.nws.noaa....c022003curr.pdf That page illustrates the different criteria for winter weather for the entire region graphically and text. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 GGEM @ 108 has a 996 MB low on IN/OH/KY border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 GGEM @ 108 has a 996 MB low on IN/OH/KY border With it tracking NE that will be a good track for most including me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 With it tracking NE that will be a good track for most including me. It'll be interesting to see the precipitation types. The warm tougue is still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 With it tracking NE that will be a good track for most including me. it tracks from cincy to maryland....almost due east. crazy a tad south of 12z...... sweet spots would be northern and western IN and northern OH.....with a hefty changeover across most of the rest of IN and OH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 That page illustrates the different criteria for winter weather for the entire region graphically and text. Bookmarked. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdudemike Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 hmm...Definitely a south trend, but not official until the Euro makes it at 1am tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I believe the NOGAPS basically shows the same thing as the GFS/GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 hmm...Definitely a south trend, but not official until the Euro makes it at 1am tonight ukie will be interesting... gfs really didn't trend south it's pretty much holding.....the ggem came a little south though. the nogaps actually came north and is pretty close to the gfs depiction. as usual i-70 is gonna be anyone's guess. I'd hate to have to make a forecast call for anyone from Indy to cmh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 I believe the NOGAPS basically shows the same thing as the GFS/GGEM. It is but this track limits our snowfall on the backside a lot. from the 5-8 the wrapped up GEM had at 12z to 3-5 now. but with this set up, the changeover could change over much faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moneyman Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 SE trend ftw. Will the euro follow the GFS/GEM or will it stick to it's course? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mnweather Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 stupid question but on the 72 0Z ukie is it trying to pop a small 850 L in SD? thanks in advance Not sure. Anyone else care to elaborate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 8, 2010 Author Share Posted December 8, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 SE trend ftw. Will the euro follow the GFS/GEM or will it stick to it's course? probably won't sell out to this course of action, but likely won''t be on the IL/Wisconsin border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 GGEM 96hr precip type. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 Not sure. Anyone else care to elaborate? I don't think that will happen with the base of the jet so far off to the south. what would be there to support that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 damn, i know they say the ensembles are usually south and east of the op...but that's crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 8, 2010 Share Posted December 8, 2010 108hr GGEM precipitation type... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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