MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 0.07" with the frontal showers last evening. 40F this morning. As for any potential upcoming snow--I'm a little 'whatever' about the whole thing, though certainly keeping my ears open and eyes peeled. Even if it does snow, it's pretty unlikely that it would last any abount of time and be the start of the season's pack. It'd be more novelty snow than anything...but fun to watch, make no mistake. Same way of thinking here. Any snow that falls here will be gone by the end of the day on Thursday wooops, make that Friday., so we certainly aren't pack-building. I guess since it's been 6 months since the last snow that there's the excitement of a new season, plus I'd like to eclipse 100" so gottta make hay while the sun is up (poor analogy). Expecting flakes, hopeful for measureable, grounded in reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 0.07" with the frontal showers last evening. 40F this morning. As for any potential upcoming snow--I'm a little 'whatever' about the whole thing, though certainly keeping my ears open and eyes peeled. Even if it does snow, it's pretty unlikely that it would last any abount of time and be the start of the season's pack. It'd be more novelty snow than anything...but fun to watch, make no mistake. I'm a little "whatever" too. I'm always excited about the first snow, but I think that right now I would almost like to see a mini drought. The woods are so wet so a little drying time before the ground freezes and real snow would be helpful for the snowmobile trails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Any snow is good snow, No matter if its flakes or it accumalates at this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 It would be cool if there was just enough snow to plow and we could get some of those piles to "glaciate" enough to stick around in the shade or a few natural patches to stick around on the north sides of things till the next storm. I could then say I had at least some snow on my property from Oct X till May X. Looks like I will be too far north on this AM runs to get plowable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Brief shower came thru here last night, .07" in the gage this am.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm a little "whatever" too. I'm always excited about the first snow, but I think that right now I would almost like to see a mini drought. The woods are so wet so a little drying time before the ground freezes and real snow would be helpful for the snowmobile trails. No doubt we could use some drying time....and freezing time. The last thing I'd want to see would be a bunch of wet snow on top of wet, unfrozen ground. If I had my druthers, I'd vote for a nice freeze-drying for the next 3-4 weeks and start building the pack thereafter. Let's dry that ground out and get it nice and frozen first. Indeed, the woods and the gound in general are terribly wet for this time of year. I actually left some small ruts in the yard the other day backing my firewood loaded pick-up to the woodpile. But what the hell? Let's get a little bit just as a nice primer and help Jayhawk get to 100". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm all for helping MaineJayHawk to get to 100"... that's a good reason for it to snow on Thurs/Fri. We are definitely going to be too far north here above the Winooski Valley but I'm hoping we can at least pull some flurries or snow showers from NNW flow and orographics. Very little moisture though so can't forecast anything near accumulating upslope but some windy flurries are not out of the question. I think Allenson-WxEye-Dryslot/JayHawk and southward has a good shot for at least a coating-1". Watch some band of frontogenesis end up pretty far removed to the north put down 2-3" from Allenson-WxEye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 I'm all for helping MaineJayHawk to get to 100"... that's a good reason for it to snow on Thurs/Fri. We are definitely going to be too far north here above the Winooski Valley but I'm hoping we can at least pull some flurries or snow showers from NNW flow and orographics. Very little moisture though so can't forecast anything near accumulating upslope but some windy flurries are not out of the question. I think Allenson-WxEye-Dryslot/JayHawk and southward has a good shot for at least a coating-1". Watch some band of frontogenesis end up pretty far removed to the north put down 2-3" from Allenson-WxEye. Based on the 12z Nam, I would probably just see some flurries but thats the Nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 Thanks for the support, guys. I think C-1" for mby is a pretty good prediction, freak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 25, 2011 Author Share Posted October 25, 2011 Thanks for the support, guys. I think C-1" for mby is a pretty good prediction, freak. Morning AFD from GYX gives you a better chance than me, with a farther east track (and storm #2 OTS for both of us.) Even in Ft. Kent I never had continuous snowcover begin in Oct. 1976 was close, with the last week of Oct having 2-3" and it never quite all melting, though only "T" for ground cover. In the woods NW of Allagash village, however, the white stayed after 10/26 or so, and the roads remained frozen after several mid-teens mornings that week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 25, 2011 Share Posted October 25, 2011 So if i hug the Nam, I can count the flakes in the air, If i hug the GFS i will have to use my ruler to measure on the ground............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Down to 31 for a low this morning with some light frost. Up to 34 now, clouds coming in. Snow threat seems pretty meh at this point. No worries though, we'll get ours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 The threat is dead for now, We will see ours when it counts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 Down to 31 for a low this morning with some light frost. Up to 34 now, clouds coming in. Snow threat seems pretty meh at this point. No worries though, we'll get ours. 34F for a low this morning...no frost that I could see. At least this +15 departure stuff is out of here. I am looking forward to these highs near 40F and lows in the 20-25F range we have coming up. Looking at the zone forecast you would think that small ponds might start building skim ice by next Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted October 26, 2011 Author Share Posted October 26, 2011 Two or three storms all miss to the south/east - hope that's not going to be a pattern. Forecast for MBY has now turned to cool but boring, 6 days (Thurs-Tues) of upper 40s/mid-upper 20s, with zero POP. GYX sometimes seems to favor "even-flow" forecasts, but even for them it's uncommon to see 6 consecutive days with precisely the same high temps progged (and the last 4 all have lows in the upper 20s.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I'll take the cold 1st please. Any snow at this point is for bragging rights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 I'll take the cold 1st please. Any snow at this point is for bragging rights. Me too. The woods are so wet I would really like to see frozen ground before the snow for snowmobile trails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 26, 2011 Share Posted October 26, 2011 34F for a low this morning...no frost that I could see. At least this +15 departure stuff is out of here. I am looking forward to these highs near 40F and lows in the 20-25F range we have coming up. Looking at the zone forecast you would think that small ponds might start building skim ice by next Monday. Yeah, we stayed clear over here last night until the clouds rolled in during the wee dark hours of the morning...and I reckon had a bit more time to drop a few more degrees. And yep again, nice mid-20s for lows starting Thursday night and right into early next week. Definitely'll be seeing some skim ice starting to form overnight and into the morns. Well, the upcoming pattern does look a little quiet for us at the present but that's fine with me for now. November is the last hurrah for winter-prep and a period of quiet contemplations before the Old Man's fury. I for one still have quite a list to get through before the party really gets cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 First flakes of the season falling out there right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 First flakes of the season falling out there right now. Congrats!! Just a chilly rain falling this morning as I drove in along the CT River, although some of the drops certainly were trying hard to remain snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 First flakes of the season falling out there right now. Nice!! Just a cold rain in my 'hood. 39F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Congrats!! Just a chilly rain falling this morning as I drove in along the CT River, although some of the drops certainly were trying hard to remain snow. It was hard to see, the bulb in my outside light blew. Took me awhile to figure it out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 It was hard to see, the bulb in my outside light blew. Took me awhile to figure it out Awesome! The sky looked like snow this morning but nothing happening...36F on my drive up the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 30F with a nice N wind - cold. Clouds have made to Belvidere and covered the top 500' but the rest of the range N is high and dry, still breaks of lighter grey over the townships enjoy the flakes all - we'll sit this one out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 No snow here--36F and light rain. There's a coating of snow visible on the Brookfield webcam, which isn't too far from here, but a little higher, so it's close. I wouldn't be surprised if there was snow on the heights just a couple miles above here (1800'). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 No snow here--36F and light rain. There's a coating of snow visible on the Brookfield webcam, which isn't too far from here, but a little higher, so it's close. I wouldn't be surprised if there was snow on the heights just a couple miles above here (1800'). I'm surprised you aren't snow...how high up is mreaves? We just had some vendors come in from Barre saying it was snowing lightly when they left an hour ago. The composite radar has that light snow look on that band in central VT. Like Borderwx we'll be sitting out up here though I wouldn't rule out a stray flurry. Low ceiling though with all the high terrain obscured above 2K or so. Isn't that Brookfield cam around 1500ft? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm surprised you aren't snow...how high up is mreaves? We just had some vendors come in from Barre saying it was snowing lightly when they left an hour ago. The composite radar has that light snow look on that band in central VT. Like Borderwx we'll be sitting out up here though I wouldn't rule out a stray flurry. Low ceiling though with all the high terrain obscured above 2K or so. Isn't that Brookfield cam around 1500ft? Yeah, about 1500' or so at Brookfield. Mreaves is about the same elevation as here from what I remember. Incidentally, I just came in from wandering around the yard for a few minutes and there are some wet mangles flakes mixed in--not many, but a few. The precip is real light right now, so maybe if it picks up, more snow will work it's way in. The good thing is that I'm taking the day off, so I'll be here at the house all day and not spending my day deep in the CT valley. Gonna be firing up the tractor, hitching up the trailer and hauling in the last of this year's firewood, weather be damned. Almost have my five cords put up. Boo-yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Washington, VT webcam showing some pretty good snow falling--closest webcam to here being only a few crow miles away. They're a little higher than here too (1500' too), but it's getting closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 I'm surprised you aren't snow...how high up is mreaves? We just had some vendors come in from Barre saying it was snowing lightly when they left an hour ago. The composite radar has that light snow look on that band in central VT. Like Borderwx we'll be sitting out up here though I wouldn't rule out a stray flurry. Low ceiling though with all the high terrain obscured above 2K or so. Isn't that Brookfield cam around 1500ft? I think that I am between 1100' and 1200', about the same or a little higher than KMPV. When I click on NWS map for Graniteville it puts me at 1342' but that seems a bit high. Anyway, the snow came in one of the heavier bursts of precip around 6:00 am. There was a little spitting snow on my way in through Berlin on I-89 but the roads were dry as I hit Montpelier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted October 27, 2011 Share Posted October 27, 2011 Wow, chilly for Friday night. NWS has 19° for a low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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