WxUSAF Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 12z GFS has lows in the 30s Saturday morning for Trixie and maybe Winchester. Definitely would be first frost (freeze for colder locations) for much of PA/NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marked8 Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 It would be nice to see some 40's again. The last time we had 40's in Manassas was on June 4th when it bottomed out at 48 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 screw you winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 I don't think it will take that much to get sub 50 lows in the closer suburbs. Not all that uncommon. It's the highs that usually bust low. W-NW winds coming off the apps and blue ridge on a sunny day will bump maxes a 2-5 degrees above models. Haven't looked the the surface flow but I'm pretty sure breezy w-nw winds will be around until hp settles overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 12, 2011 Share Posted September 12, 2011 screw you winter I agree with this sentiment. 40s at night is fine, but any talk of enjoying wind and sub-60s temps is verging on blasphemy. Winter in the DC area is just months of misery randomly interspersed with a few days of snowfall. And Christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 I agree with this sentiment. 40s at night is fine, but any talk of enjoying wind and sub-60s temps is verging on blasphemy. Winter in the DC area is just months of misery randomly interspersed with a few days of snowfall. And Christmas. Then call me blasphemous because I couldn't be more ready for it. BRING IT ON!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 Euro is either a record low max on Saturday (60° at DCA) or close with clouds and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 Then call me blasphemous because I couldn't be more ready for it. BRING IT ON!!!!!! To each his own! I'm one of the miserable wretches who hates cold, but loves snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 To each his own! I'm one of the miserable wretches who hates cold, but loves snow. I love cold and snow. Love the extremes. Even heat unless its like this past summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 To each his own! I'm one of the miserable wretches who hates cold, but loves snow. the mtns of california! 10 feet of dumping followed by 3 weeks of sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted September 13, 2011 Share Posted September 13, 2011 A lot of buzz going on in the SE subforum about CAD friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 This storm's going to north trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 I love cold and snow. Love the extremes. Even heat unless its like this past summer. I'm a warm lover, though heat like we had in July was brutal. I just don't do cold all that well. And I grew up near Philly, so it's not like I didn't grow up with some cold around. In winter, I hope for cold snaps that feature snow, with mild temps being the general rule. But if it's going to be cold, it better snow. That would keep me from being fairly miserable. Last winter was pretty awful in that regard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 the mtns of california! 10 feet of dumping followed by 3 weeks of sunshine. I like the sound of that. Ten feet may be a bit excessive, but I'd survive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 0Z NAM going crazy with cold air Thursday morning in Midwest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 48 is my guess for lowest temp in my hood Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 MOS finally catching up... showing upper 40s (NAM)/lower 50s (GFS) for DCA. BWI and IAD are several degrees cooler (of course). Dewpoints getting into the upper 30s to lower 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Looks like temps. peaking early in the day on Friday here and dropping throughout the day into the 50's due to the CAD wedge. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 www.google.com This cracks me up everytime: http://lmgtfy.com/?q=where+is+kokv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Come to papa... Edited for explanation required by board rules...This is a map of the 360hr GFS 2m temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Come to papa... That map is a thing of beauty, especially after the last couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 12Z GFS has a light snow event for NE on the 28th, with 0C 850s running through northern WV and MD and up through South Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 Could we stick to the more realistic stuff, please? Yes, the models have another cool shot, but you're looking at the 300+ hour fantasy range. I would appreciate it if that kind of stuff was not discussed in this particular thread. ----- Looks like we won't be seeing the 0C 850s with this weekend's cold event (has warmed to 3-4C), but surface temps are still in the range we were looking at several days ago. No lake-effect snow yet. EDITED for politeness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 14, 2011 Share Posted September 14, 2011 Could we stick to the more realistic stuff, please? Yes, the models have another cool shot, but you're looking at the 300+ hour fantasy range. I would appreciate it if that kind of stuff was not discussed in this particular thread. ----- Looks like we won't be seeing the 0C 850s with this weekend's cold event (has warmed to 3-4C), but surface temps are still in the range we were looking at several days ago. No lake-effect snow yet. EDITED for politeness It was a slow day. Calm yourself. I don't need a reminder on the accuracy of the 360hr GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 14, 2011 Author Share Posted September 14, 2011 It was a slow day. Calm yourself. I don't need a reminder on the accuracy of the 360hr GFS. Slow days are no excuse for junk posts. I am calm... I just would like this thread to have realistic discussion and not fantasy maps. The only reason why I started this thread is because there was a realistic and genuine setup in play that would allow for the cold (despite my lack of meteorological discussion on the matter). There's two others that also made posts about the long range GFS that I was directing my comment to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 It was a slow day. Calm yourself. I don't need a reminder on the accuracy of the 360hr GFS. I don't think anyone does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Slow days are no excuse for junk posts. I am calm... I just would like this thread to have realistic discussion and not fantasy maps. The only reason why I started this thread is because there was a realistic and genuine setup in play that would allow for the cold (despite my lack of meteorological discussion on the matter). There's two others that also made posts about the long range GFS that I was directing my comment to. So I assume these are quality posts that you felt added to the substance of your brilliant thread? Get your panties in a wad about the soon-to-be endless 384hr GFS blizzard threads/posts. Otherwise relax. The starter of a thread is not a moderator of that thread. To each his own! I'm one of the miserable wretches who hates cold, but loves snow. I love cold and snow. Love the extremes. Even heat unless its like this past summer. the mtns of california! 10 feet of dumping followed by 3 weeks of sunshine. This storm's going to north trend. I'm a warm lover, though heat like we had in July was brutal. I just don't do cold all that well. And I grew up near Philly, so it's not like I didn't grow up with some cold around. In winter, I hope for cold snaps that feature snow, with mild temps being the general rule. But if it's going to be cold, it better snow. That would keep me from being fairly miserable. Last winter was pretty awful in that regard. I like the sound of that. Ten feet may be a bit excessive, but I'd survive! This cracks me up everytime: http://lmgtfy.com/?q=where+is+kokv Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 I hope this is a legit post, but does anyone know what effect, if any, this "chilly snap" would have on fall foliage? Geez....now you're looking well beyond 360 hours. Look what you've done! Shame on you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted September 15, 2011 Share Posted September 15, 2011 Geez....now you're looking well beyond 360 hours. Look what you've done! Shame on you. Ban me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted September 15, 2011 Author Share Posted September 15, 2011 So I assume these are quality posts that you felt added to the substance of your brilliant thread? Get your panties in a wad about the soon-to-be endless 384hr GFS blizzard threads/posts. Otherwise relax. The starter of a thread is not a moderator of that thread. I never said those were good posts, but at least they aren't posting 300+ hr maps. All I'm asking is to not spur the weenies with the long range fantasy maps... it's not winter yet. Weenies post the 300+ hr maps, not mets (at least the vast majority of the time, anyway). ----- MOS still hovering around the 50 mark for DCA tomorrow night... a few degrees warmer for Saturday morning. GFS is actually colder than the NAM by a degree (at 49). IAD and BWI in the mid/upper 40s Friday and Saturday nights according to MOS... FDK in the lower 40s both nights. The raw GFS numbers have a low of 44 at DCA tomorrow night... 51 Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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