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Maria/Nate Banter Thread


Srain

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reading the rules ,i guess it's a sort of punishment...why am i being punished or threatened to be punished ??? isn't this the 96L banter thread ?? the guy said ''banter away''.........from webster's new COLLEGIATE dictionary,,,banter, '' t o speak to ,or address in a witty or teasing manor''.......i didn't cuss or call someone a jerk like some people do.....sorry about it being a fish for some of you,but i celebrate because i now am scared sh*t less of a oncoming hurricane

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reading the rules ,i guess it's a sort of punishment...why am i being punished or threatened to be punished ??? isn't this the 96L banter thread ?? the guy said ''banter away''.........from webster's new COLLEGIATE dictionary,,,banter, '' t o speak to ,or address in a witty or teasing manor''.......i didn't cuss or call someone a jerk like some people do.....sorry about it being a fish for some of you,but i celebrate because i now am scared sh*t less of a oncoming hurricane

?

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reading the rules ,i guess it's a sort of punishment...why am i being punished or threatened to be punished ??? isn't this the 96L banter thread ?? the guy said ''banter away''.........from webster's new COLLEGIATE dictionary,,,banter, '' t o speak to ,or address in a witty or teasing manor''.......i didn't cuss or call someone a jerk like some people do.....sorry about it being a fish for some of you,but i celebrate because i now am scared sh*t less of a oncoming hurricane

do you use the AOL browser?

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He doesn't understand that he got post-limited a number of days ago and can't figure out why someone would do such a thing.

yes, i received notice about 5 posted a few days ago.......i accepted that because i didn't know the rules at the time.....BUT, i don't understand being threatened because i said the storm would end up being a ''fish'',as you call them.......only got 1 bullet left !

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another reason the BOC kind of sucks is the # of cat 1's it produces

Now that Nate has formed, I have looked at the set of storms that developed in the general region (18.2N-22.2N/89.9W-94.4W) on September 7 +/- 20 days since 1950. The result has overwhelmingly favored landfall in Mexico. The statistics are as follows:

Landfall:

Mexico: 78%

U.S.: 22%: Earl (1998) on the Florida Panhandle and Bret (1999) in Texas.

If one takes a look at the upper air patterns, one finds that in the cases of Earl and Bret, there was a deepening and expanding trof in the eastern U.S. In this case, according to the GFS ensembles, there will be a de-amplifying and shrinking trough in the eastern U.S. Therefore, with this data and a look at the upper air patterns, I believe odds strongly favor landfall in Mexico. Initially, I had thought odds had somewhat favored Gulf Coast landfall, but that was before Nate formed and before I had a chance to review the historic upper air patterns.

In terms of intensity, Nate will probably grow into a Category 1 hurricane. There is some prospect that Nate could reach Category 2 strength. However, that is probably a low probability, as the storms that made landfall in Mexico were all tropical storms or Category 1 hurricanes. Earl (Category 2) and Bret (Category 4) were the only storms that grew stronger than Category 1. In the overall sample, one-third of the storms were tropical storms and two-thirds peaked at hurricane strength. Also, two-thirds of the hurricanes peaked at Category 1 strength.

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can;t wait for maria to fish so that metfan will stay away

Maria is too cool a name for a fish. I want MIA.

12UTC 14.09.2011 25.9N 77.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

Heading North of due Northwest at the end, but I think there are enough people with video cameras in the Carolinas to make it worthwhile.

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